Dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale-up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measures
Abstract A variety of agricultural, industrial, and consumer technologies have been adopted over the past century and can provide insight into the scale-up of emerging technologies, such as carbon removal. Here we present the Historical Adoption of Technology dataset—a set of harmonized global annua...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Nature Portfolio
2023-10-01
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| Series: | Communications Earth & Environment |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01056-1 |
| _version_ | 1797636715933859840 |
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| author | Gregory Nemet Jenna Greene Finn Müller-Hansen Jan C. Minx |
| author_facet | Gregory Nemet Jenna Greene Finn Müller-Hansen Jan C. Minx |
| author_sort | Gregory Nemet |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract A variety of agricultural, industrial, and consumer technologies have been adopted over the past century and can provide insight into the scale-up of emerging technologies, such as carbon removal. Here we present the Historical Adoption of Technology dataset—a set of harmonized global annual time series from the early 20th century to present. We use three growth metrics to compare historical growth to that of carbon removal in emissions scenarios and future targets. We find heterogeneity in growth rates in the diffusion of historical technologies, ranging from 1.1 to 14.3% (median 6.2%) for our preferred growth metric based on a logistic function. Most emissions scenarios show growth within this range (median 5.9%, range 1 to >100%). Company announcements and policy targets imply faster growth than both historical technologies and carbon removal in emissions scenarios. Further work can explain the heterogeneity and facilitate more precise comparisons. |
| first_indexed | 2024-03-11T12:38:06Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-e1cd15f69205499f9b2727ca6ff422e5 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2662-4435 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-03-11T12:38:06Z |
| publishDate | 2023-10-01 |
| publisher | Nature Portfolio |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Communications Earth & Environment |
| spelling | doaj.art-e1cd15f69205499f9b2727ca6ff422e52023-11-05T12:30:27ZengNature PortfolioCommunications Earth & Environment2662-44352023-10-014111010.1038/s43247-023-01056-1Dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale-up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measuresGregory Nemet0Jenna Greene1Finn Müller-Hansen2Jan C. Minx3La Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin-MadisonLa Follette School of Public Affairs, University of Wisconsin-MadisonMercator Research Institute for Global Commons and Climate ChangeMercator Research Institute for Global Commons and Climate ChangeAbstract A variety of agricultural, industrial, and consumer technologies have been adopted over the past century and can provide insight into the scale-up of emerging technologies, such as carbon removal. Here we present the Historical Adoption of Technology dataset—a set of harmonized global annual time series from the early 20th century to present. We use three growth metrics to compare historical growth to that of carbon removal in emissions scenarios and future targets. We find heterogeneity in growth rates in the diffusion of historical technologies, ranging from 1.1 to 14.3% (median 6.2%) for our preferred growth metric based on a logistic function. Most emissions scenarios show growth within this range (median 5.9%, range 1 to >100%). Company announcements and policy targets imply faster growth than both historical technologies and carbon removal in emissions scenarios. Further work can explain the heterogeneity and facilitate more precise comparisons.https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01056-1 |
| spellingShingle | Gregory Nemet Jenna Greene Finn Müller-Hansen Jan C. Minx Dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale-up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measures Communications Earth & Environment |
| title | Dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale-up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measures |
| title_full | Dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale-up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measures |
| title_fullStr | Dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale-up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measures |
| title_full_unstemmed | Dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale-up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measures |
| title_short | Dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale-up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measures |
| title_sort | dataset on the adoption of historical technologies informs the scale up of emerging carbon dioxide removal measures |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-023-01056-1 |
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