Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 Models

We examine the capability of thirteen Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 5 (CMIP5) models in simulating climatology and interannual variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track (WNPST). It is found that nearly half of the selected models can reproduce the spatial pattern of WNPST...

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Main Authors: Minghao Yang, Xin Li, Ruiting Zuo, Xiong Chen, Liqiong Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-02-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/9/3/79
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author Minghao Yang
Xin Li
Ruiting Zuo
Xiong Chen
Liqiong Wang
author_facet Minghao Yang
Xin Li
Ruiting Zuo
Xiong Chen
Liqiong Wang
author_sort Minghao Yang
collection DOAJ
description We examine the capability of thirteen Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 5 (CMIP5) models in simulating climatology and interannual variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track (WNPST). It is found that nearly half of the selected models can reproduce the spatial pattern of WNPST climatology. However, the strength and spatial variation of WNPST climatology are weak in most of the models. Most differences among the models are in the northeast of the simulated multi-model ensemble (MME) climatology, while it is more consistent in the south. The MME can reflect not only the center position, but also the strength and spatial distribution of interannual variation of the WNPST amplitude. Except for CNRM-CM5, the interannual standard deviations of simulated WNPST strength and spatial variation in all other models are weak. ACCESS1-3 and CanESM2 have a better capability in simulating the spatial modes of WNPST, while the simulated second and third modes in some models are in opposite order with those in NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) reanalysis. Only five models and MME can capture “midwinter suppression” feature in their simulations. Compared with NCEP reanalysis, the winter longitude index is larger and latitude index is smaller in most of the models, indicating the simulated storm track is further east and south. CNRM-CM5, MME and CMCC-CM could be used to evaluate interannual variation of strength index, longitude index and latitude index respectively. Nevertheless, only INM-CM4 and CNRM-CM5 can simulate southward drift of WNPST.
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spelling doaj.art-df6e26a8a08648d6937aae6f51332e952022-12-22T03:35:39ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332018-02-01937910.3390/atmos9030079atmos9030079Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 ModelsMinghao Yang0Xin Li1Ruiting Zuo2Xiong Chen3Liqiong Wang4College of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Nanjing 211101, ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Nanjing 211101, ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Nanjing 211101, ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Nanjing 211101, ChinaCollege of Meteorology and Oceanography, National University of Defense Technology, Nanjing 211101, ChinaWe examine the capability of thirteen Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) phase 5 (CMIP5) models in simulating climatology and interannual variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track (WNPST). It is found that nearly half of the selected models can reproduce the spatial pattern of WNPST climatology. However, the strength and spatial variation of WNPST climatology are weak in most of the models. Most differences among the models are in the northeast of the simulated multi-model ensemble (MME) climatology, while it is more consistent in the south. The MME can reflect not only the center position, but also the strength and spatial distribution of interannual variation of the WNPST amplitude. Except for CNRM-CM5, the interannual standard deviations of simulated WNPST strength and spatial variation in all other models are weak. ACCESS1-3 and CanESM2 have a better capability in simulating the spatial modes of WNPST, while the simulated second and third modes in some models are in opposite order with those in NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) reanalysis. Only five models and MME can capture “midwinter suppression” feature in their simulations. Compared with NCEP reanalysis, the winter longitude index is larger and latitude index is smaller in most of the models, indicating the simulated storm track is further east and south. CNRM-CM5, MME and CMCC-CM could be used to evaluate interannual variation of strength index, longitude index and latitude index respectively. Nevertheless, only INM-CM4 and CNRM-CM5 can simulate southward drift of WNPST.http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/9/3/79Winter North Pacific Storm TrackCMIP5interannual variabilityspatial modestorm track index
spellingShingle Minghao Yang
Xin Li
Ruiting Zuo
Xiong Chen
Liqiong Wang
Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 Models
Atmosphere
Winter North Pacific Storm Track
CMIP5
interannual variability
spatial mode
storm track index
title Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 Models
title_full Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 Models
title_fullStr Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 Models
title_full_unstemmed Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 Models
title_short Climatology and Interannual Variability of Winter North Pacific Storm Track in CMIP5 Models
title_sort climatology and interannual variability of winter north pacific storm track in cmip5 models
topic Winter North Pacific Storm Track
CMIP5
interannual variability
spatial mode
storm track index
url http://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/9/3/79
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AT xinli climatologyandinterannualvariabilityofwinternorthpacificstormtrackincmip5models
AT ruitingzuo climatologyandinterannualvariabilityofwinternorthpacificstormtrackincmip5models
AT xiongchen climatologyandinterannualvariabilityofwinternorthpacificstormtrackincmip5models
AT liqiongwang climatologyandinterannualvariabilityofwinternorthpacificstormtrackincmip5models