Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territories
A significant seasonal variation in tuberculosis (TB) is observed in north India during 2006–2011, particularly in states like Himachal Pradesh, Haryana and Rajasthan. To quantify the seasonal variation, we measure average amplitude (peak to trough distance) across seasons in smear positive cases of...
| Main Authors: | , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Springer
2019-04-01
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| Series: | Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health |
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| Online Access: | https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125906030/view |
| _version_ | 1818139395965845504 |
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| author | Pankaj Narula Praveer Sihota Sarita Azad Pietro Lio |
| author_facet | Pankaj Narula Praveer Sihota Sarita Azad Pietro Lio |
| author_sort | Pankaj Narula |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | A significant seasonal variation in tuberculosis (TB) is observed in north India during 2006–2011, particularly in states like Himachal Pradesh, Haryana and Rajasthan. To quantify the seasonal variation, we measure average amplitude (peak to trough distance) across seasons in smear positive cases of TB and observe that it is maximum for Himachal Pradesh (40.01%) and minimum for Maharashtra (3.87%). In north India, smear positive cases peak in second quarter (April–June) and reach a trough in fourth quarter (October–December), however low seasonal variation is observed in southern region of the country. The significant correlations as 0.64 (p-value < 0.001), 0.54 (p-value < 0.01) and 0.42 (p-value < 0.05) are observed between minimum temperature and seasonality of TB at lag-1 in north, central and northeast India respectively. However, in south India, this correlation is not significant. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-11T10:27:25Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-e36e725359134104894dbe4661380009 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2210-6006 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-11T10:27:25Z |
| publishDate | 2019-04-01 |
| publisher | Springer |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health |
| spelling | doaj.art-e36e725359134104894dbe46613800092022-12-22T01:11:06ZengSpringerJournal of Epidemiology and Global Health2210-60062019-04-015410.1016/j.jegh.2015.02.004Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territoriesPankaj NarulaPraveer SihotaSarita AzadPietro LioA significant seasonal variation in tuberculosis (TB) is observed in north India during 2006–2011, particularly in states like Himachal Pradesh, Haryana and Rajasthan. To quantify the seasonal variation, we measure average amplitude (peak to trough distance) across seasons in smear positive cases of TB and observe that it is maximum for Himachal Pradesh (40.01%) and minimum for Maharashtra (3.87%). In north India, smear positive cases peak in second quarter (April–June) and reach a trough in fourth quarter (October–December), however low seasonal variation is observed in southern region of the country. The significant correlations as 0.64 (p-value < 0.001), 0.54 (p-value < 0.01) and 0.42 (p-value < 0.05) are observed between minimum temperature and seasonality of TB at lag-1 in north, central and northeast India respectively. However, in south India, this correlation is not significant.https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125906030/viewTuberculosisSeasonalityPoisson regressionSmear positive casesTemperature |
| spellingShingle | Pankaj Narula Praveer Sihota Sarita Azad Pietro Lio Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territories Journal of Epidemiology and Global Health Tuberculosis Seasonality Poisson regression Smear positive cases Temperature |
| title | Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territories |
| title_full | Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territories |
| title_fullStr | Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territories |
| title_full_unstemmed | Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territories |
| title_short | Analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across Indian states and union territories |
| title_sort | analyzing seasonality of tuberculosis across indian states and union territories |
| topic | Tuberculosis Seasonality Poisson regression Smear positive cases Temperature |
| url | https://www.atlantis-press.com/article/125906030/view |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT pankajnarula analyzingseasonalityoftuberculosisacrossindianstatesandunionterritories AT praveersihota analyzingseasonalityoftuberculosisacrossindianstatesandunionterritories AT saritaazad analyzingseasonalityoftuberculosisacrossindianstatesandunionterritories AT pietrolio analyzingseasonalityoftuberculosisacrossindianstatesandunionterritories |