Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?

When asked to evaluate their probability of experiencing a negative life event, healthy individuals update their beliefs more following good news than bad. This is referred to as optimistic belief updating. By contrast, individuals with depression update their beliefs by a similar amount, showing re...

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Main Authors: Catherine Hobbs, Petra Vozarova, Aarushi Sabharwal, Punit Shah, Katherine Button
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2022-02-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.190814
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author Catherine Hobbs
Petra Vozarova
Aarushi Sabharwal
Punit Shah
Katherine Button
author_facet Catherine Hobbs
Petra Vozarova
Aarushi Sabharwal
Punit Shah
Katherine Button
author_sort Catherine Hobbs
collection DOAJ
description When asked to evaluate their probability of experiencing a negative life event, healthy individuals update their beliefs more following good news than bad. This is referred to as optimistic belief updating. By contrast, individuals with depression update their beliefs by a similar amount, showing reduced optimism. We conducted the first independent replication of this effect and extended this work to examine whether reduced optimistic belief updating in depression also occurs for positive life events. Replicating previous research, healthy and depression groups differed in belief updating for negative events (β = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.24, 1.18). Whereas healthy participants updated their beliefs more following good news than bad, individuals experiencing depression lacked this bias. However, our findings for positive events were inconclusive. While we did not find statistical evidence that patterns of belief updating between groups varied by valence (β = −0.51, 95% CI: −1.16, 0.15), mean update scores suggested that both groups showed largely similar updating for positive life events. Our results add confidence to previous findings that depression is characterized by negative future expectations maintained by reduced updating in response to good news. However, further research is required to understand the specificity of this to negative events, and into refining methods for quantifying belief updating in clinical and non-clinical research.
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spelling doaj.art-dde2eac748a446ea804c097530767e4f2022-12-22T04:06:08ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032022-02-019210.1098/rsos.190814Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?Catherine Hobbs0Petra Vozarova1Aarushi Sabharwal2Punit Shah3Katherine Button4Department of Psychology, University of Bath, 10 West, Bath BA2 7AYDepartment of Psychology, University of Bath, 10 West, Bath BA2 7AYDepartment of Psychology, University of Bath, 10 West, Bath BA2 7AYDepartment of Psychology, University of Bath, 10 West, Bath BA2 7AYDepartment of Psychology, University of Bath, 10 West, Bath BA2 7AYWhen asked to evaluate their probability of experiencing a negative life event, healthy individuals update their beliefs more following good news than bad. This is referred to as optimistic belief updating. By contrast, individuals with depression update their beliefs by a similar amount, showing reduced optimism. We conducted the first independent replication of this effect and extended this work to examine whether reduced optimistic belief updating in depression also occurs for positive life events. Replicating previous research, healthy and depression groups differed in belief updating for negative events (β = 0.71, 95% CI: 0.24, 1.18). Whereas healthy participants updated their beliefs more following good news than bad, individuals experiencing depression lacked this bias. However, our findings for positive events were inconclusive. While we did not find statistical evidence that patterns of belief updating between groups varied by valence (β = −0.51, 95% CI: −1.16, 0.15), mean update scores suggested that both groups showed largely similar updating for positive life events. Our results add confidence to previous findings that depression is characterized by negative future expectations maintained by reduced updating in response to good news. However, further research is required to understand the specificity of this to negative events, and into refining methods for quantifying belief updating in clinical and non-clinical research.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.190814depressioncognitive biasesoptimismbelief updating
spellingShingle Catherine Hobbs
Petra Vozarova
Aarushi Sabharwal
Punit Shah
Katherine Button
Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?
Royal Society Open Science
depression
cognitive biases
optimism
belief updating
title Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?
title_full Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?
title_fullStr Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?
title_full_unstemmed Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?
title_short Is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating?
title_sort is depression associated with reduced optimistic belief updating
topic depression
cognitive biases
optimism
belief updating
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/10.1098/rsos.190814
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