Assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled SWAT-BiLSTM approach

Abstract In order to enhance the simulation of BMPs (Best Management Practices) reduction effects in unmonitored watersheds, in this study, we combined the physically-based hydrological model Soil & Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and the data-driven model Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Xianqi Zhang, Yu Qi, Haiyang Li, Shifeng Sun, Qiuwen Yin
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2023-10-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-44531-7
_version_ 1827634775650729984
author Xianqi Zhang
Yu Qi
Haiyang Li
Shifeng Sun
Qiuwen Yin
author_facet Xianqi Zhang
Yu Qi
Haiyang Li
Shifeng Sun
Qiuwen Yin
author_sort Xianqi Zhang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract In order to enhance the simulation of BMPs (Best Management Practices) reduction effects in unmonitored watersheds, in this study, we combined the physically-based hydrological model Soil & Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and the data-driven model Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM), using the very-high-resolution (VHR) Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) dataset SinoLC-1 as data input, to evaluate the feasibility of constructing a water environment model for the Ba-River Basin (BRB) in central China and improving streamflow prediction performance. In the SWAT-BiLSTM model, we calibrated the top five SWAT parameters sorted by P-Value, allowing SWAT to act as a transfer function to convert meteorological data into base flow and storm flow, serving as the data input for the Bi-LSTM model. This optimization improved the Bi-LSTM's learning process for the relationship between the target and explanatory variables. The daily streamflow prediction results showed that the hybrid model had 9 regions rated as "Very good," 2 as "Good," 2 as "Satisfactory," and 1 as "Unsatisfactory" among the 14 regions. The model achieved an NSE of 0.86, R2 of 0.85, and PBIAS of −2.71% for the overall daily streamflow prediction performance during the verification period of the BRB. This indicates that the hybrid model has high predictive accuracy and no significant systematic bias, providing a sound hydrodynamic environment for water quality simulation. The simulation results of different BMPs scenarios showed that in the scenarios with only one BMP measure, stubble mulch had the best reduction effect, with average reductions of 17.83% for TN and 36.17% for TP. In the scenarios with a combination of multiple BMP measures, the combination of stubble mulch, soil testing and formula fertilization, and vegetative filter strip performed the best, achieving average reductions of 42.71% for TN and 50.40% for TP. The hybrid model provides a novel approach to simulate BMPs' reduction effects in regions without measured hydrological data and has the potential for wide application in BMP-related decision-making.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T15:17:59Z
format Article
id doaj.art-e1879d78c99a409dbc4ad8f69576767f
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 2045-2322
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T15:17:59Z
publishDate 2023-10-01
publisher Nature Portfolio
record_format Article
series Scientific Reports
spelling doaj.art-e1879d78c99a409dbc4ad8f69576767f2023-11-26T12:58:27ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222023-10-0113111510.1038/s41598-023-44531-7Assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled SWAT-BiLSTM approachXianqi Zhang0Yu Qi1Haiyang Li2Shifeng Sun3Qiuwen Yin4Water Conservancy College, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerWater Conservancy College, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerWater Conservancy College, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerWater Conservancy College, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerWater Conservancy College, North China University of Water Resources and Electric PowerAbstract In order to enhance the simulation of BMPs (Best Management Practices) reduction effects in unmonitored watersheds, in this study, we combined the physically-based hydrological model Soil & Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) and the data-driven model Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM), using the very-high-resolution (VHR) Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) dataset SinoLC-1 as data input, to evaluate the feasibility of constructing a water environment model for the Ba-River Basin (BRB) in central China and improving streamflow prediction performance. In the SWAT-BiLSTM model, we calibrated the top five SWAT parameters sorted by P-Value, allowing SWAT to act as a transfer function to convert meteorological data into base flow and storm flow, serving as the data input for the Bi-LSTM model. This optimization improved the Bi-LSTM's learning process for the relationship between the target and explanatory variables. The daily streamflow prediction results showed that the hybrid model had 9 regions rated as "Very good," 2 as "Good," 2 as "Satisfactory," and 1 as "Unsatisfactory" among the 14 regions. The model achieved an NSE of 0.86, R2 of 0.85, and PBIAS of −2.71% for the overall daily streamflow prediction performance during the verification period of the BRB. This indicates that the hybrid model has high predictive accuracy and no significant systematic bias, providing a sound hydrodynamic environment for water quality simulation. The simulation results of different BMPs scenarios showed that in the scenarios with only one BMP measure, stubble mulch had the best reduction effect, with average reductions of 17.83% for TN and 36.17% for TP. In the scenarios with a combination of multiple BMP measures, the combination of stubble mulch, soil testing and formula fertilization, and vegetative filter strip performed the best, achieving average reductions of 42.71% for TN and 50.40% for TP. The hybrid model provides a novel approach to simulate BMPs' reduction effects in regions without measured hydrological data and has the potential for wide application in BMP-related decision-making.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-44531-7
spellingShingle Xianqi Zhang
Yu Qi
Haiyang Li
Shifeng Sun
Qiuwen Yin
Assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled SWAT-BiLSTM approach
Scientific Reports
title Assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled SWAT-BiLSTM approach
title_full Assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled SWAT-BiLSTM approach
title_fullStr Assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled SWAT-BiLSTM approach
title_full_unstemmed Assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled SWAT-BiLSTM approach
title_short Assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled SWAT-BiLSTM approach
title_sort assessing effect of best management practices in unmonitored watersheds using the coupled swat bilstm approach
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-023-44531-7
work_keys_str_mv AT xianqizhang assessingeffectofbestmanagementpracticesinunmonitoredwatershedsusingthecoupledswatbilstmapproach
AT yuqi assessingeffectofbestmanagementpracticesinunmonitoredwatershedsusingthecoupledswatbilstmapproach
AT haiyangli assessingeffectofbestmanagementpracticesinunmonitoredwatershedsusingthecoupledswatbilstmapproach
AT shifengsun assessingeffectofbestmanagementpracticesinunmonitoredwatershedsusingthecoupledswatbilstmapproach
AT qiuwenyin assessingeffectofbestmanagementpracticesinunmonitoredwatershedsusingthecoupledswatbilstmapproach