Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity Systems

Summary: We use 36 years (1980–2015) of hourly weather data over the contiguous United States (CONUS) to assess the impact of low-cost energy storage on highly reliable electricity systems that use only variable renewable energy (VRE; wind and solar photovoltaics). Even assuming perfect transmission...

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Main Authors: Fan Tong, Mengyao Yuan, Nathan S. Lewis, Steven J. Davis, Ken Caldeira
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2020-09-01
Series:iScience
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004220306763
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author Fan Tong
Mengyao Yuan
Nathan S. Lewis
Steven J. Davis
Ken Caldeira
author_facet Fan Tong
Mengyao Yuan
Nathan S. Lewis
Steven J. Davis
Ken Caldeira
author_sort Fan Tong
collection DOAJ
description Summary: We use 36 years (1980–2015) of hourly weather data over the contiguous United States (CONUS) to assess the impact of low-cost energy storage on highly reliable electricity systems that use only variable renewable energy (VRE; wind and solar photovoltaics). Even assuming perfect transmission of wind and solar generation aggregated over CONUS, energy storage costs would need to decrease several hundred-fold from current costs (to ∼$1/kWh) in fully VRE electricity systems to yield highly reliable electricity without extensive curtailment of VRE generation. The role of energy storage changes from high-cost storage competing with curtailment to fill short-term gaps between VRE generation and hourly demand to near-free storage serving as seasonal storage for VRE resources. Energy storage faces “double penalties” in VRE/storage systems: with increasing capacity, (1) the additional storage is used less frequently and (2) hourly electricity costs would become less volatile, thus reducing price arbitrage opportunities for the additional storage.
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spelling doaj.art-de74cee1a80a4d269112bb0e0a2257ae2022-12-22T02:24:11ZengElsevieriScience2589-00422020-09-01239101484Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity SystemsFan Tong0Mengyao Yuan1Nathan S. Lewis2Steven J. Davis3Ken Caldeira4Department of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA, USA; Energy Analysis & Environmental Impacts Division, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, USADepartment of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA, USADivision of Chemistry and Chemical Engineering, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, USADepartment of Earth System Science, University of California, Irvine, Irvine, CA, USADepartment of Global Ecology, Carnegie Institution for Science, Stanford, CA, USA; Corresponding authorSummary: We use 36 years (1980–2015) of hourly weather data over the contiguous United States (CONUS) to assess the impact of low-cost energy storage on highly reliable electricity systems that use only variable renewable energy (VRE; wind and solar photovoltaics). Even assuming perfect transmission of wind and solar generation aggregated over CONUS, energy storage costs would need to decrease several hundred-fold from current costs (to ∼$1/kWh) in fully VRE electricity systems to yield highly reliable electricity without extensive curtailment of VRE generation. The role of energy storage changes from high-cost storage competing with curtailment to fill short-term gaps between VRE generation and hourly demand to near-free storage serving as seasonal storage for VRE resources. Energy storage faces “double penalties” in VRE/storage systems: with increasing capacity, (1) the additional storage is used less frequently and (2) hourly electricity costs would become less volatile, thus reducing price arbitrage opportunities for the additional storage.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004220306763Energy ResourcesEnergy PolicyEnergy Engineering
spellingShingle Fan Tong
Mengyao Yuan
Nathan S. Lewis
Steven J. Davis
Ken Caldeira
Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity Systems
iScience
Energy Resources
Energy Policy
Energy Engineering
title Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity Systems
title_full Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity Systems
title_fullStr Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity Systems
title_full_unstemmed Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity Systems
title_short Effects of Deep Reductions in Energy Storage Costs on Highly Reliable Wind and Solar Electricity Systems
title_sort effects of deep reductions in energy storage costs on highly reliable wind and solar electricity systems
topic Energy Resources
Energy Policy
Energy Engineering
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589004220306763
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