Bounding the Solution Space of Complex Systems in Terms of Non-Numeric and\or Uncontrollable Scenario Variables

This paper describes an approach to blend several qualitative and quantitative methods to establish the boundaries of complex systems in terms of uncontrollable, non-numeric variables. Decision makers increasingly encounter layered, multidimensional, interconnected issues that contain unknown unknow...

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Main Authors: Alejandro Hernandez, Anthony Pollman
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2021-12-01
Series:Systems
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/9/4/89
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author Alejandro Hernandez
Anthony Pollman
author_facet Alejandro Hernandez
Anthony Pollman
author_sort Alejandro Hernandez
collection DOAJ
description This paper describes an approach to blend several qualitative and quantitative methods to establish the boundaries of complex systems in terms of uncontrollable, non-numeric variables. Decision makers increasingly encounter layered, multidimensional, interconnected issues that contain unknown unknowns, vast uncertainties, and ill-defined lines of demarcation between the beginning and the end of the problem. The inexactness of boundaries in a systems problem is a result of not knowing important variables, existence of uncontrollable variables, and near-uncountable significant interactions among the variables. Furthermore, complexities and systems challenges arise from unexpected emergent behavior(s) that are often the primary concerns of systems engineers. The ability to investigate uncontrollable variables and their interactions with the system of interest is a critical step for bounding the system problem and defining the solution space. Thus, this paper focuses on developing a means for systematically examining these variables. By incorporating scenario-based computer simulations, scenario discretization, and customized designs of experiments, the authors offer systems engineers and scientists an approach for defining a viable solution space of a complex problem by developing constraint equations from uncontrollable, non-numeric variables.
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spelling doaj.art-e29213f770734ef095838456aad8d8a22023-11-23T10:47:45ZengMDPI AGSystems2079-89542021-12-01948910.3390/systems9040089Bounding the Solution Space of Complex Systems in Terms of Non-Numeric and\or Uncontrollable Scenario VariablesAlejandro Hernandez0Anthony Pollman1Systems Engineering Department, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA 93943, USASystems Engineering Department, Naval Postgraduate School, Monterey, CA 93943, USAThis paper describes an approach to blend several qualitative and quantitative methods to establish the boundaries of complex systems in terms of uncontrollable, non-numeric variables. Decision makers increasingly encounter layered, multidimensional, interconnected issues that contain unknown unknowns, vast uncertainties, and ill-defined lines of demarcation between the beginning and the end of the problem. The inexactness of boundaries in a systems problem is a result of not knowing important variables, existence of uncontrollable variables, and near-uncountable significant interactions among the variables. Furthermore, complexities and systems challenges arise from unexpected emergent behavior(s) that are often the primary concerns of systems engineers. The ability to investigate uncontrollable variables and their interactions with the system of interest is a critical step for bounding the system problem and defining the solution space. Thus, this paper focuses on developing a means for systematically examining these variables. By incorporating scenario-based computer simulations, scenario discretization, and customized designs of experiments, the authors offer systems engineers and scientists an approach for defining a viable solution space of a complex problem by developing constraint equations from uncontrollable, non-numeric variables.https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/9/4/89scenario methodologiescomputer simulationdesign of experimentsmixed methods
spellingShingle Alejandro Hernandez
Anthony Pollman
Bounding the Solution Space of Complex Systems in Terms of Non-Numeric and\or Uncontrollable Scenario Variables
Systems
scenario methodologies
computer simulation
design of experiments
mixed methods
title Bounding the Solution Space of Complex Systems in Terms of Non-Numeric and\or Uncontrollable Scenario Variables
title_full Bounding the Solution Space of Complex Systems in Terms of Non-Numeric and\or Uncontrollable Scenario Variables
title_fullStr Bounding the Solution Space of Complex Systems in Terms of Non-Numeric and\or Uncontrollable Scenario Variables
title_full_unstemmed Bounding the Solution Space of Complex Systems in Terms of Non-Numeric and\or Uncontrollable Scenario Variables
title_short Bounding the Solution Space of Complex Systems in Terms of Non-Numeric and\or Uncontrollable Scenario Variables
title_sort bounding the solution space of complex systems in terms of non numeric and or uncontrollable scenario variables
topic scenario methodologies
computer simulation
design of experiments
mixed methods
url https://www.mdpi.com/2079-8954/9/4/89
work_keys_str_mv AT alejandrohernandez boundingthesolutionspaceofcomplexsystemsintermsofnonnumericandoruncontrollablescenariovariables
AT anthonypollman boundingthesolutionspaceofcomplexsystemsintermsofnonnumericandoruncontrollablescenariovariables