System Models of Risk Management in the Formation of Programs of Innovative Development of the Region

Purpose: the aim of the work is to study the risks of innovative development of regions and industries, develop systemic risk management models in the formation and implementation of innovative development programs in the region.Methods: the work used general scientific methods and approaches to res...

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Main Author: M. K. Uandykova
Format: Article
Language:Russian
Published: Nauka 2019-12-01
Series:Модернизация, инновация, развитие
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mir-nayka.com/jour/article/view/974
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author M. K. Uandykova
author_facet M. K. Uandykova
author_sort M. K. Uandykova
collection DOAJ
description Purpose: the aim of the work is to study the risks of innovative development of regions and industries, develop systemic risk management models in the formation and implementation of innovative development programs in the region.Methods: the work used general scientific methods and approaches to research, such as analysis, comparison, generalization, optimization methods. Methodological approaches of risk management models include concepts, approaches aimed at the problems of risk management in the formation and implementation of regional innovative development programs, studied in domestic and foreign literature; mathematical apparatus of dichotomous and network programming.Results: the article provides a methodological justification and description of the criteria aspects of managing such tasks, risk analysis, develops a theory of project risks of a complex of innovative development programs for regions, presents models for assessing complex risk of a program, gives a statement of the problem of risk management and the formation of multi-purpose programs taking into account complex risks, as well as limitations for financing medium-risk and high-risk programs, algorithms for solving the risk management problem by dichotomous methods and networks are presented of programming. The transition from program-targeted management to integrated (joint system use of the project and scenario approaches) was completed, which allowed us to consider them holistically, form a complex of projects–programs, apply risk management mechanisms based on qualitative assessments and propose quantitative models for managing project and program risks of a program complex.Conclusions and Relevance: the proposed approach can be used in the formation and implementation of many program-targeted documents of the state and regional level with the transition to project management, as a tool for analysis and accounting of risks.
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spelling doaj.art-e0ba08838bb6411ba6da334217ffc67a2023-03-13T08:37:14ZrusNaukaМодернизация, инновация, развитие2079-46652411-796X2019-12-0110448750010.18184/2079-4665.2019.10.4.487-500855System Models of Risk Management in the Formation of Programs of Innovative Development of the RegionM. K. Uandykova0Университет Нархоз, АлматыPurpose: the aim of the work is to study the risks of innovative development of regions and industries, develop systemic risk management models in the formation and implementation of innovative development programs in the region.Methods: the work used general scientific methods and approaches to research, such as analysis, comparison, generalization, optimization methods. Methodological approaches of risk management models include concepts, approaches aimed at the problems of risk management in the formation and implementation of regional innovative development programs, studied in domestic and foreign literature; mathematical apparatus of dichotomous and network programming.Results: the article provides a methodological justification and description of the criteria aspects of managing such tasks, risk analysis, develops a theory of project risks of a complex of innovative development programs for regions, presents models for assessing complex risk of a program, gives a statement of the problem of risk management and the formation of multi-purpose programs taking into account complex risks, as well as limitations for financing medium-risk and high-risk programs, algorithms for solving the risk management problem by dichotomous methods and networks are presented of programming. The transition from program-targeted management to integrated (joint system use of the project and scenario approaches) was completed, which allowed us to consider them holistically, form a complex of projects–programs, apply risk management mechanisms based on qualitative assessments and propose quantitative models for managing project and program risks of a program complex.Conclusions and Relevance: the proposed approach can be used in the formation and implementation of many program-targeted documents of the state and regional level with the transition to project management, as a tool for analysis and accounting of risks.https://www.mir-nayka.com/jour/article/view/974инновационное развитиеотрасльрегиональные рискимоделированиеуправление рискамидихотомическое программированиесетевое программирование
spellingShingle M. K. Uandykova
System Models of Risk Management in the Formation of Programs of Innovative Development of the Region
Модернизация, инновация, развитие
инновационное развитие
отрасль
региональные риски
моделирование
управление рисками
дихотомическое программирование
сетевое программирование
title System Models of Risk Management in the Formation of Programs of Innovative Development of the Region
title_full System Models of Risk Management in the Formation of Programs of Innovative Development of the Region
title_fullStr System Models of Risk Management in the Formation of Programs of Innovative Development of the Region
title_full_unstemmed System Models of Risk Management in the Formation of Programs of Innovative Development of the Region
title_short System Models of Risk Management in the Formation of Programs of Innovative Development of the Region
title_sort system models of risk management in the formation of programs of innovative development of the region
topic инновационное развитие
отрасль
региональные риски
моделирование
управление рисками
дихотомическое программирование
сетевое программирование
url https://www.mir-nayka.com/jour/article/view/974
work_keys_str_mv AT mkuandykova systemmodelsofriskmanagementintheformationofprogramsofinnovativedevelopmentoftheregion