Prediction of CO2 emission for the central European countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptron
One of the most significant issues in urban design is energy-related CO2 emissions, which are rising quickly as cities expand. The GDP of the Central European countries (from 1990 to 2016) based on several energy sources, such as coal, oil, natural gas, and renewable energy, are used as inputs in th...
| Main Authors: | , , , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Taylor & Francis Group
2024-12-01
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| Series: | Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics |
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| Online Access: | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19942060.2024.2327437 |
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| author | Hossein Moayedi Azfarizal Mukhtar Serhan Alshammari Mohamed Boujelbene Isam Elbadawi Quynh T Thi Mojtaba Mirzaei |
| author_facet | Hossein Moayedi Azfarizal Mukhtar Serhan Alshammari Mohamed Boujelbene Isam Elbadawi Quynh T Thi Mojtaba Mirzaei |
| author_sort | Hossein Moayedi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | One of the most significant issues in urban design is energy-related CO2 emissions, which are rising quickly as cities expand. The GDP of the Central European countries (from 1990 to 2016) based on several energy sources, such as coal, oil, natural gas, and renewable energy, are used as inputs in this study. To develop a reliable predictive network considering the problem complexity, multilayer perceptron (MLP) is combined with several nature-inspired optimization algorithms, namely, black hole algorithm (BHA), future search algorithm (FSA), backtracking search algorithm (BSA), biogeography-based optimization (BBO), and shuffled complex evolution (SCE). By applying the approaches mentioned above to the synthesis of the MLP, the recommended BBO, BHA, BSA, FSA, and SCE ensembles are obtained. A series of parametric studies are performed to improve the effectiveness of the employed models. It is found that, by combining the BBO, BHA, BSA, FSA, and SCE algorithms, the MLP's accuracy is increased. The result from this parametric analysis showed that SCE and BBO perform better than the other three algorithms as the CO2 emission was computed with the highest level of accuracy using R2 = 0.9999 and 0.9998, RMSE = 1.6781 and 2.0539 for SCE, and R2 = 0.9999 and 0.9998, RMSE = 1.8689 and 2.3833 for BBO. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-24T12:49:28Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-ddc45eb3b67847ae8a6ddd6f081ebf89 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1994-2060 1997-003X |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-24T12:49:28Z |
| publishDate | 2024-12-01 |
| publisher | Taylor & Francis Group |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics |
| spelling | doaj.art-ddc45eb3b67847ae8a6ddd6f081ebf892024-04-06T11:22:27ZengTaylor & Francis GroupEngineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics1994-20601997-003X2024-12-0118110.1080/19942060.2024.2327437Prediction of CO2 emission for the central European countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptronHossein Moayedi0Azfarizal Mukhtar1Serhan Alshammari2Mohamed Boujelbene3Isam Elbadawi4Quynh T Thi5Mojtaba Mirzaei6Institute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, VietnamInstitute of Sustainable Energy, Universiti Tenaga Nasional, Kajang, MalaysiaDepartment of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Ha’il, Ha’il, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Ha’il, Ha’il, Saudi ArabiaDepartment of Industrial Engineering, College of Engineering, University of Ha’il, Ha’il, Saudi ArabiaInstitute of Research and Development, Duy Tan University, Da Nang, VietnamEnergy Institute of Higher Education, Saveh, IranOne of the most significant issues in urban design is energy-related CO2 emissions, which are rising quickly as cities expand. The GDP of the Central European countries (from 1990 to 2016) based on several energy sources, such as coal, oil, natural gas, and renewable energy, are used as inputs in this study. To develop a reliable predictive network considering the problem complexity, multilayer perceptron (MLP) is combined with several nature-inspired optimization algorithms, namely, black hole algorithm (BHA), future search algorithm (FSA), backtracking search algorithm (BSA), biogeography-based optimization (BBO), and shuffled complex evolution (SCE). By applying the approaches mentioned above to the synthesis of the MLP, the recommended BBO, BHA, BSA, FSA, and SCE ensembles are obtained. A series of parametric studies are performed to improve the effectiveness of the employed models. It is found that, by combining the BBO, BHA, BSA, FSA, and SCE algorithms, the MLP's accuracy is increased. The result from this parametric analysis showed that SCE and BBO perform better than the other three algorithms as the CO2 emission was computed with the highest level of accuracy using R2 = 0.9999 and 0.9998, RMSE = 1.6781 and 2.0539 for SCE, and R2 = 0.9999 and 0.9998, RMSE = 1.8689 and 2.3833 for BBO.https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19942060.2024.2327437Artificial neural networkCentral European countriesCarbon dioxide emissionsMetaheuristic algorithms |
| spellingShingle | Hossein Moayedi Azfarizal Mukhtar Serhan Alshammari Mohamed Boujelbene Isam Elbadawi Quynh T Thi Mojtaba Mirzaei Prediction of CO2 emission for the central European countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptron Engineering Applications of Computational Fluid Mechanics Artificial neural network Central European countries Carbon dioxide emissions Metaheuristic algorithms |
| title | Prediction of CO2 emission for the central European countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptron |
| title_full | Prediction of CO2 emission for the central European countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptron |
| title_fullStr | Prediction of CO2 emission for the central European countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptron |
| title_full_unstemmed | Prediction of CO2 emission for the central European countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptron |
| title_short | Prediction of CO2 emission for the central European countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptron |
| title_sort | prediction of co2 emission for the central european countries through five metaheuristic optimization techniques helping multilayer perceptron |
| topic | Artificial neural network Central European countries Carbon dioxide emissions Metaheuristic algorithms |
| url | https://www.tandfonline.com/doi/10.1080/19942060.2024.2327437 |
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