Global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus

Objectives: The objective of this study was to map the global risk of the major arboviral diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus by identifying areas where the diseases are reported, either through active transmission or travel-related outbreaks, as well as areas where the diseas...

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Main Authors: Samson Leta, Tariku Jibat Beyene, Eva M. De Clercq, Kebede Amenu, Moritz U.G. Kraemer, Crawford W. Revie
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2018-02-01
Series:International Journal of Infectious Diseases
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971217303089
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author Samson Leta
Tariku Jibat Beyene
Eva M. De Clercq
Kebede Amenu
Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Crawford W. Revie
author_facet Samson Leta
Tariku Jibat Beyene
Eva M. De Clercq
Kebede Amenu
Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Crawford W. Revie
author_sort Samson Leta
collection DOAJ
description Objectives: The objective of this study was to map the global risk of the major arboviral diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus by identifying areas where the diseases are reported, either through active transmission or travel-related outbreaks, as well as areas where the diseases are not currently reported but are nonetheless suitable for the vector. Methods: Data relating to five arboviral diseases (Zika, dengue fever, chikungunya, yellow fever, and Rift Valley fever (RVF)) were extracted from some of the largest contemporary databases and paired with data on the known distribution of their vectors, A. aegypti and A. albopictus. The disease occurrence data for the selected diseases were compiled from literature dating as far back as 1952 to as recent as 2017. The resulting datasets were aggregated at the country level, except in the case of the USA, where state-level data were used. Spatial analysis was used to process the data and to develop risk maps. Results: Out of the 250 countries/territories considered, 215 (86%) are potentially suitable for the survival and establishment of A. aegypti and/or A. albopictus. A. albopictus has suitability foci in 197 countries/territories, while there are 188 that are suitable for A. aegypti. There is considerable variation in the suitability range among countries/territories, but many of the tropical regions of the world provide high suitability over extensive areas. Globally, 146 (58.4%) countries/territories reported at least one arboviral disease, while 123 (49.2%) reported more than one of the above diseases. The overall numbers of countries/territories reporting autochthonous vector-borne occurrences of Zika, dengue, chikungunya, yellow fever, and RVF, were 85, 111, 106, 43, and 39, respectively. Conclusions: With 215 countries/territories potentially suitable for the most important arboviral disease vectors and more than half of these reporting cases, arboviral diseases are indeed a global public health threat. The increasing proportion of reports that include multiple arboviral diseases highlights the expanding range of their common transmission vectors. The shared features of these arboviral diseases should motivate efforts to combine interventions against these diseases.
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spelling doaj.art-e097485933a44cb093390f3533c89e572022-12-21T19:16:18ZengElsevierInternational Journal of Infectious Diseases1201-97121878-35112018-02-0167C253510.1016/j.ijid.2017.11.026Global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictusSamson Leta0Tariku Jibat Beyene1Eva M. De Clercq2Kebede Amenu3Moritz U.G. Kraemer4Crawford W. Revie5Addis Ababa University, College of Veterinary Medicine, PO Box 34, Bishoftu, EthiopiaAddis Ababa University, College of Veterinary Medicine, PO Box 34, Bishoftu, EthiopiaResearch Fellow FNRS, George Lemaître Institute for Earth and Climate Research, Université Catholique de Louvain, Place Louis Pasteur 3, 1348 Louvain-la-Neuve, BelgiumAddis Ababa University, College of Veterinary Medicine, PO Box 34, Bishoftu, EthiopiaHarvard Medical School, Boston, United StatesUniversity of Prince Edward Island, Department of Health Management, Charlottetown, CanadaObjectives: The objective of this study was to map the global risk of the major arboviral diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus by identifying areas where the diseases are reported, either through active transmission or travel-related outbreaks, as well as areas where the diseases are not currently reported but are nonetheless suitable for the vector. Methods: Data relating to five arboviral diseases (Zika, dengue fever, chikungunya, yellow fever, and Rift Valley fever (RVF)) were extracted from some of the largest contemporary databases and paired with data on the known distribution of their vectors, A. aegypti and A. albopictus. The disease occurrence data for the selected diseases were compiled from literature dating as far back as 1952 to as recent as 2017. The resulting datasets were aggregated at the country level, except in the case of the USA, where state-level data were used. Spatial analysis was used to process the data and to develop risk maps. Results: Out of the 250 countries/territories considered, 215 (86%) are potentially suitable for the survival and establishment of A. aegypti and/or A. albopictus. A. albopictus has suitability foci in 197 countries/territories, while there are 188 that are suitable for A. aegypti. There is considerable variation in the suitability range among countries/territories, but many of the tropical regions of the world provide high suitability over extensive areas. Globally, 146 (58.4%) countries/territories reported at least one arboviral disease, while 123 (49.2%) reported more than one of the above diseases. The overall numbers of countries/territories reporting autochthonous vector-borne occurrences of Zika, dengue, chikungunya, yellow fever, and RVF, were 85, 111, 106, 43, and 39, respectively. Conclusions: With 215 countries/territories potentially suitable for the most important arboviral disease vectors and more than half of these reporting cases, arboviral diseases are indeed a global public health threat. The increasing proportion of reports that include multiple arboviral diseases highlights the expanding range of their common transmission vectors. The shared features of these arboviral diseases should motivate efforts to combine interventions against these diseases.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971217303089Aedes aegyptiAedes albopictusArboviral diseasesChikungunyaDengueRVFYellow feverZika
spellingShingle Samson Leta
Tariku Jibat Beyene
Eva M. De Clercq
Kebede Amenu
Moritz U.G. Kraemer
Crawford W. Revie
Global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
International Journal of Infectious Diseases
Aedes aegypti
Aedes albopictus
Arboviral diseases
Chikungunya
Dengue
RVF
Yellow fever
Zika
title Global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_full Global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_fullStr Global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_full_unstemmed Global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_short Global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_sort global risk mapping for major diseases transmitted by aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus
topic Aedes aegypti
Aedes albopictus
Arboviral diseases
Chikungunya
Dengue
RVF
Yellow fever
Zika
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971217303089
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