Structural Model of Biomedical and Contextual Factors Predicting In-Hospital Mortality due to Heart Failure

<i>Background</i>: Among the clinical predictors of a heart failure (HF) prognosis, different personal factors have been established in previous research, mainly age, gender, anemia, renal insufficiency and diabetes, as well as mediators (pulmonary embolism, hypertension, chronic obstruc...

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Main Authors: Juan Manuel García-Torrecillas, María Carmen Lea-Pereira, Enrique Alonso-Morillejo, Emilio Moreno-Millán, Jesús de la Fuente-Arias
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-06-01
Series:Journal of Personalized Medicine
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/13/6/995
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author Juan Manuel García-Torrecillas
María Carmen Lea-Pereira
Enrique Alonso-Morillejo
Emilio Moreno-Millán
Jesús de la Fuente-Arias
author_facet Juan Manuel García-Torrecillas
María Carmen Lea-Pereira
Enrique Alonso-Morillejo
Emilio Moreno-Millán
Jesús de la Fuente-Arias
author_sort Juan Manuel García-Torrecillas
collection DOAJ
description <i>Background</i>: Among the clinical predictors of a heart failure (HF) prognosis, different personal factors have been established in previous research, mainly age, gender, anemia, renal insufficiency and diabetes, as well as mediators (pulmonary embolism, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), arrhythmias and dyslipidemia). We do not know the role played by contextual and individual factors in the prediction of in-hospital mortality. <i>Methods</i>: The present study has added hospital and management factors (year, type of hospital, length of stay, number of diagnoses and procedures, and readmissions) in predicting exitus to establish a structural predictive model. The project was approved by the Ethics Committee of the province of Almeria. <i>Results</i>: A total of 529,606 subjects participated, through databases of the Spanish National Health System. A predictive model was constructed using correlation analysis (SPSS 24.0) and structural equation models (SEM) analysis (AMOS 20.0) that met the appropriate statistical values (chi-square, usually fit indices and the root-mean-square error approximation) which met the criteria of statistical significance. Individual factors, such as age, gender and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, were found to positively predict mortality risk. Isolated contextual factors (hospitals with a greater number of beds, especially, and also the number of procedures performed, which negatively predicted the risk of death. <i>Conclusions</i>: It was, therefore, possible to introduce contextual variables to explain the behavior of mortality in patients with HF. The size or level of large hospital complexes, as well as procedural effort, are key contextual variables in estimating the risk of mortality in HF.
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spelling doaj.art-de4043913c1d48f1971ed5d463aa94b22023-11-18T11:11:39ZengMDPI AGJournal of Personalized Medicine2075-44262023-06-0113699510.3390/jpm13060995Structural Model of Biomedical and Contextual Factors Predicting In-Hospital Mortality due to Heart FailureJuan Manuel García-Torrecillas0María Carmen Lea-Pereira1Enrique Alonso-Morillejo2Emilio Moreno-Millán3Jesús de la Fuente-Arias4Emergency and Research Unit, Torrecárdenas University Hospital, 04009 Almería, SpainHospital de Poniente, El Ejido, 04700 Almería, SpainSchool of Psychology, University of Almería, 04120 Almería, SpainEquipo de Investigación SEJ-581, Departamento de Economía Aplicada, Universidad de Almería, 04120 Almería, SpainSchool of Education and Psychology, University of Navarra, 31009 Pamplona, Spain<i>Background</i>: Among the clinical predictors of a heart failure (HF) prognosis, different personal factors have been established in previous research, mainly age, gender, anemia, renal insufficiency and diabetes, as well as mediators (pulmonary embolism, hypertension, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), arrhythmias and dyslipidemia). We do not know the role played by contextual and individual factors in the prediction of in-hospital mortality. <i>Methods</i>: The present study has added hospital and management factors (year, type of hospital, length of stay, number of diagnoses and procedures, and readmissions) in predicting exitus to establish a structural predictive model. The project was approved by the Ethics Committee of the province of Almeria. <i>Results</i>: A total of 529,606 subjects participated, through databases of the Spanish National Health System. A predictive model was constructed using correlation analysis (SPSS 24.0) and structural equation models (SEM) analysis (AMOS 20.0) that met the appropriate statistical values (chi-square, usually fit indices and the root-mean-square error approximation) which met the criteria of statistical significance. Individual factors, such as age, gender and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, were found to positively predict mortality risk. Isolated contextual factors (hospitals with a greater number of beds, especially, and also the number of procedures performed, which negatively predicted the risk of death. <i>Conclusions</i>: It was, therefore, possible to introduce contextual variables to explain the behavior of mortality in patients with HF. The size or level of large hospital complexes, as well as procedural effort, are key contextual variables in estimating the risk of mortality in HF.https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/13/6/995SEM analysisheart failurebiomedical factorin-hospital factorsepidemiologymortality
spellingShingle Juan Manuel García-Torrecillas
María Carmen Lea-Pereira
Enrique Alonso-Morillejo
Emilio Moreno-Millán
Jesús de la Fuente-Arias
Structural Model of Biomedical and Contextual Factors Predicting In-Hospital Mortality due to Heart Failure
Journal of Personalized Medicine
SEM analysis
heart failure
biomedical factor
in-hospital factors
epidemiology
mortality
title Structural Model of Biomedical and Contextual Factors Predicting In-Hospital Mortality due to Heart Failure
title_full Structural Model of Biomedical and Contextual Factors Predicting In-Hospital Mortality due to Heart Failure
title_fullStr Structural Model of Biomedical and Contextual Factors Predicting In-Hospital Mortality due to Heart Failure
title_full_unstemmed Structural Model of Biomedical and Contextual Factors Predicting In-Hospital Mortality due to Heart Failure
title_short Structural Model of Biomedical and Contextual Factors Predicting In-Hospital Mortality due to Heart Failure
title_sort structural model of biomedical and contextual factors predicting in hospital mortality due to heart failure
topic SEM analysis
heart failure
biomedical factor
in-hospital factors
epidemiology
mortality
url https://www.mdpi.com/2075-4426/13/6/995
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