Modeling the extinction risk of European butterflies and odonates
Abstract Insect populations have become increasingly threatened during the last decades due to climate change and landuse intensification. Species characteristics driving these threats remain poorly understood. Trait‐based analyses provide a straight‐forward approach to gain a mechanistic understand...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2022-11-01
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| Series: | Ecology and Evolution |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.9465 |
| _version_ | 1811211869734567936 |
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| author | Sophia Franke Stefan Pinkert Roland Brandl Simon Thorn |
| author_facet | Sophia Franke Stefan Pinkert Roland Brandl Simon Thorn |
| author_sort | Sophia Franke |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract Insect populations have become increasingly threatened during the last decades due to climate change and landuse intensification. Species characteristics driving these threats remain poorly understood. Trait‐based analyses provide a straight‐forward approach to gain a mechanistic understanding of species' extinction risk, guiding the development of conservation strategies. We combined morphological traits and phylogenetic relationship for 332 European species of butterflies and 115 species of odonates (dragon and damselflies) to model their red list status via phylogenetically controlled ordered logistic regression. We hypothesized that extinction risk increases with increasing body volume and wing area, decreasing range size, and is larger for brighter species. All investigated traits exhibited a strong phylogenetic signal. When controlling for phylogenetic relationship, we found that extinction risk of butterflies increased with decreasing range size. The extinction risk of odonates showed no relationship with the selected traits. Our results show that there is no universal trait defining the extinction risk of our investigated insect taxa. Furthermore, evolutionary history, measured as the phylogenetically predicted part of our analyzed traits, poorly predicted extinction risk. Our study confirms the focus of conservation measures on European butterfly species with small range sizes. |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-12T05:20:39Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-e17ea9b40ba14cce80ac80430264163f |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2045-7758 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-12T05:20:39Z |
| publishDate | 2022-11-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecology and Evolution |
| spelling | doaj.art-e17ea9b40ba14cce80ac80430264163f2022-12-22T03:46:30ZengWileyEcology and Evolution2045-77582022-11-011211n/an/a10.1002/ece3.9465Modeling the extinction risk of European butterflies and odonatesSophia Franke0Stefan Pinkert1Roland Brandl2Simon Thorn3Department of Animal Ecology, Faculty of Biology Philipps‐Universität Marburg Marburg GermanyDepartment of Conservation Ecology, Faculty of Biology Philipps‐Universität Marburg Marburg GermanyDepartment of Animal Ecology, Faculty of Biology Philipps‐Universität Marburg Marburg GermanyHessian Agency for Nature Conservation, Environment and Geology State Institute for the Protection of Birds Gießen GermanyAbstract Insect populations have become increasingly threatened during the last decades due to climate change and landuse intensification. Species characteristics driving these threats remain poorly understood. Trait‐based analyses provide a straight‐forward approach to gain a mechanistic understanding of species' extinction risk, guiding the development of conservation strategies. We combined morphological traits and phylogenetic relationship for 332 European species of butterflies and 115 species of odonates (dragon and damselflies) to model their red list status via phylogenetically controlled ordered logistic regression. We hypothesized that extinction risk increases with increasing body volume and wing area, decreasing range size, and is larger for brighter species. All investigated traits exhibited a strong phylogenetic signal. When controlling for phylogenetic relationship, we found that extinction risk of butterflies increased with decreasing range size. The extinction risk of odonates showed no relationship with the selected traits. Our results show that there is no universal trait defining the extinction risk of our investigated insect taxa. Furthermore, evolutionary history, measured as the phylogenetically predicted part of our analyzed traits, poorly predicted extinction risk. Our study confirms the focus of conservation measures on European butterfly species with small range sizes.https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.9465European red listfreshwaterphylogenetic signalterrestrialtrait‐based analyses |
| spellingShingle | Sophia Franke Stefan Pinkert Roland Brandl Simon Thorn Modeling the extinction risk of European butterflies and odonates Ecology and Evolution European red list freshwater phylogenetic signal terrestrial trait‐based analyses |
| title | Modeling the extinction risk of European butterflies and odonates |
| title_full | Modeling the extinction risk of European butterflies and odonates |
| title_fullStr | Modeling the extinction risk of European butterflies and odonates |
| title_full_unstemmed | Modeling the extinction risk of European butterflies and odonates |
| title_short | Modeling the extinction risk of European butterflies and odonates |
| title_sort | modeling the extinction risk of european butterflies and odonates |
| topic | European red list freshwater phylogenetic signal terrestrial trait‐based analyses |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1002/ece3.9465 |
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