An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan:
BACKGROUND: Growth in cohabiting unions and non-marital childbearing sits at the core of research on the second demographic transition and related discussions of family bifurcation and children's diverging destinies. OBJECTIVE: How should we think about these two highly influential and purporte...
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| 格式: | 文件 |
| 语言: | English |
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Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research
2023-09-01
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| 丛编: | Demographic Research |
| 主题: | |
| 在线阅读: | https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/49/16 |
| _version_ | 1827825598554177536 |
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| author | Ryohei Mogi James Raymo Miho Iwasawa Shohei Yoda |
| author_facet | Ryohei Mogi James Raymo Miho Iwasawa Shohei Yoda |
| author_sort | Ryohei Mogi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | BACKGROUND: Growth in cohabiting unions and non-marital childbearing sits at the core of research on the second demographic transition and related discussions of family bifurcation and children's diverging destinies. OBJECTIVE: How should we think about these two highly influential and purportedly universal depictions of family change in low-fertility countries where the link between marriage and childbearing remains strong? Using data from large national surveys in Japan, we address this question by describing growing heterogeneity in pathways to first marriage, with a focus on the temporal ordering of cohabitation, pregnancy, engagement, initiation of living together as married, and registration of marriage. RESULTS: Our descriptive analyses demonstrate a substantial increase across marriage cohorts in variation in pathways to family formation in Japan, primarily reflecting growth in premarital cohabitation. Among women in the 2010-2015 marriage cohort, 39% cohabited with their husband prior to marriage. Educational differences in cohabitation experience are small, but cohabitation is more likely to be associated with premarital pregnancy for women with lower levels of educational attainment. CONTRIBUTION: Our descriptive summary of trends and differences in pathways to first marriage provides not only a needed update on changing pathways to family formation in Japan, but also a valuable empirical basis for contextual modification or adaptation of two of the most influential theoretical frameworks for understanding family change in low-fertility societies. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-12T02:52:40Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-dec6dd5ffe9a4e4c9e75b53a3571c054 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 1435-9871 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-12T02:52:40Z |
| publishDate | 2023-09-01 |
| publisher | Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Demographic Research |
| spelling | doaj.art-dec6dd5ffe9a4e4c9e75b53a3571c0542023-09-04T00:00:25ZengMax Planck Institute for Demographic ResearchDemographic Research1435-98712023-09-01491642346410.4054/DemRes.2023.49.166097An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan: Ryohei Mogi0James Raymo1Miho Iwasawa2Shohei Yoda3Syddansk UniversitetPrinceton UniversityNational Institute of Population and Social Security ResearchNational Institute of Population and Social Security ResearchBACKGROUND: Growth in cohabiting unions and non-marital childbearing sits at the core of research on the second demographic transition and related discussions of family bifurcation and children's diverging destinies. OBJECTIVE: How should we think about these two highly influential and purportedly universal depictions of family change in low-fertility countries where the link between marriage and childbearing remains strong? Using data from large national surveys in Japan, we address this question by describing growing heterogeneity in pathways to first marriage, with a focus on the temporal ordering of cohabitation, pregnancy, engagement, initiation of living together as married, and registration of marriage. RESULTS: Our descriptive analyses demonstrate a substantial increase across marriage cohorts in variation in pathways to family formation in Japan, primarily reflecting growth in premarital cohabitation. Among women in the 2010-2015 marriage cohort, 39% cohabited with their husband prior to marriage. Educational differences in cohabitation experience are small, but cohabitation is more likely to be associated with premarital pregnancy for women with lower levels of educational attainment. CONTRIBUTION: Our descriptive summary of trends and differences in pathways to first marriage provides not only a needed update on changing pathways to family formation in Japan, but also a valuable empirical basis for contextual modification or adaptation of two of the most influential theoretical frameworks for understanding family change in low-fertility societies. https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/49/16cohabitationfirst marriagespattern of disadvantagepremarital childrensecond demographic transitiontransition |
| spellingShingle | Ryohei Mogi James Raymo Miho Iwasawa Shohei Yoda An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan: Demographic Research cohabitation first marriages pattern of disadvantage premarital children second demographic transition transition |
| title | An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan: |
| title_full | An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan: |
| title_fullStr | An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan: |
| title_full_unstemmed | An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan: |
| title_short | An alternative version of the second demographic transition? Changing pathways to first marriage in Japan: |
| title_sort | alternative version of the second demographic transition changing pathways to first marriage in japan |
| topic | cohabitation first marriages pattern of disadvantage premarital children second demographic transition transition |
| url | https://www.demographic-research.org/articles/volume/49/16 |
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