Estimation of Relationship between Frequency-Duration and Return Period of Extreme Climatic Events in Khorasan Razavi Province

Nowadays there is more attention to extreme climatic events because of its consequent financial, social and economic damages. It is proved that changes in frequency and intensity of extreme events have more damaging effects on human life, social and natural systems than the average climate changes....

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Main Authors: Maryam Erfanian, Hossein Ansari, Amin Alizadeh, Mohammed Banayan Aval
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: Afarand Scholarly Publishing Institute 2017-06-01
Series:تحقيقات جغرافيايی
Subjects:
Online Access:http://georesearch.ir/article-1-101-en.html
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author Maryam Erfanian
Hossein Ansari
Amin Alizadeh
Mohammed Banayan Aval
author_facet Maryam Erfanian
Hossein Ansari
Amin Alizadeh
Mohammed Banayan Aval
author_sort Maryam Erfanian
collection DOAJ
description Nowadays there is more attention to extreme climatic events because of its consequent financial, social and economic damages. It is proved that changes in frequency and intensity of extreme events have more damaging effects on human life, social and natural systems than the average climate changes. Therefore, more studies are required to assess these events for better risk management. The objective of this study is to assess the relation between occurrence probability, duration and frequency of extreme events in Khorasan Razavi province. Daily temperature and rainfall data of 22 stations between the years of 1982 to 2012 were used. For more accuracy, these stations were first clustered with Ward method and were fitted by some statistical distribution. The best distribution was chosen and equations of frequency-duration-return period were derived from each cluster. One can know the frequency of extreme event with an arbitrary duration and return period based on the abovementioned relations, so these equations could help to manage risk and crisis regarding agricultural crops and also for more efficient insurance.
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spelling doaj.art-e1063d888bd14cf3b53c8ba0dd4efd2b2022-12-21T23:41:51ZfasAfarand Scholarly Publishing Instituteتحقيقات جغرافيايی1019-70522538-43842017-06-013213750Estimation of Relationship between Frequency-Duration and Return Period of Extreme Climatic Events in Khorasan Razavi ProvinceMaryam Erfanian0Hossein Ansari1Amin Alizadeh2Mohammed Banayan Aval3 Department of Water Engineering ,Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad,Iran Department of Water Engineering ,Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad,Iran Department of Water Engineering ,Ferdowsi University of Mashhad, Mashhad,Iran Department of Agriculture,Ferdowsi University of Mashhad ,Mashhad,Iran Nowadays there is more attention to extreme climatic events because of its consequent financial, social and economic damages. It is proved that changes in frequency and intensity of extreme events have more damaging effects on human life, social and natural systems than the average climate changes. Therefore, more studies are required to assess these events for better risk management. The objective of this study is to assess the relation between occurrence probability, duration and frequency of extreme events in Khorasan Razavi province. Daily temperature and rainfall data of 22 stations between the years of 1982 to 2012 were used. For more accuracy, these stations were first clustered with Ward method and were fitted by some statistical distribution. The best distribution was chosen and equations of frequency-duration-return period were derived from each cluster. One can know the frequency of extreme event with an arbitrary duration and return period based on the abovementioned relations, so these equations could help to manage risk and crisis regarding agricultural crops and also for more efficient insurance.http://georesearch.ir/article-1-101-en.htmlextreme eventsdurationreturn periodcluster analysiskhorasan razavi province.
spellingShingle Maryam Erfanian
Hossein Ansari
Amin Alizadeh
Mohammed Banayan Aval
Estimation of Relationship between Frequency-Duration and Return Period of Extreme Climatic Events in Khorasan Razavi Province
تحقيقات جغرافيايی
extreme events
duration
return period
cluster analysis
khorasan razavi province.
title Estimation of Relationship between Frequency-Duration and Return Period of Extreme Climatic Events in Khorasan Razavi Province
title_full Estimation of Relationship between Frequency-Duration and Return Period of Extreme Climatic Events in Khorasan Razavi Province
title_fullStr Estimation of Relationship between Frequency-Duration and Return Period of Extreme Climatic Events in Khorasan Razavi Province
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of Relationship between Frequency-Duration and Return Period of Extreme Climatic Events in Khorasan Razavi Province
title_short Estimation of Relationship between Frequency-Duration and Return Period of Extreme Climatic Events in Khorasan Razavi Province
title_sort estimation of relationship between frequency duration and return period of extreme climatic events in khorasan razavi province
topic extreme events
duration
return period
cluster analysis
khorasan razavi province.
url http://georesearch.ir/article-1-101-en.html
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AT aminalizadeh estimationofrelationshipbetweenfrequencydurationandreturnperiodofextremeclimaticeventsinkhorasanrazaviprovince
AT mohammedbanayanaval estimationofrelationshipbetweenfrequencydurationandreturnperiodofextremeclimaticeventsinkhorasanrazaviprovince