Evaluating the mesoscale spatio-temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern Europe
<p>As wind energy increases its share of total electricity generation and its integration into the power system becomes more challenging, accurately representing the spatio-temporal variability in wind data becomes crucial. Wind fluctuations impact power and energy systems, e.g. energy system...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Copernicus Publications
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Wind Energy Science |
| Online Access: | https://wes.copernicus.org/articles/7/2255/2022/wes-7-2255-2022.pdf |
| _version_ | 1811189046309814272 |
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| author | G. Luzia A. N. Hahmann M. J. Koivisto |
| author_facet | G. Luzia A. N. Hahmann M. J. Koivisto |
| author_sort | G. Luzia |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | <p>As wind energy increases its share of total electricity generation and its integration into the power system becomes more challenging, accurately representing the spatio-temporal variability in wind data becomes crucial. Wind fluctuations impact power and energy systems, e.g. energy system planning, vulnerability to storm shutdowns, and available voltage stability support. To analyse such fluctuations and their spatio-temporal dependencies, time series of wind speeds at an hourly or higher frequency are needed. We provide a comprehensive evaluation of the global and mesoscale-model-derived wind time series against observations by using a set of metrics that we present as requirements for wind energy integration studies. We also perform a sensitivity analysis to find the best model setup of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, focusing on evaluating the wind speed fluctuation metrics. The results show that using higher spatial resolution in the WRF model simulations improves the representation of temporal fluctuations; however, higher-spatial-resolution simulations often lower the correlations of wind time series with measurements. Thus, we recommend finer-spatial-resolution simulations for modelling power ramp or voltage stability studies but ERA5 rather than mesoscale simulations for studies where correlations with measurements are essential. We also show that the nesting strategy is an important consideration, and a smoother transition from the forcing data to the nested domains improves the correlations with measurements. All mesoscale model simulations overestimate the value of the spatial correlations in wind speed as estimated from observations. Still, the spatial correlations and the wind speed distributions are insensitive to the mesoscale model configuration tested in this study. Regarding these two metrics, mesoscale model simulations present more favourable results than ERA5.</p> |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-11T14:29:12Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-deb22b8deecf4d48a00a73f5542dc6bc |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2366-7443 2366-7451 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-11T14:29:12Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | Copernicus Publications |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Wind Energy Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-deb22b8deecf4d48a00a73f5542dc6bc2022-12-22T04:18:43ZengCopernicus PublicationsWind Energy Science2366-74432366-74512022-11-0172255227010.5194/wes-7-2255-2022Evaluating the mesoscale spatio-temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern EuropeG. LuziaA. N. HahmannM. J. Koivisto<p>As wind energy increases its share of total electricity generation and its integration into the power system becomes more challenging, accurately representing the spatio-temporal variability in wind data becomes crucial. Wind fluctuations impact power and energy systems, e.g. energy system planning, vulnerability to storm shutdowns, and available voltage stability support. To analyse such fluctuations and their spatio-temporal dependencies, time series of wind speeds at an hourly or higher frequency are needed. We provide a comprehensive evaluation of the global and mesoscale-model-derived wind time series against observations by using a set of metrics that we present as requirements for wind energy integration studies. We also perform a sensitivity analysis to find the best model setup of the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model, focusing on evaluating the wind speed fluctuation metrics. The results show that using higher spatial resolution in the WRF model simulations improves the representation of temporal fluctuations; however, higher-spatial-resolution simulations often lower the correlations of wind time series with measurements. Thus, we recommend finer-spatial-resolution simulations for modelling power ramp or voltage stability studies but ERA5 rather than mesoscale simulations for studies where correlations with measurements are essential. We also show that the nesting strategy is an important consideration, and a smoother transition from the forcing data to the nested domains improves the correlations with measurements. All mesoscale model simulations overestimate the value of the spatial correlations in wind speed as estimated from observations. Still, the spatial correlations and the wind speed distributions are insensitive to the mesoscale model configuration tested in this study. Regarding these two metrics, mesoscale model simulations present more favourable results than ERA5.</p>https://wes.copernicus.org/articles/7/2255/2022/wes-7-2255-2022.pdf |
| spellingShingle | G. Luzia A. N. Hahmann M. J. Koivisto Evaluating the mesoscale spatio-temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern Europe Wind Energy Science |
| title | Evaluating the mesoscale spatio-temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern Europe |
| title_full | Evaluating the mesoscale spatio-temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern Europe |
| title_fullStr | Evaluating the mesoscale spatio-temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern Europe |
| title_full_unstemmed | Evaluating the mesoscale spatio-temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern Europe |
| title_short | Evaluating the mesoscale spatio-temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern Europe |
| title_sort | evaluating the mesoscale spatio temporal variability in simulated wind speed time series over northern europe |
| url | https://wes.copernicus.org/articles/7/2255/2022/wes-7-2255-2022.pdf |
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