PREDICTIVE TOOLS AS PART OF DECISSION AIDING PROCESSES AT THE AIRPORT – THE CASE OF FACEBOOK PROPHET LIBRARY
Prophet is a quite fresh and promising open-source library for machine learning, developed by Facebook, that gains some significant interest. It could be used for predicting time series taking into account holidays and seasonality effects. Its possible applications and deficit of scientific works c...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Polish Association for Knowledge Promotion
2023-12-01
|
| Series: | Applied Computer Science |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://ph.pollub.pl/index.php/acs/article/view/4436 |
| _version_ | 1797362195589234688 |
|---|---|
| author | Sylwester KORGA Kamil ŻYŁA Jerzy JÓZWIK Jarosław PYTKA Kamil CYBUL |
| author_facet | Sylwester KORGA Kamil ŻYŁA Jerzy JÓZWIK Jarosław PYTKA Kamil CYBUL |
| author_sort | Sylwester KORGA |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
Prophet is a quite fresh and promising open-source library for machine learning, developed by Facebook, that gains some significant interest. It could be used for predicting time series taking into account holidays and seasonality effects. Its possible applications and deficit of scientific works concerning its usage within decision processes convinced the authors to state the research question, if the Prophet library could provide reliable prediction to support decision-making processes at the airport. The case of Radawiec airport (located near Lublin, Poland) was chosen. Official measurement data (from the last 4 years) published by the Polish Government Institute was used to train the neural network and predict daily averages of wind speed, temperature, pressure, relative humidity and rainfall totals during the day and night. It was revealed that most of the predicted data points were within the acceptance threshold, and computations were fast and highly automated. However, the authors believe that the Prophet library is not particularly useful for airport decision-making processes because the way it handles additional regressors and susceptibility to unexpected phenomena negatively affects the reliability of prediction results.
|
| first_indexed | 2024-03-08T16:03:57Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-ddf3f6997418447a88d60147899cc720 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2353-6977 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-08T16:03:57Z |
| publishDate | 2023-12-01 |
| publisher | Polish Association for Knowledge Promotion |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Applied Computer Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-ddf3f6997418447a88d60147899cc7202024-01-08T09:51:33ZengPolish Association for Knowledge PromotionApplied Computer Science2353-69772023-12-0119410.35784/acs-2023-35PREDICTIVE TOOLS AS PART OF DECISSION AIDING PROCESSES AT THE AIRPORT – THE CASE OF FACEBOOK PROPHET LIBRARYSylwester KORGA0Kamil ŻYŁA1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6291-003XJerzy JÓZWIK2Jarosław PYTKA3Kamil CYBUL4Lublin University of TechnologyLublin University of TechnologyLublin University of TechnologyLublin University of TechnologyLublin University of Technology, Central Office of Measures Prophet is a quite fresh and promising open-source library for machine learning, developed by Facebook, that gains some significant interest. It could be used for predicting time series taking into account holidays and seasonality effects. Its possible applications and deficit of scientific works concerning its usage within decision processes convinced the authors to state the research question, if the Prophet library could provide reliable prediction to support decision-making processes at the airport. The case of Radawiec airport (located near Lublin, Poland) was chosen. Official measurement data (from the last 4 years) published by the Polish Government Institute was used to train the neural network and predict daily averages of wind speed, temperature, pressure, relative humidity and rainfall totals during the day and night. It was revealed that most of the predicted data points were within the acceptance threshold, and computations were fast and highly automated. However, the authors believe that the Prophet library is not particularly useful for airport decision-making processes because the way it handles additional regressors and susceptibility to unexpected phenomena negatively affects the reliability of prediction results. https://ph.pollub.pl/index.php/acs/article/view/4436weather predictionFacebook Prophetaviationmachine learningData Analysis |
| spellingShingle | Sylwester KORGA Kamil ŻYŁA Jerzy JÓZWIK Jarosław PYTKA Kamil CYBUL PREDICTIVE TOOLS AS PART OF DECISSION AIDING PROCESSES AT THE AIRPORT – THE CASE OF FACEBOOK PROPHET LIBRARY Applied Computer Science weather prediction Facebook Prophet aviation machine learning Data Analysis |
| title | PREDICTIVE TOOLS AS PART OF DECISSION AIDING PROCESSES AT THE AIRPORT – THE CASE OF FACEBOOK PROPHET LIBRARY |
| title_full | PREDICTIVE TOOLS AS PART OF DECISSION AIDING PROCESSES AT THE AIRPORT – THE CASE OF FACEBOOK PROPHET LIBRARY |
| title_fullStr | PREDICTIVE TOOLS AS PART OF DECISSION AIDING PROCESSES AT THE AIRPORT – THE CASE OF FACEBOOK PROPHET LIBRARY |
| title_full_unstemmed | PREDICTIVE TOOLS AS PART OF DECISSION AIDING PROCESSES AT THE AIRPORT – THE CASE OF FACEBOOK PROPHET LIBRARY |
| title_short | PREDICTIVE TOOLS AS PART OF DECISSION AIDING PROCESSES AT THE AIRPORT – THE CASE OF FACEBOOK PROPHET LIBRARY |
| title_sort | predictive tools as part of decission aiding processes at the airport the case of facebook prophet library |
| topic | weather prediction Facebook Prophet aviation machine learning Data Analysis |
| url | https://ph.pollub.pl/index.php/acs/article/view/4436 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT sylwesterkorga predictivetoolsaspartofdecissionaidingprocessesattheairportthecaseoffacebookprophetlibrary AT kamilzyła predictivetoolsaspartofdecissionaidingprocessesattheairportthecaseoffacebookprophetlibrary AT jerzyjozwik predictivetoolsaspartofdecissionaidingprocessesattheairportthecaseoffacebookprophetlibrary AT jarosławpytka predictivetoolsaspartofdecissionaidingprocessesattheairportthecaseoffacebookprophetlibrary AT kamilcybul predictivetoolsaspartofdecissionaidingprocessesattheairportthecaseoffacebookprophetlibrary |