Mine safety assessment based on basic event importance: grey relational analysis and bow tie model

Safety assessments are a crucial first step in preventing coal and gas outburst accidents. The main purpose of this study was to create a new accident prevention technique using a novel safety assessment method based on fault tree basic event importance, grey relational analysis and the bow tie mode...

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Main Authors: Qingwei Xu, Kaili Xu, Li Li, Xiwen Yao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Royal Society 2018-01-01
Series:Royal Society Open Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsos.180397
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author Qingwei Xu
Kaili Xu
Li Li
Xiwen Yao
author_facet Qingwei Xu
Kaili Xu
Li Li
Xiwen Yao
author_sort Qingwei Xu
collection DOAJ
description Safety assessments are a crucial first step in preventing coal and gas outburst accidents. The main purpose of this study was to create a new accident prevention technique using a novel safety assessment method based on fault tree basic event importance, grey relational analysis and the bow tie model. The innovation of the proposed method lies in generating the composite importance of a basic event from the fundamental importance via grey relational analysis; bow tie analysis serves to reveal the most critical basic event. First, the minimal cut sets and minimal path sets of a coal and gas outburst accident are determined by fault tree analysis. The role of minimal cut and path sets is determined and the coal and gas outburst occurrence frequency is calculated accordingly. Second, the structure, probability, critical and Fussell–Vesely importance ranked basic events differently due to different aspects of the basic events as investigated. We establish a composite importance to represent single basic events and achieved new ranking results by grey relational analysis. Third, the critical basic event low permeability coefficient is analysed via bow tie model and safety measures are defined which prevent the dangerous consequences of a low permeability coefficient. An actual coal and gas outburst accident is used as a case study to test the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.
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spelling doaj.art-e10c211e12c84ae9ad11b6f8e574aa702022-12-22T00:23:04ZengThe Royal SocietyRoyal Society Open Science2054-57032018-01-015810.1098/rsos.180397180397Mine safety assessment based on basic event importance: grey relational analysis and bow tie modelQingwei XuKaili XuLi LiXiwen YaoSafety assessments are a crucial first step in preventing coal and gas outburst accidents. The main purpose of this study was to create a new accident prevention technique using a novel safety assessment method based on fault tree basic event importance, grey relational analysis and the bow tie model. The innovation of the proposed method lies in generating the composite importance of a basic event from the fundamental importance via grey relational analysis; bow tie analysis serves to reveal the most critical basic event. First, the minimal cut sets and minimal path sets of a coal and gas outburst accident are determined by fault tree analysis. The role of minimal cut and path sets is determined and the coal and gas outburst occurrence frequency is calculated accordingly. Second, the structure, probability, critical and Fussell–Vesely importance ranked basic events differently due to different aspects of the basic events as investigated. We establish a composite importance to represent single basic events and achieved new ranking results by grey relational analysis. Third, the critical basic event low permeability coefficient is analysed via bow tie model and safety measures are defined which prevent the dangerous consequences of a low permeability coefficient. An actual coal and gas outburst accident is used as a case study to test the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method.https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsos.180397safety assessmentcoal and gas outburstfault tree analysisimportancegrey relational analysisbow tie model
spellingShingle Qingwei Xu
Kaili Xu
Li Li
Xiwen Yao
Mine safety assessment based on basic event importance: grey relational analysis and bow tie model
Royal Society Open Science
safety assessment
coal and gas outburst
fault tree analysis
importance
grey relational analysis
bow tie model
title Mine safety assessment based on basic event importance: grey relational analysis and bow tie model
title_full Mine safety assessment based on basic event importance: grey relational analysis and bow tie model
title_fullStr Mine safety assessment based on basic event importance: grey relational analysis and bow tie model
title_full_unstemmed Mine safety assessment based on basic event importance: grey relational analysis and bow tie model
title_short Mine safety assessment based on basic event importance: grey relational analysis and bow tie model
title_sort mine safety assessment based on basic event importance grey relational analysis and bow tie model
topic safety assessment
coal and gas outburst
fault tree analysis
importance
grey relational analysis
bow tie model
url https://royalsocietypublishing.org/doi/pdf/10.1098/rsos.180397
work_keys_str_mv AT qingweixu minesafetyassessmentbasedonbasiceventimportancegreyrelationalanalysisandbowtiemodel
AT kailixu minesafetyassessmentbasedonbasiceventimportancegreyrelationalanalysisandbowtiemodel
AT lili minesafetyassessmentbasedonbasiceventimportancegreyrelationalanalysisandbowtiemodel
AT xiwenyao minesafetyassessmentbasedonbasiceventimportancegreyrelationalanalysisandbowtiemodel