Extreme Value Analysis and Modelling of Wet Snow Accretion on Overhead Lines in Hungary

Wet snow events in Hungary can occasionally cause damage to overhead power lines and serious power supply failures. Return period calculation of such high snow mass events was determined upon a 50-year long data series available at 12 meteorological stations. Wet snow masses were estimated with a mo...

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Main Authors: Katalin Somfalvi-Tóth, André Simon
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-12-01
Series:Atmosphere
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/1/81
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author Katalin Somfalvi-Tóth
André Simon
author_facet Katalin Somfalvi-Tóth
André Simon
author_sort Katalin Somfalvi-Tóth
collection DOAJ
description Wet snow events in Hungary can occasionally cause damage to overhead power lines and serious power supply failures. Return period calculation of such high snow mass events was determined upon a 50-year long data series available at 12 meteorological stations. Wet snow masses were estimated with a model of cylindrical accretion around wire of 3.1 cm diameter. Trends in the return periods and ice classes (according to the ISO 12494 standard) were assessed from division of the dataset into two periods (1965–1990 and 1991–2016). Ice classes in the range of R2 to R5 (mass of 0.7–6.1 kg m<sup>−1</sup>) were identified. The wet snow risk decreased in southern or central Hungary, while an increase was found in the western part of Hungary. Ice classes R6–R8 (up to 40 kg m<sup>−1</sup>) could occur in mountain areas of Hungary as indicated by numerical simulations in case studies. However, their return period is unknown due to the lack of long observation series.
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spelling doaj.art-dfb088b0eb624b6e9f8579c709d65fa72023-11-30T21:09:07ZengMDPI AGAtmosphere2073-44332022-12-011418110.3390/atmos14010081Extreme Value Analysis and Modelling of Wet Snow Accretion on Overhead Lines in HungaryKatalin Somfalvi-Tóth0André Simon1Department of Agronomy, Institute of Agronomy, Kaposvár Campus, Hungarian University of Agriculture and Life Sciences, Guba Sándor Str. 40, 7400 Kaposvár, HungarySlovak Hydrometeorological Institute (SHMÚ), 83315 Bratislava, SlovakiaWet snow events in Hungary can occasionally cause damage to overhead power lines and serious power supply failures. Return period calculation of such high snow mass events was determined upon a 50-year long data series available at 12 meteorological stations. Wet snow masses were estimated with a model of cylindrical accretion around wire of 3.1 cm diameter. Trends in the return periods and ice classes (according to the ISO 12494 standard) were assessed from division of the dataset into two periods (1965–1990 and 1991–2016). Ice classes in the range of R2 to R5 (mass of 0.7–6.1 kg m<sup>−1</sup>) were identified. The wet snow risk decreased in southern or central Hungary, while an increase was found in the western part of Hungary. Ice classes R6–R8 (up to 40 kg m<sup>−1</sup>) could occur in mountain areas of Hungary as indicated by numerical simulations in case studies. However, their return period is unknown due to the lack of long observation series.https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/1/81wet snowaccretion massesextreme value analysisPOT methodALADINnumerical models
spellingShingle Katalin Somfalvi-Tóth
André Simon
Extreme Value Analysis and Modelling of Wet Snow Accretion on Overhead Lines in Hungary
Atmosphere
wet snow
accretion masses
extreme value analysis
POT method
ALADIN
numerical models
title Extreme Value Analysis and Modelling of Wet Snow Accretion on Overhead Lines in Hungary
title_full Extreme Value Analysis and Modelling of Wet Snow Accretion on Overhead Lines in Hungary
title_fullStr Extreme Value Analysis and Modelling of Wet Snow Accretion on Overhead Lines in Hungary
title_full_unstemmed Extreme Value Analysis and Modelling of Wet Snow Accretion on Overhead Lines in Hungary
title_short Extreme Value Analysis and Modelling of Wet Snow Accretion on Overhead Lines in Hungary
title_sort extreme value analysis and modelling of wet snow accretion on overhead lines in hungary
topic wet snow
accretion masses
extreme value analysis
POT method
ALADIN
numerical models
url https://www.mdpi.com/2073-4433/14/1/81
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