Multistate transition modeling: An application using hypertension data

Background & Aim: Multistate models are systems of multivariate survival data where individuals move through a series of  istinct states following certain paths of possible transitions. Such models provide a relevant tool for studying observations of a continuous time process at arbitrary times....

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Awol Seid
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Tehran University of Medical Sciences 2016-12-01
Series:Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/82
_version_ 1818885582814707712
author Awol Seid
author_facet Awol Seid
author_sort Awol Seid
collection DOAJ
description Background & Aim: Multistate models are systems of multivariate survival data where individuals move through a series of  istinct states following certain paths of possible transitions. Such models provide a relevant tool for studying observations of a continuous time process at arbitrary times. The aim of this study was to model the transitions from a healthy (hypertension free) state to an illness (hypertension) state of a hypertensive patient under treatment. Methods & Materials: In this article, the application of multistate modeling using hypertension data is demonstrated. Hospital data were obtained for a cohort of 353 patients from Jimma University Hospital, Ethiopia. Results: Three states of the Markov process are defined based on the WHO guideline of high blood pressure, state 1 (BP < 140/90 mmHg), state 2 (BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg) and state 3 (dropout). The first state is termed as a healthy state, the second an illness state and the third one is an absorbing state. Initially, the state transition intensities and state occupation probabilities are estimated with no covariate. Then, the effect of gender and family history of hypertension on the state transition intensities are evaluated separately and jointly using proportional intensities model. Conclusion: The study indicates that gender has a significant effect on the transition intensities but not family history ofhypertension.
first_indexed 2024-12-19T16:07:44Z
format Article
id doaj.art-e0bcee1f3fe64715a4ebae9b516f3c7a
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2383-4196
2383-420X
language English
last_indexed 2024-12-19T16:07:44Z
publishDate 2016-12-01
publisher Tehran University of Medical Sciences
record_format Article
series Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
spelling doaj.art-e0bcee1f3fe64715a4ebae9b516f3c7a2022-12-21T20:14:49ZengTehran University of Medical SciencesJournal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology2383-41962383-420X2016-12-0122Multistate transition modeling: An application using hypertension dataAwol Seid0Department of Statistics, College of Computing and Informatics, Haramaya University, Dire Dawa, EthiopiaBackground & Aim: Multistate models are systems of multivariate survival data where individuals move through a series of  istinct states following certain paths of possible transitions. Such models provide a relevant tool for studying observations of a continuous time process at arbitrary times. The aim of this study was to model the transitions from a healthy (hypertension free) state to an illness (hypertension) state of a hypertensive patient under treatment. Methods & Materials: In this article, the application of multistate modeling using hypertension data is demonstrated. Hospital data were obtained for a cohort of 353 patients from Jimma University Hospital, Ethiopia. Results: Three states of the Markov process are defined based on the WHO guideline of high blood pressure, state 1 (BP < 140/90 mmHg), state 2 (BP ≥ 140/90 mmHg) and state 3 (dropout). The first state is termed as a healthy state, the second an illness state and the third one is an absorbing state. Initially, the state transition intensities and state occupation probabilities are estimated with no covariate. Then, the effect of gender and family history of hypertension on the state transition intensities are evaluated separately and jointly using proportional intensities model. Conclusion: The study indicates that gender has a significant effect on the transition intensities but not family history ofhypertension.https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/82HypertensionMultistate modelingMarkov process
spellingShingle Awol Seid
Multistate transition modeling: An application using hypertension data
Journal of Biostatistics and Epidemiology
Hypertension
Multistate modeling
Markov process
title Multistate transition modeling: An application using hypertension data
title_full Multistate transition modeling: An application using hypertension data
title_fullStr Multistate transition modeling: An application using hypertension data
title_full_unstemmed Multistate transition modeling: An application using hypertension data
title_short Multistate transition modeling: An application using hypertension data
title_sort multistate transition modeling an application using hypertension data
topic Hypertension
Multistate modeling
Markov process
url https://jbe.tums.ac.ir/index.php/jbe/article/view/82
work_keys_str_mv AT awolseid multistatetransitionmodelinganapplicationusinghypertensiondata