Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territories

A significant seasonal variation in tuberculosis (TB) is observed in north India during 2006–2011, particularly in states like Himachal Pradesh, Haryana and Rajasthan. To quantify the seasonal variation, we measure average amplitude (peak to trough distance) across seasons in smear positive cases of...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Pankaj Narula, Praveer Sihota, Sarita Azad, Pietro Lio
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2019-04-01
Series:Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125906030/view
Description
Summary:A significant seasonal variation in tuberculosis (TB) is observed in north India during 2006–2011, particularly in states like Himachal Pradesh, Haryana and Rajasthan. To quantify the seasonal variation, we measure average amplitude (peak to trough distance) across seasons in smear positive cases of TB and observe that it is maximum for Himachal Pradesh (40.01%) and minimum for Maharashtra (3.87%). In north India, smear positive cases peak in second quarter (April–June) and reach a trough in fourth quarter (October–December), however low seasonal variation is observed in southern region of the country. The significant correlations as 0.64 (p-value < 0.001), 0.54 (p-value < 0.01) and 0.42 (p-value < 0.05) are observed between minimum temperature and seasonality of TB at lag-1 in north, central and northeast India respectively. However, in south India, this correlation is not significant.
ISSN:2210-6006