Predicting Provincial Gross Domestic Product Using Satellite Data and Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of Thailand

This study introduced a new approach for monitoring regional development by applying satellite data with machine learning algorithms. Satellite data that represent physical features and environmental factors were obtained by developing a web-based application on the Google Earth Engine platform. Fou...

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Main Authors: NATTAPONG PUTTANAPONG, NUTCHAPON PRASERTSOONG, WICHAYA PEECHAPAT
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: World Scientific Publishing 2023-09-01
Series:Asian Development Review
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110523400024
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author NATTAPONG PUTTANAPONG
NUTCHAPON PRASERTSOONG
WICHAYA PEECHAPAT
author_facet NATTAPONG PUTTANAPONG
NUTCHAPON PRASERTSOONG
WICHAYA PEECHAPAT
author_sort NATTAPONG PUTTANAPONG
collection DOAJ
description This study introduced a new approach for monitoring regional development by applying satellite data with machine learning algorithms. Satellite data that represent physical features and environmental factors were obtained by developing a web-based application on the Google Earth Engine platform. Four machine learning methods were applied to the obtained geospatial data to predict provincial gross domestic product. The random forest method achieved the highest predictive performance, with 97.7% accuracy. The constructed random forest model was extended to conduct variable importance and minimal depth analyses, enabling the quantification of a factor’s influence on the prediction outcome. Variable importance and minimal depth analyses generated similar results, indicating that urban area and population are the most influential factors. Moreover, environmental and climate indicators exert medium-level effects. This study showed that integrating available satellite data and machine learning methods could be an alternative framework for facilitating a timely and costless monitoring system of regional development.
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spelling doaj.art-e100bb6b1a494a7a96b9900fe44dfc492023-10-19T12:43:52ZengWorld Scientific PublishingAsian Development Review0116-11051996-72412023-09-014002398510.1142/S0116110523400024Predicting Provincial Gross Domestic Product Using Satellite Data and Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of ThailandNATTAPONG PUTTANAPONG0NUTCHAPON PRASERTSOONG1WICHAYA PEECHAPAT2Faculty of Economics, Thammasat University, ThailandFaculty of Economics, Thammasat University, ThailandFaculty of Economics, Thammasat University, ThailandThis study introduced a new approach for monitoring regional development by applying satellite data with machine learning algorithms. Satellite data that represent physical features and environmental factors were obtained by developing a web-based application on the Google Earth Engine platform. Four machine learning methods were applied to the obtained geospatial data to predict provincial gross domestic product. The random forest method achieved the highest predictive performance, with 97.7% accuracy. The constructed random forest model was extended to conduct variable importance and minimal depth analyses, enabling the quantification of a factor’s influence on the prediction outcome. Variable importance and minimal depth analyses generated similar results, indicating that urban area and population are the most influential factors. Moreover, environmental and climate indicators exert medium-level effects. This study showed that integrating available satellite data and machine learning methods could be an alternative framework for facilitating a timely and costless monitoring system of regional development.https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110523400024Google Earth Enginemachine learningregional developmentsatellite dataThailand
spellingShingle NATTAPONG PUTTANAPONG
NUTCHAPON PRASERTSOONG
WICHAYA PEECHAPAT
Predicting Provincial Gross Domestic Product Using Satellite Data and Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of Thailand
Asian Development Review
Google Earth Engine
machine learning
regional development
satellite data
Thailand
title Predicting Provincial Gross Domestic Product Using Satellite Data and Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of Thailand
title_full Predicting Provincial Gross Domestic Product Using Satellite Data and Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of Thailand
title_fullStr Predicting Provincial Gross Domestic Product Using Satellite Data and Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of Thailand
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Provincial Gross Domestic Product Using Satellite Data and Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of Thailand
title_short Predicting Provincial Gross Domestic Product Using Satellite Data and Machine Learning Methods: A Case Study of Thailand
title_sort predicting provincial gross domestic product using satellite data and machine learning methods a case study of thailand
topic Google Earth Engine
machine learning
regional development
satellite data
Thailand
url https://www.worldscientific.com/doi/10.1142/S0116110523400024
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