Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS

A process-oriented methodology to conduct precise evaluation temporally and spatially on temperature suitability for potato growth was applied in China. Arable lands in China were gridded with 1 km×1 km geographic units, and potential potato phenology in each unit was automatically identified in ter...

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Main Authors: Ying-bin HE, Yang-fan ZHOU, Wei-min CAI, Zhuo-zhuo WANG, Ding-ding DUAN, Shan-jun LUO, Jing-zhu CHEN
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2017-07-01
Series:Journal of Integrative Agriculture
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311916616271
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author Ying-bin HE
Yang-fan ZHOU
Wei-min CAI
Zhuo-zhuo WANG
Ding-ding DUAN
Shan-jun LUO
Jing-zhu CHEN
author_facet Ying-bin HE
Yang-fan ZHOU
Wei-min CAI
Zhuo-zhuo WANG
Ding-ding DUAN
Shan-jun LUO
Jing-zhu CHEN
author_sort Ying-bin HE
collection DOAJ
description A process-oriented methodology to conduct precise evaluation temporally and spatially on temperature suitability for potato growth was applied in China. Arable lands in China were gridded with 1 km×1 km geographic units, and potential potato phenology in each unit was automatically identified in terms of the potato planting initial temperature and effective accumulated temperature. A temperature thermal response coefficient model was used to compute a temperature suitability value for each day of potato phenology in each geographic unit. In addition, five temperature suitability ranking methods were applied to define suitable areas: (1) upper fourth quantile, (2) median, (3) expected value+1/4 standard deviation, (4) expected value+1/2 standard deviation, (5) expected value+1 standard deviation. A validation indicator was innovated to test the effectiveness of the five ranking methods. The results showed that from a strict degree point of view, the five methods sequence was as follows: 1=3>4>2>5, with a and c determined as the two best ranking methods. For methods 1 and 3, the suitable potato growing area was 1 of 57.76×104 km2. In addition, the suitable areas were spatially coincident with the main potato producing counties. The study output technically supports the proposal from China's government that there is a large potential area to grow winter-ploughed potato in South China because the potential suitable area for growing potato is approximately 2×107 ha. In southeast Heilongjiang and east Jilin, where it is hilly and mountainous, there are still some potentially suitable areas for potato growing accounting for nearly 2.32×106 ha. The authors suggest to optimize the agricultural regionalization and layout in China and to adjust the cropping pattern structure.
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spelling doaj.art-e065a7e2533944838a3da0f2bac6e0ea2022-12-21T18:43:05ZengElsevierJournal of Integrative Agriculture2095-31192017-07-0116715201529Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GISYing-bin HE0Yang-fan ZHOU1Wei-min CAI2Zhuo-zhuo WANG3Ding-ding DUAN4Shan-jun LUO5Jing-zhu CHEN6Institute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100081, P.R.China; School of Management, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, P.R.ChinaInstitute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100081, P.R.China; Correspondence ZHOU Yang-fanSchool of Management, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, P.R.ChinaSchool of Management, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, P.R.ChinaInstitute of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Science, Beijing 100081, P.R.ChinaSchool of Management, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, P.R.ChinaSchool of Management, Tianjin Polytechnic University, Tianjin 300387, P.R.ChinaA process-oriented methodology to conduct precise evaluation temporally and spatially on temperature suitability for potato growth was applied in China. Arable lands in China were gridded with 1 km×1 km geographic units, and potential potato phenology in each unit was automatically identified in terms of the potato planting initial temperature and effective accumulated temperature. A temperature thermal response coefficient model was used to compute a temperature suitability value for each day of potato phenology in each geographic unit. In addition, five temperature suitability ranking methods were applied to define suitable areas: (1) upper fourth quantile, (2) median, (3) expected value+1/4 standard deviation, (4) expected value+1/2 standard deviation, (5) expected value+1 standard deviation. A validation indicator was innovated to test the effectiveness of the five ranking methods. The results showed that from a strict degree point of view, the five methods sequence was as follows: 1=3>4>2>5, with a and c determined as the two best ranking methods. For methods 1 and 3, the suitable potato growing area was 1 of 57.76×104 km2. In addition, the suitable areas were spatially coincident with the main potato producing counties. The study output technically supports the proposal from China's government that there is a large potential area to grow winter-ploughed potato in South China because the potential suitable area for growing potato is approximately 2×107 ha. In southeast Heilongjiang and east Jilin, where it is hilly and mountainous, there are still some potentially suitable areas for potato growing accounting for nearly 2.32×106 ha. The authors suggest to optimize the agricultural regionalization and layout in China and to adjust the cropping pattern structure.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311916616271potatotemperature suitabilitytemperature thermal response coefficient modelranking methodvalidation
spellingShingle Ying-bin HE
Yang-fan ZHOU
Wei-min CAI
Zhuo-zhuo WANG
Ding-ding DUAN
Shan-jun LUO
Jing-zhu CHEN
Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS
Journal of Integrative Agriculture
potato
temperature suitability
temperature thermal response coefficient model
ranking method
validation
title Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS
title_full Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS
title_fullStr Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS
title_full_unstemmed Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS
title_short Using a process-oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in China using GIS
title_sort using a process oriented methodology to precisely evaluate temperature suitability for potato growth in china using gis
topic potato
temperature suitability
temperature thermal response coefficient model
ranking method
validation
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2095311916616271
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