Generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangents

Abstract Resolving the role of galactic processes in Solar System/Earth events necessitates a robust temporal model. However, astrophysical theory diverges with models varying from long-lasting spiral density waves with uniform pattern speeds and arm structures to others with fleeting and unpredicta...

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Main Authors: Michael Gillman, Rui Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2024-03-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56397-4
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author Michael Gillman
Rui Zhang
author_facet Michael Gillman
Rui Zhang
author_sort Michael Gillman
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Resolving the role of galactic processes in Solar System/Earth events necessitates a robust temporal model. However, astrophysical theory diverges with models varying from long-lasting spiral density waves with uniform pattern speeds and arm structures to others with fleeting and unpredictable features. Here, we address those issues with (1) an analysis of patterns of impact periodicity over periods of 10 to 250 million years (Myr) using circular statistics and (2), an independent logarithmic spiral arm model fitted to arm tangents of 870 micron dust. Comparison of the impact periodicity results with the best-fit spiral arm model suggests a galactic period of 660 Myr, i.e. 165 Myr to pass from one arm to the next in a four spiral arm model, with the most recent arm passage around 52 million years ago (Ma). The oldest impact ages imply that the emerging galactic chronology model is robust for at least the last 2 Gyr. The arm-passing time is consistent with spectral analyses of zircons across 3 Gyrs. Overall, the model provides a temporal framework against which to test hypotheses of galactic mechanisms for global events such as mass extinctions and superchrons.
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spelling doaj.art-e11fed52ef0d4d388d08adefed6ea59d2024-03-10T12:13:39ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222024-03-011411910.1038/s41598-024-56397-4Generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangentsMichael Gillman0Rui Zhang1School of Environment, Earth and Ecosystem Sciences, Open UniversityInstitute of Energy, Peking UniversityAbstract Resolving the role of galactic processes in Solar System/Earth events necessitates a robust temporal model. However, astrophysical theory diverges with models varying from long-lasting spiral density waves with uniform pattern speeds and arm structures to others with fleeting and unpredictable features. Here, we address those issues with (1) an analysis of patterns of impact periodicity over periods of 10 to 250 million years (Myr) using circular statistics and (2), an independent logarithmic spiral arm model fitted to arm tangents of 870 micron dust. Comparison of the impact periodicity results with the best-fit spiral arm model suggests a galactic period of 660 Myr, i.e. 165 Myr to pass from one arm to the next in a four spiral arm model, with the most recent arm passage around 52 million years ago (Ma). The oldest impact ages imply that the emerging galactic chronology model is robust for at least the last 2 Gyr. The arm-passing time is consistent with spectral analyses of zircons across 3 Gyrs. Overall, the model provides a temporal framework against which to test hypotheses of galactic mechanisms for global events such as mass extinctions and superchrons.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56397-4Impact periodicitySpiral arm patternsMass extinctionsGeological cyclicity
spellingShingle Michael Gillman
Rui Zhang
Generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangents
Scientific Reports
Impact periodicity
Spiral arm patterns
Mass extinctions
Geological cyclicity
title Generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangents
title_full Generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangents
title_fullStr Generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangents
title_full_unstemmed Generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangents
title_short Generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangents
title_sort generation of a galactic chronology with impact ages and spiral arm tangents
topic Impact periodicity
Spiral arm patterns
Mass extinctions
Geological cyclicity
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-56397-4
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