Interlinkages among Terrorism, Macroeconomic Instability, Political Instability, and Economic Growth in Pakistan

This study attempts to establish the relationship between three types of instabilities and economic growth. Political instability, macroeconomic instability, terrorism, and economic growth are analyzed for the period of 1970 to 2019 in Pakistan. The study constructs the indices of the above-mention...

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Main Authors: Ayesha Naz, Hafsa Jabeen, Azra Nasir
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: National University of Sciences and Technology 2021-06-01
Series:NUST Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.njssh.nust.edu.pk/index.php/njssh/article/view/66
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author Ayesha Naz
Hafsa Jabeen
Azra Nasir
author_facet Ayesha Naz
Hafsa Jabeen
Azra Nasir
author_sort Ayesha Naz
collection DOAJ
description This study attempts to establish the relationship between three types of instabilities and economic growth. Political instability, macroeconomic instability, terrorism, and economic growth are analyzed for the period of 1970 to 2019 in Pakistan. The study constructs the indices of the above-mentioned variables by adding some new variables. Results show that terrorism, political instability, macroeconomic instability, and GDP per capita have long-run associations. GDP per capita and political instability is positively related to terrorism. It indicates that political instable environment paves the way for terrorists to achieve their targets in Pakistan. However, the positive association of GDP per capita to terrorism is due to uneven income distribution pattern. It stimulates deprived groups to become a part of violent activities. Furthermore, results show that macroeconomic performance of a country has no significant effect on terrorist activities but persistent poor performance increases the probability of terrorism. Therefore, in the long-run, macroeconomic instability has positive influence on terrorism. Causality relationships indicate no link between political instability and macroeconomic instability. However, terrorism causes both political and macroeconomic instability in Pakistan.
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spelling doaj.art-e08e2ed189324de5b4fed26f88c0b4742024-03-18T09:13:09ZengNational University of Sciences and TechnologyNUST Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities2520-503X2523-00262021-06-017110.51732/njssh.v7i1.66Interlinkages among Terrorism, Macroeconomic Instability, Political Instability, and Economic Growth in PakistanAyesha Naz0Hafsa Jabeen1Azra Nasir2Department of Economics, International Islamic University, Islamabad, Pakistan.Department of Economics, International Islamic University, Islamabad, Pakistan.Department of Economics, National University of Modern Languages (NUML), Islamabad, Pakistan. This study attempts to establish the relationship between three types of instabilities and economic growth. Political instability, macroeconomic instability, terrorism, and economic growth are analyzed for the period of 1970 to 2019 in Pakistan. The study constructs the indices of the above-mentioned variables by adding some new variables. Results show that terrorism, political instability, macroeconomic instability, and GDP per capita have long-run associations. GDP per capita and political instability is positively related to terrorism. It indicates that political instable environment paves the way for terrorists to achieve their targets in Pakistan. However, the positive association of GDP per capita to terrorism is due to uneven income distribution pattern. It stimulates deprived groups to become a part of violent activities. Furthermore, results show that macroeconomic performance of a country has no significant effect on terrorist activities but persistent poor performance increases the probability of terrorism. Therefore, in the long-run, macroeconomic instability has positive influence on terrorism. Causality relationships indicate no link between political instability and macroeconomic instability. However, terrorism causes both political and macroeconomic instability in Pakistan. https://www.njssh.nust.edu.pk/index.php/njssh/article/view/66Political InstabilityEconomic GrowthMacroeconomic InstabilityTerrorism
spellingShingle Ayesha Naz
Hafsa Jabeen
Azra Nasir
Interlinkages among Terrorism, Macroeconomic Instability, Political Instability, and Economic Growth in Pakistan
NUST Journal of Social Sciences and Humanities
Political Instability
Economic Growth
Macroeconomic Instability
Terrorism
title Interlinkages among Terrorism, Macroeconomic Instability, Political Instability, and Economic Growth in Pakistan
title_full Interlinkages among Terrorism, Macroeconomic Instability, Political Instability, and Economic Growth in Pakistan
title_fullStr Interlinkages among Terrorism, Macroeconomic Instability, Political Instability, and Economic Growth in Pakistan
title_full_unstemmed Interlinkages among Terrorism, Macroeconomic Instability, Political Instability, and Economic Growth in Pakistan
title_short Interlinkages among Terrorism, Macroeconomic Instability, Political Instability, and Economic Growth in Pakistan
title_sort interlinkages among terrorism macroeconomic instability political instability and economic growth in pakistan
topic Political Instability
Economic Growth
Macroeconomic Instability
Terrorism
url https://www.njssh.nust.edu.pk/index.php/njssh/article/view/66
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AT hafsajabeen interlinkagesamongterrorismmacroeconomicinstabilitypoliticalinstabilityandeconomicgrowthinpakistan
AT azranasir interlinkagesamongterrorismmacroeconomicinstabilitypoliticalinstabilityandeconomicgrowthinpakistan