Predicting Customer Lifetime Value Based on Financial and Demographic Characteristics Using GMDH Neural Network Case Study: Individual Customers of a Private Bank of Iran

The role of customer relationship management as a strategic tool in development of manufacturing and service organizations, and also acquisition and retention customers in competitive industries, is undeniable. Identification, valuation and classification of customers and allocating resources to the...

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Main Authors: امیر خانلری, مهدی احراری, سمیه میرپور
Format: Article
Language:fas
Published: University of Tehran 2017-02-01
Series:‫مدیریت بازرگانی
Subjects:
Online Access:https://jibm.ut.ac.ir/article_61302_06f1ae6bf44309019a251bd1bd5bda52.pdf
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author امیر خانلری
مهدی احراری
سمیه میرپور
author_facet امیر خانلری
مهدی احراری
سمیه میرپور
author_sort امیر خانلری
collection DOAJ
description The role of customer relationship management as a strategic tool in development of manufacturing and service organizations, and also acquisition and retention customers in competitive industries, is undeniable. Identification, valuation and classification of customers and allocating resources to them based on their value for organization are the main concerns in customer relationship management. One of the most important tool in this direction, is calculating and predicting customer lifetime value (CLV). “CLV” is a value which is expected customer bring to the organization in specified period. In this paper, calculating and predicting customer lifetime value is as a key tool in the implementation of customer relationship management in banking. The GMDH neural networks due to its high performance in terms of prediction, is applied and with genuine customer demographic and transactional information of a private Iranian bank , the CLV forecasting is evaluated. The results show that this tool can be used to accurately predict over 90% of customer lifetime value.
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spelling doaj.art-e3bbb3fd31ce421eb31a50b7956449fc2022-12-21T19:27:13ZfasUniversity of Tehran‫مدیریت بازرگانی2008-59072423-50912017-02-018483386010.22059/jibm.2017.6130261302Predicting Customer Lifetime Value Based on Financial and Demographic Characteristics Using GMDH Neural Network Case Study: Individual Customers of a Private Bank of Iranامیر خانلری0مهدی احراری1سمیه میرپور2استادیار/ گروه مدیریت MBA دانشکده مدیریت دانشگاه تهراندانشجوی دکتری اقتصاد نفت و گاز، بازار و مالیه / دانشگاه علامه طباطباییمدیر توسعه کسب و کار / تجهیزات مخابراتی نت کالاThe role of customer relationship management as a strategic tool in development of manufacturing and service organizations, and also acquisition and retention customers in competitive industries, is undeniable. Identification, valuation and classification of customers and allocating resources to them based on their value for organization are the main concerns in customer relationship management. One of the most important tool in this direction, is calculating and predicting customer lifetime value (CLV). “CLV” is a value which is expected customer bring to the organization in specified period. In this paper, calculating and predicting customer lifetime value is as a key tool in the implementation of customer relationship management in banking. The GMDH neural networks due to its high performance in terms of prediction, is applied and with genuine customer demographic and transactional information of a private Iranian bank , the CLV forecasting is evaluated. The results show that this tool can be used to accurately predict over 90% of customer lifetime value.https://jibm.ut.ac.ir/article_61302_06f1ae6bf44309019a251bd1bd5bda52.pdfcustomer lifetime valueCustomer relationship managementGMDH Neural Networkprediction
spellingShingle امیر خانلری
مهدی احراری
سمیه میرپور
Predicting Customer Lifetime Value Based on Financial and Demographic Characteristics Using GMDH Neural Network Case Study: Individual Customers of a Private Bank of Iran
‫مدیریت بازرگانی
customer lifetime value
Customer relationship management
GMDH Neural Network
prediction
title Predicting Customer Lifetime Value Based on Financial and Demographic Characteristics Using GMDH Neural Network Case Study: Individual Customers of a Private Bank of Iran
title_full Predicting Customer Lifetime Value Based on Financial and Demographic Characteristics Using GMDH Neural Network Case Study: Individual Customers of a Private Bank of Iran
title_fullStr Predicting Customer Lifetime Value Based on Financial and Demographic Characteristics Using GMDH Neural Network Case Study: Individual Customers of a Private Bank of Iran
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Customer Lifetime Value Based on Financial and Demographic Characteristics Using GMDH Neural Network Case Study: Individual Customers of a Private Bank of Iran
title_short Predicting Customer Lifetime Value Based on Financial and Demographic Characteristics Using GMDH Neural Network Case Study: Individual Customers of a Private Bank of Iran
title_sort predicting customer lifetime value based on financial and demographic characteristics using gmdh neural network case study individual customers of a private bank of iran
topic customer lifetime value
Customer relationship management
GMDH Neural Network
prediction
url https://jibm.ut.ac.ir/article_61302_06f1ae6bf44309019a251bd1bd5bda52.pdf
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