Enhancing Dropout Prediction in Distributed Educational Data Using Learning Pattern Awareness: A Federated Learning Approach

Learning patterns are crucial for predicting student dropout in educational settings, providing insights into students’ behaviors and motivations. However, existing mainstream dropout prediction models have limitations in effectively mining these learning patterns and cannot mine these learning patt...

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Main Authors: Tiancheng Zhang, Hengyu Liu, Jiale Tao, Yuyang Wang, Minghe Yu, Hui Chen, Ge Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-12-01
Series:Mathematics
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/24/4977
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author Tiancheng Zhang
Hengyu Liu
Jiale Tao
Yuyang Wang
Minghe Yu
Hui Chen
Ge Yu
author_facet Tiancheng Zhang
Hengyu Liu
Jiale Tao
Yuyang Wang
Minghe Yu
Hui Chen
Ge Yu
author_sort Tiancheng Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Learning patterns are crucial for predicting student dropout in educational settings, providing insights into students’ behaviors and motivations. However, existing mainstream dropout prediction models have limitations in effectively mining these learning patterns and cannot mine these learning patterns in large-scale, distributed educational datasets. In this study, we analyze the representations of mainstream models and identify their inability to capture students’ distinct learning patterns and personalized variations across courses. Addressing these challenges, our study adopts a federated learning approach, tailoring the analysis to leverage distributed data while maintaining privacy and decentralization. We introduce the Federated Learning Pattern Aware Dropout Prediction Model (FLPADPM), which utilizes a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) and a bidirectional long short-term memory (LSTM) layer within a federated learning framework. This model is designed to effectively capture nuanced learning patterns and adapt to variations across diverse educational settings. To evaluate the performance of LPADPM, we conduct an empirical evaluation using the KDD Cup 2015 and XuetangX datasets. Our results demonstrate that LPADPM outperforms state-of-the-art models in accurately predicting student dropout behavior. Furthermore, we visualize the representations generated by LPADPM, which confirm its ability to effectively mine learning patterns in different courses. Our results showcase the model’s ability to capture and analyze learning patterns across various courses and institutions within a federated learning context.
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spelling doaj.art-e03c8398527e4f96baa46a047da5bd5a2023-12-22T14:23:29ZengMDPI AGMathematics2227-73902023-12-011124497710.3390/math11244977Enhancing Dropout Prediction in Distributed Educational Data Using Learning Pattern Awareness: A Federated Learning ApproachTiancheng Zhang0Hengyu Liu1Jiale Tao2Yuyang Wang3Minghe Yu4Hui Chen5Ge Yu6School of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeast University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaSchool of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeast University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaSchool of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeast University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaSchool of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeast University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaSchool of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeast University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaSchool of Computing, Faculty of Science and Engineering, Macquarie University, Sydney, NSW 2109, AustraliaSchool of Computer Science and Engineering, Northeast University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaLearning patterns are crucial for predicting student dropout in educational settings, providing insights into students’ behaviors and motivations. However, existing mainstream dropout prediction models have limitations in effectively mining these learning patterns and cannot mine these learning patterns in large-scale, distributed educational datasets. In this study, we analyze the representations of mainstream models and identify their inability to capture students’ distinct learning patterns and personalized variations across courses. Addressing these challenges, our study adopts a federated learning approach, tailoring the analysis to leverage distributed data while maintaining privacy and decentralization. We introduce the Federated Learning Pattern Aware Dropout Prediction Model (FLPADPM), which utilizes a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (CNN) and a bidirectional long short-term memory (LSTM) layer within a federated learning framework. This model is designed to effectively capture nuanced learning patterns and adapt to variations across diverse educational settings. To evaluate the performance of LPADPM, we conduct an empirical evaluation using the KDD Cup 2015 and XuetangX datasets. Our results demonstrate that LPADPM outperforms state-of-the-art models in accurately predicting student dropout behavior. Furthermore, we visualize the representations generated by LPADPM, which confirm its ability to effectively mine learning patterns in different courses. Our results showcase the model’s ability to capture and analyze learning patterns across various courses and institutions within a federated learning context.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/24/4977data analysisfederated learningmachine learningdeep learningdropout prediction
spellingShingle Tiancheng Zhang
Hengyu Liu
Jiale Tao
Yuyang Wang
Minghe Yu
Hui Chen
Ge Yu
Enhancing Dropout Prediction in Distributed Educational Data Using Learning Pattern Awareness: A Federated Learning Approach
Mathematics
data analysis
federated learning
machine learning
deep learning
dropout prediction
title Enhancing Dropout Prediction in Distributed Educational Data Using Learning Pattern Awareness: A Federated Learning Approach
title_full Enhancing Dropout Prediction in Distributed Educational Data Using Learning Pattern Awareness: A Federated Learning Approach
title_fullStr Enhancing Dropout Prediction in Distributed Educational Data Using Learning Pattern Awareness: A Federated Learning Approach
title_full_unstemmed Enhancing Dropout Prediction in Distributed Educational Data Using Learning Pattern Awareness: A Federated Learning Approach
title_short Enhancing Dropout Prediction in Distributed Educational Data Using Learning Pattern Awareness: A Federated Learning Approach
title_sort enhancing dropout prediction in distributed educational data using learning pattern awareness a federated learning approach
topic data analysis
federated learning
machine learning
deep learning
dropout prediction
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/11/24/4977
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