Prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic features

Objective: In order to create a comprehensive scoring system based on maternal characteristics and ultrasonographic features for predicting placenta accreta spectrum (PAS). Materials and methods: This was a retrospective review of pregnant women who underwent routine ultrasound examination in the th...

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Main Authors: Yisu Gao, Xuejiao Gao, Jing Cai, Fang Han, Guixiang Xu, Xuan Zhang, Ting Zhang, Lili Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2021-11-01
Series:Taiwanese Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1028455921002515
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author Yisu Gao
Xuejiao Gao
Jing Cai
Fang Han
Guixiang Xu
Xuan Zhang
Ting Zhang
Lili Yu
author_facet Yisu Gao
Xuejiao Gao
Jing Cai
Fang Han
Guixiang Xu
Xuan Zhang
Ting Zhang
Lili Yu
author_sort Yisu Gao
collection DOAJ
description Objective: In order to create a comprehensive scoring system based on maternal characteristics and ultrasonographic features for predicting placenta accreta spectrum (PAS). Materials and methods: This was a retrospective review of pregnant women who underwent routine ultrasound examination in the third trimester of pregnancy from January 2014 to November 2018 were used as a training set to establish the scoring system for PAS prediction while those who underwent examination from January 2019 to December 2019 served as a validation set.. Maternal characteristics including maternal age, parity, previous vaginal deliveries, previous curettage, previous cesarean section (CS), history of hypertension and diabetes mellitus, prenatal body mass index (BMI) were recorded. Ultrasonographic features including abnormal placental lacunae, subplacental hypervascularity, myometrial thinning, placental bulge, bladder wall interruption, location of placenta, placenta previa (yes or not) were recorded. Multivariate analysis was applied to analyze independent risk factors and assess the predictive power of selected parameters predicting PAS. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the diagnosis power. Results: Parity, previous curettage and CS were independent risk factors. The best comprehensive scoring system was established as follow: the number of abnormal lacunae ≥3, 2 points; lacuna maximum dimension ≥2 cm, 5 points; subplacental hypervascularity (rich), 1 point; subplacental hypervascularity (extremely rich and disordered), 3 points; bladder wall interruption, 9 points; placental bulge, 9 points; placenta previa, 8 points; anterior placenta, 1 point; previous CS ≥ 1, 1 point; parity ≥ 4, 3 point; previous abortions ≥ 2, 1 point. The area under the ROC curve of the scoring system diagnosing PAS was 0.925. Sensitivity and specificity were 83.3% and 85.7%, respectively. Cross-validation for our model showed that sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the model in diagnosis of PAS were 82.6%, 81.8%, 82.6% and 81.8%, respectively. Diagnosis of 37 cases were consistent with the “gold standard”, and the coincidence rate was 82.2% (37/45). Conclusion: The comprehensive scoring system established in this study can effectively diagnose PAS.
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spelling doaj.art-e130a0f760cb4eaab0d237f58d8526e72022-12-21T23:12:59ZengElsevierTaiwanese Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology1028-45592021-11-0160610111017Prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic featuresYisu Gao0Xuejiao Gao1Jing Cai2Fang Han3Guixiang Xu4Xuan Zhang5Ting Zhang6Lili Yu7Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, PR ChinaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, PR ChinaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, PR ChinaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, PR ChinaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, PR ChinaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, PR ChinaDepartment of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, PR ChinaCorresponding author.; Department of Obstetrics and Gynecology, Union Hospital, Tongji Medical College, Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei 430022, PR ChinaObjective: In order to create a comprehensive scoring system based on maternal characteristics and ultrasonographic features for predicting placenta accreta spectrum (PAS). Materials and methods: This was a retrospective review of pregnant women who underwent routine ultrasound examination in the third trimester of pregnancy from January 2014 to November 2018 were used as a training set to establish the scoring system for PAS prediction while those who underwent examination from January 2019 to December 2019 served as a validation set.. Maternal characteristics including maternal age, parity, previous vaginal deliveries, previous curettage, previous cesarean section (CS), history of hypertension and diabetes mellitus, prenatal body mass index (BMI) were recorded. Ultrasonographic features including abnormal placental lacunae, subplacental hypervascularity, myometrial thinning, placental bulge, bladder wall interruption, location of placenta, placenta previa (yes or not) were recorded. Multivariate analysis was applied to analyze independent risk factors and assess the predictive power of selected parameters predicting PAS. Receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve was used to evaluate the diagnosis power. Results: Parity, previous curettage and CS were independent risk factors. The best comprehensive scoring system was established as follow: the number of abnormal lacunae ≥3, 2 points; lacuna maximum dimension ≥2 cm, 5 points; subplacental hypervascularity (rich), 1 point; subplacental hypervascularity (extremely rich and disordered), 3 points; bladder wall interruption, 9 points; placental bulge, 9 points; placenta previa, 8 points; anterior placenta, 1 point; previous CS ≥ 1, 1 point; parity ≥ 4, 3 point; previous abortions ≥ 2, 1 point. The area under the ROC curve of the scoring system diagnosing PAS was 0.925. Sensitivity and specificity were 83.3% and 85.7%, respectively. Cross-validation for our model showed that sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value and negative predictive value of the model in diagnosis of PAS were 82.6%, 81.8%, 82.6% and 81.8%, respectively. Diagnosis of 37 cases were consistent with the “gold standard”, and the coincidence rate was 82.2% (37/45). Conclusion: The comprehensive scoring system established in this study can effectively diagnose PAS.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1028455921002515Placenta accreta spectrumMaternal characteristicsTwo-dimensional ultrasoundComprehensive scoring systemPrediction
spellingShingle Yisu Gao
Xuejiao Gao
Jing Cai
Fang Han
Guixiang Xu
Xuan Zhang
Ting Zhang
Lili Yu
Prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic features
Taiwanese Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology
Placenta accreta spectrum
Maternal characteristics
Two-dimensional ultrasound
Comprehensive scoring system
Prediction
title Prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic features
title_full Prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic features
title_fullStr Prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic features
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic features
title_short Prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic features
title_sort prediction of placenta accreta spectrum by a scoring system based on maternal characteristics combined with ultrasonographic features
topic Placenta accreta spectrum
Maternal characteristics
Two-dimensional ultrasound
Comprehensive scoring system
Prediction
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1028455921002515
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