An optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut-off score determination

Background: Credit scoring is a statistical tool allowing banks to distinguish between good and bad clients. However, literature in the world of credit scoring is limited. In this article parametric and non-parametric statistical techniques that are used in credit scoring are reviewed.   Aim: To b...

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Main Authors: Nico Kritzinger, Gary W. van Vuuren
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AOSIS 2018-06-01
Series:South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/1571
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author Nico Kritzinger
Gary W. van Vuuren
author_facet Nico Kritzinger
Gary W. van Vuuren
author_sort Nico Kritzinger
collection DOAJ
description Background: Credit scoring is a statistical tool allowing banks to distinguish between good and bad clients. However, literature in the world of credit scoring is limited. In this article parametric and non-parametric statistical techniques that are used in credit scoring are reviewed.   Aim: To build an optimal credit scoring matrix model to predict which clients will go bad in the future. This article also illustrates the use of the credit scoring matrix model to determine an appropriate cut-off score on a more granular level.   Setting: Data used in this article are based on a bank in South Africa and are Retail Banking specific.   Methods: The methods used in this article were regression, statistical analysis, matrix and comparative study.   Results: The matrix provides uplift in the Gini-coefficient when compared to a one-dimensional model and provides greater granularity when setting the appropriate cut-off.   Conclusion: The article provides steps to construct a credit scoring matrix model to optimise separation between good and bad clients. An added contribution of the article is the manner in which the credit scoring matrix model provides a greater granularity option for establishing the cut-off score for accepting clients, more appropriately than a one-dimensional scorecard.
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spelling doaj.art-e17a0e3227bc44bba62a9fee1e7345262022-12-22T01:30:02ZengAOSISSouth African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences1015-88122222-34362018-06-01211e1e1510.4102/sajems.v21i1.1571673An optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut-off score determinationNico Kritzinger0Gary W. van Vuuren1Department of Business Mathematics and Informatics (BMI), Faculty of Natural Sciences, North-West UniversityDepartment of Business Mathematics and Informatics (BMI), Faculty of Natural Sciences, North-West UniversityBackground: Credit scoring is a statistical tool allowing banks to distinguish between good and bad clients. However, literature in the world of credit scoring is limited. In this article parametric and non-parametric statistical techniques that are used in credit scoring are reviewed.   Aim: To build an optimal credit scoring matrix model to predict which clients will go bad in the future. This article also illustrates the use of the credit scoring matrix model to determine an appropriate cut-off score on a more granular level.   Setting: Data used in this article are based on a bank in South Africa and are Retail Banking specific.   Methods: The methods used in this article were regression, statistical analysis, matrix and comparative study.   Results: The matrix provides uplift in the Gini-coefficient when compared to a one-dimensional model and provides greater granularity when setting the appropriate cut-off.   Conclusion: The article provides steps to construct a credit scoring matrix model to optimise separation between good and bad clients. An added contribution of the article is the manner in which the credit scoring matrix model provides a greater granularity option for establishing the cut-off score for accepting clients, more appropriately than a one-dimensional scorecard.https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/1571credit riskcredit scoringcredit risk management
spellingShingle Nico Kritzinger
Gary W. van Vuuren
An optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut-off score determination
South African Journal of Economic and Management Sciences
credit risk
credit scoring
credit risk management
title An optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut-off score determination
title_full An optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut-off score determination
title_fullStr An optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut-off score determination
title_full_unstemmed An optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut-off score determination
title_short An optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut-off score determination
title_sort optimised credit scorecard to enhance cut off score determination
topic credit risk
credit scoring
credit risk management
url https://sajems.org/index.php/sajems/article/view/1571
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