State of Asthma-Related Hospital Admissions in New Zealand and Predicting Length of Stay Using Machine Learning

Length of stay (LOS) is a key indicator of healthcare quality and reflects the burden on the healthcare system. However, limited studies have used machine learning to predict LOS in asthma. This study aimed to explore the characteristics and associations between asthma-related admission data variabl...

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Main Authors: Widana Kankanamge Darsha Jayamini, Farhaan Mirza, M. Asif Naeem, Amy Hai Yan Chan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-10-01
Series:Applied Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/19/9890
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author Widana Kankanamge Darsha Jayamini
Farhaan Mirza
M. Asif Naeem
Amy Hai Yan Chan
author_facet Widana Kankanamge Darsha Jayamini
Farhaan Mirza
M. Asif Naeem
Amy Hai Yan Chan
author_sort Widana Kankanamge Darsha Jayamini
collection DOAJ
description Length of stay (LOS) is a key indicator of healthcare quality and reflects the burden on the healthcare system. However, limited studies have used machine learning to predict LOS in asthma. This study aimed to explore the characteristics and associations between asthma-related admission data variables with LOS and to use those factors to predict LOS. A dataset of asthma-related admissions in the Auckland region was analysed using different statistical techniques. Using those predictors, machine learning models were built to predict LOS. Demographic, diagnostic, and temporal factors were associated with LOS. Māori females had the highest average LOS among all the admissions at 2.8 days. The random forest algorithm performed well, with an RMSE of 2.48, MAE of 1.67, and MSE of 6.15. The mean predicted LOS by random forest was 2.6 days with a standard deviation of 1.0. The other three algorithms were also acceptable in predicting LOS. Implementing more robust machine learning classifiers, such as artificial neural networks, could outperform the models used in this study. Future work to further develop these models with other regions and to identify the reasons behind the shorter and longer stays for asthma patients is warranted.
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spelling doaj.art-df6fb9657a254769ab20e0c32af3de842023-11-23T19:47:23ZengMDPI AGApplied Sciences2076-34172022-10-011219989010.3390/app12199890State of Asthma-Related Hospital Admissions in New Zealand and Predicting Length of Stay Using Machine LearningWidana Kankanamge Darsha Jayamini0Farhaan Mirza1M. Asif Naeem2Amy Hai Yan Chan3School of Engineering, Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland 1010, New ZealandSchool of Engineering, Computer and Mathematical Sciences, Auckland University of Technology, Auckland 1010, New ZealandSchool of Computing, National University of Computer and Emerging Sciences (NUCES), Islamabad 44000, PakistanSchool of Pharmacy, Faculty of Medical and Health Sciences, University of Auckland, Auckland 1010, New ZealandLength of stay (LOS) is a key indicator of healthcare quality and reflects the burden on the healthcare system. However, limited studies have used machine learning to predict LOS in asthma. This study aimed to explore the characteristics and associations between asthma-related admission data variables with LOS and to use those factors to predict LOS. A dataset of asthma-related admissions in the Auckland region was analysed using different statistical techniques. Using those predictors, machine learning models were built to predict LOS. Demographic, diagnostic, and temporal factors were associated with LOS. Māori females had the highest average LOS among all the admissions at 2.8 days. The random forest algorithm performed well, with an RMSE of 2.48, MAE of 1.67, and MSE of 6.15. The mean predicted LOS by random forest was 2.6 days with a standard deviation of 1.0. The other three algorithms were also acceptable in predicting LOS. Implementing more robust machine learning classifiers, such as artificial neural networks, could outperform the models used in this study. Future work to further develop these models with other regions and to identify the reasons behind the shorter and longer stays for asthma patients is warranted.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/19/9890asthmalength of staymachine-learningprediction
spellingShingle Widana Kankanamge Darsha Jayamini
Farhaan Mirza
M. Asif Naeem
Amy Hai Yan Chan
State of Asthma-Related Hospital Admissions in New Zealand and Predicting Length of Stay Using Machine Learning
Applied Sciences
asthma
length of stay
machine-learning
prediction
title State of Asthma-Related Hospital Admissions in New Zealand and Predicting Length of Stay Using Machine Learning
title_full State of Asthma-Related Hospital Admissions in New Zealand and Predicting Length of Stay Using Machine Learning
title_fullStr State of Asthma-Related Hospital Admissions in New Zealand and Predicting Length of Stay Using Machine Learning
title_full_unstemmed State of Asthma-Related Hospital Admissions in New Zealand and Predicting Length of Stay Using Machine Learning
title_short State of Asthma-Related Hospital Admissions in New Zealand and Predicting Length of Stay Using Machine Learning
title_sort state of asthma related hospital admissions in new zealand and predicting length of stay using machine learning
topic asthma
length of stay
machine-learning
prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3417/12/19/9890
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