Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields

Although crop yield generally responds positively to increased atmospheric CO _2 concentration ([CO _2 ]), the response depends on the species and environmental conditions. Thus, even though global [CO _2 ] is increasing roughly uniformly, regional yield response to increased [CO _2 ] will vary due...

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Main Authors: Justin M McGrath, David B Lobell
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2013-01-01
Series:Environmental Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014054
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author Justin M McGrath
David B Lobell
author_facet Justin M McGrath
David B Lobell
author_sort Justin M McGrath
collection DOAJ
description Although crop yield generally responds positively to increased atmospheric CO _2 concentration ([CO _2 ]), the response depends on the species and environmental conditions. Thus, even though global [CO _2 ] is increasing roughly uniformly, regional yield response to increased [CO _2 ] will vary due to differences in climate and the mixture of crops. Although [CO _2 ] effects have been shown to be important for economic and food security impacts of climate change, regional [CO _2 ] effects are not often considered, and the few studies that have considered them disagree on regional patterns. Here regional yield effects of elevated [CO _2 ] are examined by combining experimentally determined CO _2 fertilization effect estimates with grid-level data on climate, crop areas, and yields. Production stimulation varies between regions, mostly driven by differences in climate but also by the mixture of crops. The variability in yield due to the variable response to elevated [CO _2 ] is about 50–70% of the variability in yield due to the variable response to climate. There is, however, little agreement between studies regarding which regions benefit most from elevated [CO _2 ]. This is likely because of interactions of CO _2 with temperature, species, water status, and nitrogen availability, but no models currently account for all these interactions. These results suggest that regional differences in CO _2 effects are of similar importance as regional differences in climate effects and should be included in models.
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spelling doaj.art-de12d6a07d944f4eaf647985c08aba172023-08-09T14:22:53ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research Letters1748-93262013-01-018101405410.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014054Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yieldsJustin M McGrath0David B Lobell1Department of Crop Sciences, University of Illinois , 1206 West Gregory Drive, Urbana, IL 61801, USADepartment of Environmental Earth System Science and Center on Food Security and the Environment, Stanford University , Stanford, CA 94305, USAAlthough crop yield generally responds positively to increased atmospheric CO _2 concentration ([CO _2 ]), the response depends on the species and environmental conditions. Thus, even though global [CO _2 ] is increasing roughly uniformly, regional yield response to increased [CO _2 ] will vary due to differences in climate and the mixture of crops. Although [CO _2 ] effects have been shown to be important for economic and food security impacts of climate change, regional [CO _2 ] effects are not often considered, and the few studies that have considered them disagree on regional patterns. Here regional yield effects of elevated [CO _2 ] are examined by combining experimentally determined CO _2 fertilization effect estimates with grid-level data on climate, crop areas, and yields. Production stimulation varies between regions, mostly driven by differences in climate but also by the mixture of crops. The variability in yield due to the variable response to elevated [CO _2 ] is about 50–70% of the variability in yield due to the variable response to climate. There is, however, little agreement between studies regarding which regions benefit most from elevated [CO _2 ]. This is likely because of interactions of CO _2 with temperature, species, water status, and nitrogen availability, but no models currently account for all these interactions. These results suggest that regional differences in CO _2 effects are of similar importance as regional differences in climate effects and should be included in models.https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/01405492.70.Kb92.60.Ryregional variabilityfood securitycarbon dioxidewater status
spellingShingle Justin M McGrath
David B Lobell
Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields
Environmental Research Letters
92.70.Kb
92.60.Ry
regional variability
food security
carbon dioxide
water status
title Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields
title_full Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields
title_fullStr Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields
title_full_unstemmed Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields
title_short Regional disparities in the CO2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields
title_sort regional disparities in the co2 fertilization effect and implications for crop yields
topic 92.70.Kb
92.60.Ry
regional variability
food security
carbon dioxide
water status
url https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/1/014054
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