Response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, China

According to the IPCC Fourth Assessment, the temperature and evapotranspiration will increase in the future. As a sensitive region to climate change, hydrological process in the middle reaches of the Yellow River will be significantly affected by climate change. In this study, water resources change...

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Main Authors: X. Yao, X. Cui, J. Yu, W. Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2015-05-01
Series:Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences
Online Access:https://www.proc-iahs.net/368/293/2015/piahs-368-293-2015.pdf
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author X. Yao
X. Cui
J. Yu
W. Sun
W. Sun
author_facet X. Yao
X. Cui
J. Yu
W. Sun
W. Sun
author_sort X. Yao
collection DOAJ
description According to the IPCC Fourth Assessment, the temperature and evapotranspiration will increase in the future. As a sensitive region to climate change, hydrological process in the middle reaches of the Yellow River will be significantly affected by climate change. In this study, water resources change in the future for a typical basin there: Lushi basin is assessed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model. Downscaled ensemble output from sixteen General Circulation Models (GCMs) for the A1B emission scenario in the 2050s was input to SWAT as the regional climate change scenario. The prediction shows that ET of this basin increases in winter and spring, and decreases in summer and autumn, and the streamflow increases throughout the year. The increased streamflow will probably improve the water demand guarantee and be conducive to crop growth in winter and spring, and may improve the flood risk in summer.
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spelling doaj.art-ddc8f8be115c42e7aee96f20d46aa3472022-12-21T22:25:12ZengCopernicus PublicationsProceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences2199-89812199-899X2015-05-0136829329810.5194/piahs-368-293-2015Response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, ChinaX. Yao0X. Cui1J. Yu2W. Sun3W. Sun4College of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Xinjiekouwai Street 19, 100875 Beijing, ChinaCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Xinjiekouwai Street 19, 100875 Beijing, ChinaCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Xinjiekouwai Street 19, 100875 Beijing, ChinaCollege of Water Sciences, Beijing Normal University, Xinjiekouwai Street 19, 100875 Beijing, ChinaJoint Center for Global Change Studies, Beijing 100875, ChinaAccording to the IPCC Fourth Assessment, the temperature and evapotranspiration will increase in the future. As a sensitive region to climate change, hydrological process in the middle reaches of the Yellow River will be significantly affected by climate change. In this study, water resources change in the future for a typical basin there: Lushi basin is assessed using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) hydrological model. Downscaled ensemble output from sixteen General Circulation Models (GCMs) for the A1B emission scenario in the 2050s was input to SWAT as the regional climate change scenario. The prediction shows that ET of this basin increases in winter and spring, and decreases in summer and autumn, and the streamflow increases throughout the year. The increased streamflow will probably improve the water demand guarantee and be conducive to crop growth in winter and spring, and may improve the flood risk in summer.https://www.proc-iahs.net/368/293/2015/piahs-368-293-2015.pdf
spellingShingle X. Yao
X. Cui
J. Yu
W. Sun
W. Sun
Response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, China
Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences
title Response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, China
title_full Response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, China
title_fullStr Response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, China
title_full_unstemmed Response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, China
title_short Response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the Yellow River, China
title_sort response of hydrological processes to climate change in the middle reaches of the yellow river china
url https://www.proc-iahs.net/368/293/2015/piahs-368-293-2015.pdf
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AT wsun responseofhydrologicalprocessestoclimatechangeinthemiddlereachesoftheyellowriverchina
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