Forecasting of the Urban Area State Using Convolutional Neural Networks

Active development of modern cities requires not only efficient monitoring systems but furthermore forecasting systems that can predict future state of the urban area with high accuracy. In this work we present a method for urban area prediction based on geospatial activity of users in social network...

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Main Authors: Ksenia D. Mukhina, Alexander A. Visheratin, Gali-Ketema Mbogo, Denis Nasonov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: FRUCT 2018-11-01
Series:Proceedings of the XXth Conference of Open Innovations Association FRUCT
Subjects:
Online Access:https://fruct.org/publications/fruct23/files/Muk2.pdf
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author Ksenia D. Mukhina
Alexander A. Visheratin
Gali-Ketema Mbogo
Denis Nasonov
author_facet Ksenia D. Mukhina
Alexander A. Visheratin
Gali-Ketema Mbogo
Denis Nasonov
author_sort Ksenia D. Mukhina
collection DOAJ
description Active development of modern cities requires not only efficient monitoring systems but furthermore forecasting systems that can predict future state of the urban area with high accuracy. In this work we present a method for urban area prediction based on geospatial activity of users in social network. One of the most popular social networks, Instagram, was taken as a source for spatial data and two large cities with different peculiarities of online activity – New York City, USA, and Saint Petersburg, Russia – were taken as target cities. We propose three different deep learning architectures that are able to solve a target problem and show that convolutional neural network based on three-dimensional convolution layers provides the best results with accuracy of 99%.
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spelling doaj.art-e3060f8feb074de7a75010b338b85a032022-12-22T00:01:16ZengFRUCTProceedings of the XXth Conference of Open Innovations Association FRUCT2305-72542343-07372018-11-0160223268275Forecasting of the Urban Area State Using Convolutional Neural NetworksKsenia D. Mukhina0Alexander A. Visheratin1Gali-Ketema Mbogo2Denis Nasonov3ITMO University, Saint Petersburg, RussiaITMO University, Saint Petersburg, RussiaITMO University, Saint Petersburg, RussiaITMO University, Saint Petersburg, RussiaActive development of modern cities requires not only efficient monitoring systems but furthermore forecasting systems that can predict future state of the urban area with high accuracy. In this work we present a method for urban area prediction based on geospatial activity of users in social network. One of the most popular social networks, Instagram, was taken as a source for spatial data and two large cities with different peculiarities of online activity – New York City, USA, and Saint Petersburg, Russia – were taken as target cities. We propose three different deep learning architectures that are able to solve a target problem and show that convolutional neural network based on three-dimensional convolution layers provides the best results with accuracy of 99%.https://fruct.org/publications/fruct23/files/Muk2.pdf convolutional neural networksocial networkInstagrampredictive modelurban forecasting
spellingShingle Ksenia D. Mukhina
Alexander A. Visheratin
Gali-Ketema Mbogo
Denis Nasonov
Forecasting of the Urban Area State Using Convolutional Neural Networks
Proceedings of the XXth Conference of Open Innovations Association FRUCT
convolutional neural network
social network
Instagram
predictive model
urban forecasting
title Forecasting of the Urban Area State Using Convolutional Neural Networks
title_full Forecasting of the Urban Area State Using Convolutional Neural Networks
title_fullStr Forecasting of the Urban Area State Using Convolutional Neural Networks
title_full_unstemmed Forecasting of the Urban Area State Using Convolutional Neural Networks
title_short Forecasting of the Urban Area State Using Convolutional Neural Networks
title_sort forecasting of the urban area state using convolutional neural networks
topic convolutional neural network
social network
Instagram
predictive model
urban forecasting
url https://fruct.org/publications/fruct23/files/Muk2.pdf
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