Short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the National Power Grid
A very short term forecast (15 min) of photovoltaic generation from solar farms connected to the National Power Grid in Cuba is presented. The approach described here is based, on one side, on the Heliosat II method for the estimation of solar radiation from meteorological satellites visible images...
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Spanish |
| Published: |
Instituto de Meteorología (INSMET)
2023-11-01
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| Series: | Revista Cubana de Meteorología |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://rcm.insmet.cu/index.php/rcm/article/view/813 |
| _version_ | 1797637759281659904 |
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| author | Israel Borrajero Montejo Miguel Hinojosa Fernández Juan Carlos Peláez Chavéz Krystine Naranjo Villalón Alfredo Roque Rodríguez |
| author_facet | Israel Borrajero Montejo Miguel Hinojosa Fernández Juan Carlos Peláez Chavéz Krystine Naranjo Villalón Alfredo Roque Rodríguez |
| author_sort | Israel Borrajero Montejo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description |
A very short term forecast (15 min) of photovoltaic generation from solar farms connected to the National Power Grid in Cuba is presented. The approach described here is based, on one side, on the Heliosat II method for the estimation of solar radiation from meteorological satellites visible images and on the other, on the Cloud Motion Vectors algorithm, which allows to produce an image extrapolated to a near future time based on two consecutive images already received correlation of 0.835 between predicted and reported values in the farms and a mean square error of 0.51 Mw.
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| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T12:53:02Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-de20ae4c9b1445b1b3f8ff2b28113ba5 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 0864-151X 2664-0880 |
| language | Spanish |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T12:53:02Z |
| publishDate | 2023-11-01 |
| publisher | Instituto de Meteorología (INSMET) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Revista Cubana de Meteorología |
| spelling | doaj.art-de20ae4c9b1445b1b3f8ff2b28113ba52023-11-04T00:34:35ZspaInstituto de Meteorología (INSMET)Revista Cubana de Meteorología0864-151X2664-08802023-11-01294Short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the National Power GridIsrael Borrajero Montejo0Miguel Hinojosa Fernández1Juan Carlos Peláez Chavéz2Krystine Naranjo Villalón3Alfredo Roque Rodríguez4Instituto de Meteorología Instituto de Meteorología Instituto de Meteorología Instituto de Meteorología Instituto de Meteorología A very short term forecast (15 min) of photovoltaic generation from solar farms connected to the National Power Grid in Cuba is presented. The approach described here is based, on one side, on the Heliosat II method for the estimation of solar radiation from meteorological satellites visible images and on the other, on the Cloud Motion Vectors algorithm, which allows to produce an image extrapolated to a near future time based on two consecutive images already received correlation of 0.835 between predicted and reported values in the farms and a mean square error of 0.51 Mw. http://rcm.insmet.cu/index.php/rcm/article/view/813Cloud Motion VectorSolar RadiationForecastingShort Term ForecastSatellite Images |
| spellingShingle | Israel Borrajero Montejo Miguel Hinojosa Fernández Juan Carlos Peláez Chavéz Krystine Naranjo Villalón Alfredo Roque Rodríguez Short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the National Power Grid Revista Cubana de Meteorología Cloud Motion Vector Solar Radiation Forecasting Short Term Forecast Satellite Images |
| title | Short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the National Power Grid |
| title_full | Short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the National Power Grid |
| title_fullStr | Short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the National Power Grid |
| title_full_unstemmed | Short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the National Power Grid |
| title_short | Short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the National Power Grid |
| title_sort | short term generation forecast for photovoltaic farms connected to the national power grid |
| topic | Cloud Motion Vector Solar Radiation Forecasting Short Term Forecast Satellite Images |
| url | http://rcm.insmet.cu/index.php/rcm/article/view/813 |
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