Spatiotemporal Evolution and Cause Analysis of Urban Housing Investment Resilience: An Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China

In this study, we explore the evolution and formation mechanism of urban housing investment resilience from three perspectives: theoretical analysis, model construction, and empirical testing. Based on the three-element theory of investment decision making and urban resilience system theory, a theor...

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Main Authors: Linyan Wang, Haiqing Hu, Xianzhu Wang, Xincheng Zhang, Hao Sun
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Land
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/10/1725
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author Linyan Wang
Haiqing Hu
Xianzhu Wang
Xincheng Zhang
Hao Sun
author_facet Linyan Wang
Haiqing Hu
Xianzhu Wang
Xincheng Zhang
Hao Sun
author_sort Linyan Wang
collection DOAJ
description In this study, we explore the evolution and formation mechanism of urban housing investment resilience from three perspectives: theoretical analysis, model construction, and empirical testing. Based on the three-element theory of investment decision making and urban resilience system theory, a theoretical framework of urban housing investment resilience is constructed. Spatiotemporal analysis and qualitative comparison methods are used to divide 35 large and medium-sized cities into two categories, first-tier and non-first-tier cities, and their spatiotemporal characteristics and differences in terms of formation mechanism differences then explored. The results show that (1) the overall housing investment resilience of the 35 investigated cities is low, with the characteristics of periodic evolution, and there are obvious differences between the first-tier and non-first-tier cities as well as unbalanced development problems. (2) The three internal investment decision factors of returns, costs, and expectations and the five external support factors of economic growth, infrastructure development, labor market, policy regulation, and monetary policy do not, by themselves, constitute the necessary conditions for high levels of urban housing investment resilience, and there are three paths for the development of high levels of housing investment resilience in both first-tier and non-first-tier cities. (3) The twos types of cities have the same conformational path of "return- and cost-driven" but different dedicated conformational paths, including "cost-driven", "expectation- driven", and "return- and expectation-driven", and the core conditions in their driving paths are different, with real estate policy being the core condition in the path of first-tier cities and infrastructure development and labor markets being the core conditions in the path of non-first-tier cities. (4) There is a potential substitution relationship between the three configuration paths of first-tier and non-first-tier cities, and the substitution relationship between the two types of cities is also different. The findings of this study reveal that the complex interaction between the urban resilience system, represented by infrastructure construction, and multiple factors, including the three elements of investment, can have an impact on the resilience of real estate investment.
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spelling doaj.art-dedd2690164f47ceb6145296b70c61022023-11-24T00:53:07ZengMDPI AGLand2073-445X2022-10-011110172510.3390/land11101725Spatiotemporal Evolution and Cause Analysis of Urban Housing Investment Resilience: An Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities in ChinaLinyan Wang0Haiqing Hu1Xianzhu Wang2Xincheng Zhang3Hao Sun4School of Economics and Management, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710054, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Xi’an University of Technology, Xi’an 710054, ChinaSchool of Business, Anhui University of Technology, Ma’an shan 243002, ChinaSchool of Culture, Tourism and Journalism and Arts, Shanxi University of Finance and Economics, Taiyuan 030006, ChinaSchool of Business, Anhui University of Technology, Ma’an shan 243002, ChinaIn this study, we explore the evolution and formation mechanism of urban housing investment resilience from three perspectives: theoretical analysis, model construction, and empirical testing. Based on the three-element theory of investment decision making and urban resilience system theory, a theoretical framework of urban housing investment resilience is constructed. Spatiotemporal analysis and qualitative comparison methods are used to divide 35 large and medium-sized cities into two categories, first-tier and non-first-tier cities, and their spatiotemporal characteristics and differences in terms of formation mechanism differences then explored. The results show that (1) the overall housing investment resilience of the 35 investigated cities is low, with the characteristics of periodic evolution, and there are obvious differences between the first-tier and non-first-tier cities as well as unbalanced development problems. (2) The three internal investment decision factors of returns, costs, and expectations and the five external support factors of economic growth, infrastructure development, labor market, policy regulation, and monetary policy do not, by themselves, constitute the necessary conditions for high levels of urban housing investment resilience, and there are three paths for the development of high levels of housing investment resilience in both first-tier and non-first-tier cities. (3) The twos types of cities have the same conformational path of "return- and cost-driven" but different dedicated conformational paths, including "cost-driven", "expectation- driven", and "return- and expectation-driven", and the core conditions in their driving paths are different, with real estate policy being the core condition in the path of first-tier cities and infrastructure development and labor markets being the core conditions in the path of non-first-tier cities. (4) There is a potential substitution relationship between the three configuration paths of first-tier and non-first-tier cities, and the substitution relationship between the two types of cities is also different. The findings of this study reveal that the complex interaction between the urban resilience system, represented by infrastructure construction, and multiple factors, including the three elements of investment, can have an impact on the resilience of real estate investment.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/10/1725citieshousing investment resilienceinfluencing factorsfsQCAinfrastructure construction
spellingShingle Linyan Wang
Haiqing Hu
Xianzhu Wang
Xincheng Zhang
Hao Sun
Spatiotemporal Evolution and Cause Analysis of Urban Housing Investment Resilience: An Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China
Land
cities
housing investment resilience
influencing factors
fsQCA
infrastructure construction
title Spatiotemporal Evolution and Cause Analysis of Urban Housing Investment Resilience: An Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China
title_full Spatiotemporal Evolution and Cause Analysis of Urban Housing Investment Resilience: An Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China
title_fullStr Spatiotemporal Evolution and Cause Analysis of Urban Housing Investment Resilience: An Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China
title_full_unstemmed Spatiotemporal Evolution and Cause Analysis of Urban Housing Investment Resilience: An Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China
title_short Spatiotemporal Evolution and Cause Analysis of Urban Housing Investment Resilience: An Empirical Study of 35 Large and Medium-Sized Cities in China
title_sort spatiotemporal evolution and cause analysis of urban housing investment resilience an empirical study of 35 large and medium sized cities in china
topic cities
housing investment resilience
influencing factors
fsQCA
infrastructure construction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/11/10/1725
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