Country risk at investing in capital markets – the case of Italy

Given the current turbulences on the European capital markets, as well as the expectations of a new recession, it is possible to expect that the risk of individual countries and their capital markets will increase significantly. This is particularly the case of those countries, which have long-term...

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Main Authors: Božena Chovancová, Peter Árendáš, Patrik Slobodník, Iveta Vozňáková
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: LLC "CPC "Business Perspectives" 2019-06-01
Series:Problems and Perspectives in Management
Subjects:
Online Access:https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/12150/PPM_2019_02_Chovancova.pdf
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author Božena Chovancová
Peter Árendáš
Patrik Slobodník
Iveta Vozňáková
author_facet Božena Chovancová
Peter Árendáš
Patrik Slobodník
Iveta Vozňáková
author_sort Božena Chovancová
collection DOAJ
description Given the current turbulences on the European capital markets, as well as the expectations of a new recession, it is possible to expect that the risk of individual countries and their capital markets will increase significantly. This is particularly the case of those countries, which have long-term problems with economic instability and imbalances. The basis for country risk quantification is the country credit rating and credit risk of the government bonds. The market-based methods react often differently, as their reactions to the actual market developments are more flexible. The purpose of this paper is to compare various methods of country risk measurement. The study is focused on the country risk of Italy, a country that experienced a turbulent economic development over the last two decades. The results show that the CPFER method and sovereign ratings show a similar level of country risk, while the market-based methods show a higher level of country risk.
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spelling doaj.art-e039d52a242d4938ac6fba8bb09cf70f2022-12-22T01:32:22ZengLLC "CPC "Business Perspectives"Problems and Perspectives in Management1727-70511810-54672019-06-0117244044810.21511/ppm.17(2).2019.3412150Country risk at investing in capital markets – the case of ItalyBožena Chovancová0Peter Árendáš1Patrik Slobodník2Iveta Vozňáková3Ph.D., Professor, Department of Banking and International Finance, University of Economics in BratislavaPh.D., Associate Professor, Department of Banking and International Finance, University of Economics in BratislavaDoctoral Student, Department of Banking and International Finance, University of Economics in BratislavaPh.D., Associate Professor, Institute of Entrepreneurship and Marketing, University of Entrepreneurship and Law PragueGiven the current turbulences on the European capital markets, as well as the expectations of a new recession, it is possible to expect that the risk of individual countries and their capital markets will increase significantly. This is particularly the case of those countries, which have long-term problems with economic instability and imbalances. The basis for country risk quantification is the country credit rating and credit risk of the government bonds. The market-based methods react often differently, as their reactions to the actual market developments are more flexible. The purpose of this paper is to compare various methods of country risk measurement. The study is focused on the country risk of Italy, a country that experienced a turbulent economic development over the last two decades. The results show that the CPFER method and sovereign ratings show a similar level of country risk, while the market-based methods show a higher level of country risk.https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/12150/PPM_2019_02_Chovancova.pdfbond marketequity risk premiumrisk spreadsovereign ratingstock market
spellingShingle Božena Chovancová
Peter Árendáš
Patrik Slobodník
Iveta Vozňáková
Country risk at investing in capital markets – the case of Italy
Problems and Perspectives in Management
bond market
equity risk premium
risk spread
sovereign rating
stock market
title Country risk at investing in capital markets – the case of Italy
title_full Country risk at investing in capital markets – the case of Italy
title_fullStr Country risk at investing in capital markets – the case of Italy
title_full_unstemmed Country risk at investing in capital markets – the case of Italy
title_short Country risk at investing in capital markets – the case of Italy
title_sort country risk at investing in capital markets the case of italy
topic bond market
equity risk premium
risk spread
sovereign rating
stock market
url https://businessperspectives.org/images/pdf/applications/publishing/templates/article/assets/12150/PPM_2019_02_Chovancova.pdf
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AT peterarendas countryriskatinvestingincapitalmarketsthecaseofitaly
AT patrikslobodnik countryriskatinvestingincapitalmarketsthecaseofitaly
AT ivetavoznakova countryriskatinvestingincapitalmarketsthecaseofitaly