Detecting and Measuring Nonlinearity

This paper proposes an approach to measure the extent of nonlinearity of the exposure of a financial asset to a given risk factor. The proposed measure exploits the decomposition of a conditional expectation into its linear and nonlinear components. We illustrate the method with the measurement of t...

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Main Author: Rachidi Kotchoni
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2018-08-01
Series:Econometrics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/6/3/37
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author Rachidi Kotchoni
author_facet Rachidi Kotchoni
author_sort Rachidi Kotchoni
collection DOAJ
description This paper proposes an approach to measure the extent of nonlinearity of the exposure of a financial asset to a given risk factor. The proposed measure exploits the decomposition of a conditional expectation into its linear and nonlinear components. We illustrate the method with the measurement of the degree of nonlinearity of a European style option with respect to the underlying asset. Next, we use the method to identify the empirical patterns of the return-risk trade-off on the SP500. The results are strongly supportive of a nonlinear relationship between expected return and expected volatility. The data seem to be driven by two regimes: one regime with a positive return-risk trade-off and one with a negative trade-off.
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spelling doaj.art-e1d37744d45f4fbbadaa14dc5a9794aa2022-12-22T03:19:31ZengMDPI AGEconometrics2225-11462018-08-01633710.3390/econometrics6030037econometrics6030037Detecting and Measuring NonlinearityRachidi Kotchoni0EconomiX-CNRS (UMR7235), Bureau G-517, Université Paris Nanterre, 92000 Nanterre, FranceThis paper proposes an approach to measure the extent of nonlinearity of the exposure of a financial asset to a given risk factor. The proposed measure exploits the decomposition of a conditional expectation into its linear and nonlinear components. We illustrate the method with the measurement of the degree of nonlinearity of a European style option with respect to the underlying asset. Next, we use the method to identify the empirical patterns of the return-risk trade-off on the SP500. The results are strongly supportive of a nonlinear relationship between expected return and expected volatility. The data seem to be driven by two regimes: one regime with a positive return-risk trade-off and one with a negative trade-off.http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/6/3/37conditional expectationnonlinearityorthogonal polynomialsreturn-risk trade-off
spellingShingle Rachidi Kotchoni
Detecting and Measuring Nonlinearity
Econometrics
conditional expectation
nonlinearity
orthogonal polynomials
return-risk trade-off
title Detecting and Measuring Nonlinearity
title_full Detecting and Measuring Nonlinearity
title_fullStr Detecting and Measuring Nonlinearity
title_full_unstemmed Detecting and Measuring Nonlinearity
title_short Detecting and Measuring Nonlinearity
title_sort detecting and measuring nonlinearity
topic conditional expectation
nonlinearity
orthogonal polynomials
return-risk trade-off
url http://www.mdpi.com/2225-1146/6/3/37
work_keys_str_mv AT rachidikotchoni detectingandmeasuringnonlinearity