Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation

<p>Accounting for the variability of hydrological processes and climate conditions between catchments and within catchments remains a challenge in rainfall–runoff modelling. Among the many approaches developed over the past decades, multi-model approaches provide a way to consider the uncertai...

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Main Authors: C. Thébault, C. Perrin, V. Andréassian, G. Thirel, S. Legrand, O. Delaigue
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Copernicus Publications 2024-04-01
Series:Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
Online Access:https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/28/1539/2024/hess-28-1539-2024.pdf
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author C. Thébault
C. Perrin
V. Andréassian
G. Thirel
S. Legrand
O. Delaigue
author_facet C. Thébault
C. Perrin
V. Andréassian
G. Thirel
S. Legrand
O. Delaigue
author_sort C. Thébault
collection DOAJ
description <p>Accounting for the variability of hydrological processes and climate conditions between catchments and within catchments remains a challenge in rainfall–runoff modelling. Among the many approaches developed over the past decades, multi-model approaches provide a way to consider the uncertainty linked to the choice of model structure and its parameter estimates. Semi-distributed approaches make it possible to account explicitly for spatial variability while maintaining a limited level of complexity. However, these two approaches have rarely been used together. Such a combination would allow us to take advantage of both methods. The aim of this work is to answer the following question: what is the possible contribution of a multi-model approach within a variable spatial framework compared to lumped single models for streamflow simulation?</p> <p>To this end, a set of 121 catchments with limited anthropogenic influence in France was assembled, with precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, and streamflow data at the hourly time step over the period 1998–2018. The semi-distribution set-up was kept simple by considering a single downstream catchment defined by an outlet and one or more upstream sub-catchments. The multi-model approach was implemented with 13 rainfall–runoff model structures, three objective functions, and two spatial frameworks, for a total of 78 distinct modelling options. A simple averaging method was used to combine the various simulated streamflow at the outlet of the catchments and sub-catchments. The lumped model with the highest efficiency score over the whole catchment set was taken as the benchmark for model evaluation.</p> <p>Overall, the semi-distributed multi-model approach yields better performance than the different lumped models considered individually. The gain is mainly brought about by the multi-model set-up, with the spatial framework providing a benefit on a more occasional basis. These results, based on a large catchment set, evince the benefits of using a multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework to simulate streamflow.</p>
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spelling doaj.art-e18e31b8eaa3420fae430b71717489de2024-04-04T11:29:26ZengCopernicus PublicationsHydrology and Earth System Sciences1027-56061607-79382024-04-01281539156610.5194/hess-28-1539-2024Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulationC. Thébault0C. Perrin1V. Andréassian2G. Thirel3S. Legrand4O. Delaigue5HYCAR, INRAE, Université Paris-Saclay, Antony, FranceHYCAR, INRAE, Université Paris-Saclay, Antony, FranceHYCAR, INRAE, Université Paris-Saclay, Antony, FranceHYCAR, INRAE, Université Paris-Saclay, Antony, FranceCompagnie nationale du Rhône, Lyon, FranceHYCAR, INRAE, Université Paris-Saclay, Antony, France<p>Accounting for the variability of hydrological processes and climate conditions between catchments and within catchments remains a challenge in rainfall–runoff modelling. Among the many approaches developed over the past decades, multi-model approaches provide a way to consider the uncertainty linked to the choice of model structure and its parameter estimates. Semi-distributed approaches make it possible to account explicitly for spatial variability while maintaining a limited level of complexity. However, these two approaches have rarely been used together. Such a combination would allow us to take advantage of both methods. The aim of this work is to answer the following question: what is the possible contribution of a multi-model approach within a variable spatial framework compared to lumped single models for streamflow simulation?</p> <p>To this end, a set of 121 catchments with limited anthropogenic influence in France was assembled, with precipitation, potential evapotranspiration, and streamflow data at the hourly time step over the period 1998–2018. The semi-distribution set-up was kept simple by considering a single downstream catchment defined by an outlet and one or more upstream sub-catchments. The multi-model approach was implemented with 13 rainfall–runoff model structures, three objective functions, and two spatial frameworks, for a total of 78 distinct modelling options. A simple averaging method was used to combine the various simulated streamflow at the outlet of the catchments and sub-catchments. The lumped model with the highest efficiency score over the whole catchment set was taken as the benchmark for model evaluation.</p> <p>Overall, the semi-distributed multi-model approach yields better performance than the different lumped models considered individually. The gain is mainly brought about by the multi-model set-up, with the spatial framework providing a benefit on a more occasional basis. These results, based on a large catchment set, evince the benefits of using a multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework to simulate streamflow.</p>https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/28/1539/2024/hess-28-1539-2024.pdf
spellingShingle C. Thébault
C. Perrin
V. Andréassian
G. Thirel
S. Legrand
O. Delaigue
Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation
Hydrology and Earth System Sciences
title Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation
title_full Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation
title_fullStr Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation
title_full_unstemmed Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation
title_short Multi-model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation
title_sort multi model approach in a variable spatial framework for streamflow simulation
url https://hess.copernicus.org/articles/28/1539/2024/hess-28-1539-2024.pdf
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AT gthirel multimodelapproachinavariablespatialframeworkforstreamflowsimulation
AT slegrand multimodelapproachinavariablespatialframeworkforstreamflowsimulation
AT odelaigue multimodelapproachinavariablespatialframeworkforstreamflowsimulation