Long Term Projection of the Demographic and Financial Evolution of the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda
We study the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda, a hybrid cash balance scheme which is contributory. It has two categories of members, the staff of the Parliamentary Commission and the Members of Parliament. A long term projection of the scheme's demographic and financial evolution is done...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wrocław University of Science and Technology
2022-01-01
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| Series: | Operations Research and Decisions |
| Online Access: | https://ord.pwr.edu.pl/assets/papers_archive/ord2022vol32no3_7.pdf |
| _version_ | 1797870969591693312 |
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| author | Herbert Mukalazi Torbjörn Larsson Juma Kasozi Fred Mayambala |
| author_facet | Herbert Mukalazi Torbjörn Larsson Juma Kasozi Fred Mayambala |
| author_sort | Herbert Mukalazi |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | We study the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda, a hybrid cash balance scheme which is contributory. It has two categories of members, the staff of the Parliamentary Commission and the Members of Parliament. A long term projection of the scheme's demographic and financial evolution is done to asses its sustainability and fairness with respect to the two categories of members. The projection of the scheme's future members is done using non-linear regression. The distribution of future members by age states is done by Markov model using frequencies of state transition of the scheme members. We project the future contributions, accumulated funds, benefits, asset and liability values together with associated funding ratios. The results show that the fund is neither sustainable nor fair with respect to the two categories of members. (original abstract) |
| first_indexed | 2024-04-10T00:36:50Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-e2222bd160814a85b98e03312d0e00d7 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2081-8858 2391-6060 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-04-10T00:36:50Z |
| publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
| publisher | Wrocław University of Science and Technology |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Operations Research and Decisions |
| spelling | doaj.art-e2222bd160814a85b98e03312d0e00d72023-03-14T15:14:23ZengWrocław University of Science and TechnologyOperations Research and Decisions2081-88582391-60602022-01-01vol. 32no. 392123171656478Long Term Projection of the Demographic and Financial Evolution of the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of UgandaHerbert Mukalazi0Torbjörn Larsson1Juma Kasozi2Fred Mayambala3Makerere University, UgandaLinköping University, SwedenMakerere University, UgandaMakerere University, UgandaWe study the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda, a hybrid cash balance scheme which is contributory. It has two categories of members, the staff of the Parliamentary Commission and the Members of Parliament. A long term projection of the scheme's demographic and financial evolution is done to asses its sustainability and fairness with respect to the two categories of members. The projection of the scheme's future members is done using non-linear regression. The distribution of future members by age states is done by Markov model using frequencies of state transition of the scheme members. We project the future contributions, accumulated funds, benefits, asset and liability values together with associated funding ratios. The results show that the fund is neither sustainable nor fair with respect to the two categories of members. (original abstract)https://ord.pwr.edu.pl/assets/papers_archive/ord2022vol32no3_7.pdf |
| spellingShingle | Herbert Mukalazi Torbjörn Larsson Juma Kasozi Fred Mayambala Long Term Projection of the Demographic and Financial Evolution of the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda Operations Research and Decisions |
| title | Long Term Projection of the Demographic and Financial Evolution of the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda |
| title_full | Long Term Projection of the Demographic and Financial Evolution of the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda |
| title_fullStr | Long Term Projection of the Demographic and Financial Evolution of the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda |
| title_full_unstemmed | Long Term Projection of the Demographic and Financial Evolution of the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda |
| title_short | Long Term Projection of the Demographic and Financial Evolution of the Parliamentary Pension Scheme of Uganda |
| title_sort | long term projection of the demographic and financial evolution of the parliamentary pension scheme of uganda |
| url | https://ord.pwr.edu.pl/assets/papers_archive/ord2022vol32no3_7.pdf |
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