Role of Interest Rates on Fleet Capacity Adjustment Decisions of Shipowners

The aim of this study is to empirically examine the impact of real interest rate on global fleet adjustment processes by modelling new orders and demolitions. The data set used consists of 34 annual observations and covers the years between 1985 and 2018. According to the results, the freight rate h...

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Main Authors: Abdullah Açık, Halil Hüseyin İshak Kesiktaş, Sadık Özlen Başer
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Ekonomi ve Finansal Araştırmalar Derneği 2020-04-01
Series:Ekonomi, Politika & Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi
Subjects:
Online Access:https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/1080908
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author Abdullah Açık
Halil Hüseyin İshak Kesiktaş
Sadık Özlen Başer
author_facet Abdullah Açık
Halil Hüseyin İshak Kesiktaş
Sadık Özlen Başer
author_sort Abdullah Açık
collection DOAJ
description The aim of this study is to empirically examine the impact of real interest rate on global fleet adjustment processes by modelling new orders and demolitions. The data set used consists of 34 annual observations and covers the years between 1985 and 2018. According to the results, the freight rate has a positive impact on amount of new ship orders and a negative impact on amount of ships scrapped, while the real interest rate has a negative impact on both amount of new ship orders and ships scrapped. The impact of freight rate on new ship orders and demolitions is clear whereas the impact of the real interest rate may be explained by two reasons. Increasing capital costs due to increasing interest rates may cause decrease in both new orders and demolitions as ordering new ships becomes more expensive. The second one may be related to expectations of ship investors to gain more revenue by evaluating their capitals on higher interest rates instead of ordering new ships. Therefore, it is important to limit negative impact of high interest rates by various policies so that maritime transport sector can contribute to economic growth by facilitating trade with sustainable costs.
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spelling doaj.art-defc5e858ffc45ad92e7a9304e8533b62024-03-01T08:31:42ZengEkonomi ve Finansal Araştırmalar DerneğiEkonomi, Politika & Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi2587-151X2020-04-0151668010.30784/epfad.642061957Role of Interest Rates on Fleet Capacity Adjustment Decisions of ShipownersAbdullah Açık0Halil Hüseyin İshak Kesiktaş1Sadık Özlen Başer2DOKUZ EYLÜL ÜNİVERSİTESİ, DENİZCİLİK FAKÜLTESİ, DENİZCİLİK İŞLETMELERİ YÖNETİMİ BÖLÜMÜDOKUZ EYLÜL ÜNİVERSİTESİ, DENİZCİLİK FAKÜLTESİ, DENİZCİLİK İŞLETMELERİ YÖNETİMİ BÖLÜMÜDOKUZ EYLÜL ÜNİVERSİTESİ, DENİZCİLİK FAKÜLTESİ, DENİZCİLİK İŞLETMELERİ YÖNETİMİ BÖLÜMÜThe aim of this study is to empirically examine the impact of real interest rate on global fleet adjustment processes by modelling new orders and demolitions. The data set used consists of 34 annual observations and covers the years between 1985 and 2018. According to the results, the freight rate has a positive impact on amount of new ship orders and a negative impact on amount of ships scrapped, while the real interest rate has a negative impact on both amount of new ship orders and ships scrapped. The impact of freight rate on new ship orders and demolitions is clear whereas the impact of the real interest rate may be explained by two reasons. Increasing capital costs due to increasing interest rates may cause decrease in both new orders and demolitions as ordering new ships becomes more expensive. The second one may be related to expectations of ship investors to gain more revenue by evaluating their capitals on higher interest rates instead of ordering new ships. Therefore, it is important to limit negative impact of high interest rates by various policies so that maritime transport sector can contribute to economic growth by facilitating trade with sustainable costs.https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/1080908interest rateship investmentdemolitionfaiz oranıgemi yatırımıgemi hurdası
spellingShingle Abdullah Açık
Halil Hüseyin İshak Kesiktaş
Sadık Özlen Başer
Role of Interest Rates on Fleet Capacity Adjustment Decisions of Shipowners
Ekonomi, Politika & Finans Araştırmaları Dergisi
interest rate
ship investment
demolition
faiz oranı
gemi yatırımı
gemi hurdası
title Role of Interest Rates on Fleet Capacity Adjustment Decisions of Shipowners
title_full Role of Interest Rates on Fleet Capacity Adjustment Decisions of Shipowners
title_fullStr Role of Interest Rates on Fleet Capacity Adjustment Decisions of Shipowners
title_full_unstemmed Role of Interest Rates on Fleet Capacity Adjustment Decisions of Shipowners
title_short Role of Interest Rates on Fleet Capacity Adjustment Decisions of Shipowners
title_sort role of interest rates on fleet capacity adjustment decisions of shipowners
topic interest rate
ship investment
demolition
faiz oranı
gemi yatırımı
gemi hurdası
url https://dergipark.org.tr/tr/download/article-file/1080908
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AT sadıkozlenbaser roleofinterestratesonfleetcapacityadjustmentdecisionsofshipowners