Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economy

This study explores the impact of accumulated pension funds on the investment level and economic growth in South Africa using Bayesian Linear Regression (BLR) model. Time series data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), total official pension funds and gross fixed capital formation (as a proxy for total...

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Main Authors: Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi, Forget Mingiri Kapingura
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Taylor & Francis Group 2021-01-01
Series:Cogent Business & Management
Subjects:
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.1935661
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author Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi
Forget Mingiri Kapingura
author_facet Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi
Forget Mingiri Kapingura
author_sort Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi
collection DOAJ
description This study explores the impact of accumulated pension funds on the investment level and economic growth in South Africa using Bayesian Linear Regression (BLR) model. Time series data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), total official pension funds and gross fixed capital formation (as a proxy for total investment level) from 1990(Q1) to 2019(Q3) were employed. The study makes use of MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) algorithm to obtain regression model parameters. The empirical findings from Bayesian Linear Regression estimation suggest that the mean effects of pension funds on economic growth and investment level in South Africa are approximately zero. The empirical conclusion is further corroborated by FMOLS results, which show that accumulated pension funds have no significant impact on the overall investment level and economic growth in South African economy. The study recommends that policy makers and the pension funds regulators have to come up with workable means by which pension funds can be invested to significantly benefit the economy; at the same time, ensuring the safety of the invested funds so as not to jeopardize the interest of pension funds owners.
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spelling doaj.art-e0aa8ca92cc64a25b35a4ab39e9b9ddc2022-12-22T04:04:25ZengTaylor & Francis GroupCogent Business & Management2331-19752021-01-018110.1080/23311975.2021.19356611935661Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economyKazeem Abimbola Sanusi0Forget Mingiri Kapingura1University of Fort HareUniversity of Fort HareThis study explores the impact of accumulated pension funds on the investment level and economic growth in South Africa using Bayesian Linear Regression (BLR) model. Time series data on Gross Domestic Product (GDP), total official pension funds and gross fixed capital formation (as a proxy for total investment level) from 1990(Q1) to 2019(Q3) were employed. The study makes use of MCMC (Markov Chain Monte Carlo) algorithm to obtain regression model parameters. The empirical findings from Bayesian Linear Regression estimation suggest that the mean effects of pension funds on economic growth and investment level in South Africa are approximately zero. The empirical conclusion is further corroborated by FMOLS results, which show that accumulated pension funds have no significant impact on the overall investment level and economic growth in South African economy. The study recommends that policy makers and the pension funds regulators have to come up with workable means by which pension funds can be invested to significantly benefit the economy; at the same time, ensuring the safety of the invested funds so as not to jeopardize the interest of pension funds owners.http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.1935661pension fundseconomic growthinvestmentbayesian linear regressionfully modified ordinary least square
spellingShingle Kazeem Abimbola Sanusi
Forget Mingiri Kapingura
Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economy
Cogent Business & Management
pension funds
economic growth
investment
bayesian linear regression
fully modified ordinary least square
title Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economy
title_full Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economy
title_fullStr Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economy
title_full_unstemmed Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economy
title_short Pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth: An empirical insight from South African economy
title_sort pension funds as fuel for overall investment level and economic growth an empirical insight from south african economy
topic pension funds
economic growth
investment
bayesian linear regression
fully modified ordinary least square
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/23311975.2021.1935661
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AT forgetmingirikapingura pensionfundsasfuelforoverallinvestmentlevelandeconomicgrowthanempiricalinsightfromsouthafricaneconomy