Educational Mismatch and Workers’ Fertility Intentions: Evidence from China

This paper focuses on the impact of the educational mismatch on workers’ fertility intentions and explores the underlying mechanisms. Empirical research based on the China Family Panel Survey (CFPS) data shows that undereducation has a negative effect on the fertility intentions of women aged 18–35,...

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Main Authors: Zizhe Zhang, Nan Zhao, Wanqing Liao, Hounan Chen
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-10-01
Series:Behavioral Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-328X/13/10/837
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author Zizhe Zhang
Nan Zhao
Wanqing Liao
Hounan Chen
author_facet Zizhe Zhang
Nan Zhao
Wanqing Liao
Hounan Chen
author_sort Zizhe Zhang
collection DOAJ
description This paper focuses on the impact of the educational mismatch on workers’ fertility intentions and explores the underlying mechanisms. Empirical research based on the China Family Panel Survey (CFPS) data shows that undereducation has a negative effect on the fertility intentions of women aged 18–35, whereas overeducation reports no effect, a finding that remains stable in the robustness test and the IV model. An explanation for this phenomenon is that undereducated female workers have a wage premium and higher expectations of career development, which implies a greater opportunity cost of fertility. The heterogeneity analysis shows that women with low socio-economic status, especially those who are less educated, from low-income households, and who are employed in the private sector, are more affected. It is therefore necessary to reduce the substitution risk in the labor market for this group and to lighten the fertility burden and pressure on women.
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spelling doaj.art-de789ad5060e4e15b427c5fdf8ac442d2023-11-19T15:40:26ZengMDPI AGBehavioral Sciences2076-328X2023-10-01131083710.3390/bs13100837Educational Mismatch and Workers’ Fertility Intentions: Evidence from ChinaZizhe Zhang0Nan Zhao1Wanqing Liao2Hounan Chen3School of Statistics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaSchool of Statistics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaSchool of Statistics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaSchool of Statistics, Beijing Normal University, Beijing 100875, ChinaThis paper focuses on the impact of the educational mismatch on workers’ fertility intentions and explores the underlying mechanisms. Empirical research based on the China Family Panel Survey (CFPS) data shows that undereducation has a negative effect on the fertility intentions of women aged 18–35, whereas overeducation reports no effect, a finding that remains stable in the robustness test and the IV model. An explanation for this phenomenon is that undereducated female workers have a wage premium and higher expectations of career development, which implies a greater opportunity cost of fertility. The heterogeneity analysis shows that women with low socio-economic status, especially those who are less educated, from low-income households, and who are employed in the private sector, are more affected. It is therefore necessary to reduce the substitution risk in the labor market for this group and to lighten the fertility burden and pressure on women.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-328X/13/10/837educational mismatchfertility intentionchildbearing opportunity cost
spellingShingle Zizhe Zhang
Nan Zhao
Wanqing Liao
Hounan Chen
Educational Mismatch and Workers’ Fertility Intentions: Evidence from China
Behavioral Sciences
educational mismatch
fertility intention
childbearing opportunity cost
title Educational Mismatch and Workers’ Fertility Intentions: Evidence from China
title_full Educational Mismatch and Workers’ Fertility Intentions: Evidence from China
title_fullStr Educational Mismatch and Workers’ Fertility Intentions: Evidence from China
title_full_unstemmed Educational Mismatch and Workers’ Fertility Intentions: Evidence from China
title_short Educational Mismatch and Workers’ Fertility Intentions: Evidence from China
title_sort educational mismatch and workers fertility intentions evidence from china
topic educational mismatch
fertility intention
childbearing opportunity cost
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-328X/13/10/837
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AT wanqingliao educationalmismatchandworkersfertilityintentionsevidencefromchina
AT hounanchen educationalmismatchandworkersfertilityintentionsevidencefromchina