Seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator (Tursiops truncatus) in marine coastal habitats of the Western Mediterranean Sea

Assessing the distribution of marine apex–predators is pivotal to understanding community interactions and defining management goals. However, several challenges arise in both estimates and predictions considering the distinctive and mutable biological/ecological requirements of these species and th...

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Main Authors: Daniela Silvia Pace, Greta Panunzi, Antonella Arcangeli, Stefano Moro, Giovanna Jona-Lasinio, Sara Martino
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-09-01
Series:Frontiers in Marine Science
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2022.939692/full
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author Daniela Silvia Pace
Daniela Silvia Pace
Greta Panunzi
Antonella Arcangeli
Stefano Moro
Stefano Moro
Giovanna Jona-Lasinio
Sara Martino
author_facet Daniela Silvia Pace
Daniela Silvia Pace
Greta Panunzi
Antonella Arcangeli
Stefano Moro
Stefano Moro
Giovanna Jona-Lasinio
Sara Martino
author_sort Daniela Silvia Pace
collection DOAJ
description Assessing the distribution of marine apex–predators is pivotal to understanding community interactions and defining management goals. However, several challenges arise in both estimates and predictions considering the distinctive and mutable biological/ecological requirements of these species and the influence of human activities. Thus, efforts to study apex–predators’ spatial distribution patterns must deal with inherent uncertainty. Relying on different data sources (research programs and social media reports), physiographic and environmental covariates (depth, slope, surface temperature and chlorophyll–a), and specific source–related detection functions, this study selected a Spatial Log–Gaussian Cox Process to model the distribution patterns of an opportunistic apex–predator, the common bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus), over 14 years (2008−2021) in the Mediterranean Sea (Italy) using a total of 955 encounters. Both depth and slope showed a significant (95% significance) reduction effect in the encounters when deeper and steeper, respectively. Temperature (parabolic) shows a positive effect (90% significance), while chlorophyll–a values did not seem to have a significant effect on encounter intensities within each season. The estimated posterior mean and the coefficient of variation surfaces for the intensity by season showed higher intensity in summer near the Tiber River estuary than other regions. Almost homogeneous predictions were observed in winter, with marginal greater intensities where lower temperatures and higher chlorophyll–a concentration were observed. The relatively low variance was predicted in the more coastal parts of the study area within each season, while higher uncertainty was instead revealed in the southernmost offshore area. This study highlighted the persistent presence of the common bottlenose dolphin in the investigated area both winter and summer, with a coherent distribution within each season, and rare transient occurrences in deeper waters (where uncertainty increases). Thanks to its versatile characteristics, the species seems to well adapt to different seasonal conditions and maintain its distributional range.
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spelling doaj.art-e34a303e32834a2294797dad47e932a22022-12-22T03:19:49ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Marine Science2296-77452022-09-01910.3389/fmars.2022.939692939692Seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator (Tursiops truncatus) in marine coastal habitats of the Western Mediterranean SeaDaniela Silvia Pace0Daniela Silvia Pace1Greta Panunzi2Antonella Arcangeli3Stefano Moro4Stefano Moro5Giovanna Jona-Lasinio6Sara Martino7Department of Environmental Biology, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, ItalyInstitute for the Study of Anthropogenic Impacts and Sustainability in the Marine Environment, National Research Council, Trapani, ItalyDepartment of Statistical Sciences, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, ItalyIstituto Superiore per la Protezione e la Ricerca Ambientale (ISPRA), Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research, Rome, ItalyDepartment of Environmental Biology, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, ItalyDepartment of Integrated Marine Ecology, Stazione Zoologica Anton Dohrn, Naples, ItalyDepartment of Statistical Sciences, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, ItalyDepartment of Mathematical Sciences, Norwegian University of Science and Technology, Trondheim, NorwayAssessing the distribution of marine apex–predators is pivotal to understanding community interactions and defining management goals. However, several challenges arise in both estimates and predictions considering the distinctive and mutable biological/ecological requirements of these species and the influence of human activities. Thus, efforts to study apex–predators’ spatial distribution patterns must deal with inherent uncertainty. Relying on different data sources (research programs and social media reports), physiographic and environmental covariates (depth, slope, surface temperature and chlorophyll–a), and specific source–related detection functions, this study selected a Spatial Log–Gaussian Cox Process to model the distribution patterns of an opportunistic apex–predator, the common bottlenose dolphin (Tursiops truncatus), over 14 years (2008−2021) in the Mediterranean Sea (Italy) using a total of 955 encounters. Both depth and slope showed a significant (95% significance) reduction effect in the encounters when deeper and steeper, respectively. Temperature (parabolic) shows a positive effect (90% significance), while chlorophyll–a values did not seem to have a significant effect on encounter intensities within each season. The estimated posterior mean and the coefficient of variation surfaces for the intensity by season showed higher intensity in summer near the Tiber River estuary than other regions. Almost homogeneous predictions were observed in winter, with marginal greater intensities where lower temperatures and higher chlorophyll–a concentration were observed. The relatively low variance was predicted in the more coastal parts of the study area within each season, while higher uncertainty was instead revealed in the southernmost offshore area. This study highlighted the persistent presence of the common bottlenose dolphin in the investigated area both winter and summer, with a coherent distribution within each season, and rare transient occurrences in deeper waters (where uncertainty increases). Thanks to its versatile characteristics, the species seems to well adapt to different seasonal conditions and maintain its distributional range.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2022.939692/fulldistribution modelingSpatial Log–Gaussian Cox Processuncertaintycommon bottlenose dolphinMediterranean Seaconservation
spellingShingle Daniela Silvia Pace
Daniela Silvia Pace
Greta Panunzi
Antonella Arcangeli
Stefano Moro
Stefano Moro
Giovanna Jona-Lasinio
Sara Martino
Seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator (Tursiops truncatus) in marine coastal habitats of the Western Mediterranean Sea
Frontiers in Marine Science
distribution modeling
Spatial Log–Gaussian Cox Process
uncertainty
common bottlenose dolphin
Mediterranean Sea
conservation
title Seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator (Tursiops truncatus) in marine coastal habitats of the Western Mediterranean Sea
title_full Seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator (Tursiops truncatus) in marine coastal habitats of the Western Mediterranean Sea
title_fullStr Seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator (Tursiops truncatus) in marine coastal habitats of the Western Mediterranean Sea
title_full_unstemmed Seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator (Tursiops truncatus) in marine coastal habitats of the Western Mediterranean Sea
title_short Seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator (Tursiops truncatus) in marine coastal habitats of the Western Mediterranean Sea
title_sort seasonal distribution of an opportunistic apex predator tursiops truncatus in marine coastal habitats of the western mediterranean sea
topic distribution modeling
Spatial Log–Gaussian Cox Process
uncertainty
common bottlenose dolphin
Mediterranean Sea
conservation
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fmars.2022.939692/full
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