Development of COVID-19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with COVID-19 to the emergency department

Abstract Background Critically-ill Covid-19 patients require extensive resources which can overburden a healthcare system already under strain due to a pandemic. A good disease severity prediction score can help allocate resources to where they are needed most. Objectives We developed a Covid-19 Sev...

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Main Authors: Faysal Subhani, Abdul Ahad Chhotani, Shahan Waheed, Rana Osama Zahid, Kiran Azizi, Ahmed Raheem Buksh
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2022-06-01
Series:BMC Infectious Diseases
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07535-8
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author Faysal Subhani
Abdul Ahad Chhotani
Shahan Waheed
Rana Osama Zahid
Kiran Azizi
Ahmed Raheem Buksh
author_facet Faysal Subhani
Abdul Ahad Chhotani
Shahan Waheed
Rana Osama Zahid
Kiran Azizi
Ahmed Raheem Buksh
author_sort Faysal Subhani
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Critically-ill Covid-19 patients require extensive resources which can overburden a healthcare system already under strain due to a pandemic. A good disease severity prediction score can help allocate resources to where they are needed most. Objectives We developed a Covid-19 Severity Assessment Score (CoSAS) to predict those patients likely to suffer from mortalities within 28 days of hospital admission. We also compared this score to Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) in adults. Methods CoSAS includes the following 10 components: Age, gender, Clinical Frailty Score, number of comorbidities, Ferritin level, D-dimer level, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive Protein levels, systolic blood pressure and oxygen saturation. Our study was a single center study with data collected via chart review and phone calls. 309 patients were included in the study. Results CoSAS proved to be a good score to predict Covid-19 mortality with an Area under the Curve (AUC) of 0.78. It also proved better than qSOFA (AUC of 0.70). More studies are needed to externally validate CoSAS. Conclusion CoSAS is an accurate score to predict Covid-19 mortality in the Pakistani population.
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spelling doaj.art-e41b6aa685e64d9bb800eddb710842bc2022-12-22T00:25:20ZengBMCBMC Infectious Diseases1471-23342022-06-012211910.1186/s12879-022-07535-8Development of COVID-19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with COVID-19 to the emergency departmentFaysal Subhani0Abdul Ahad Chhotani1Shahan Waheed2Rana Osama Zahid3Kiran Azizi4Ahmed Raheem Buksh5Department of Emergency Medicine, Aga Khan University HospitalDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Aga Khan University HospitalDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Aga Khan University HospitalDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Aga Khan University HospitalDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Aga Khan University HospitalDepartment of Emergency Medicine, Aga Khan University HospitalAbstract Background Critically-ill Covid-19 patients require extensive resources which can overburden a healthcare system already under strain due to a pandemic. A good disease severity prediction score can help allocate resources to where they are needed most. Objectives We developed a Covid-19 Severity Assessment Score (CoSAS) to predict those patients likely to suffer from mortalities within 28 days of hospital admission. We also compared this score to Quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) in adults. Methods CoSAS includes the following 10 components: Age, gender, Clinical Frailty Score, number of comorbidities, Ferritin level, D-dimer level, neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio, C-reactive Protein levels, systolic blood pressure and oxygen saturation. Our study was a single center study with data collected via chart review and phone calls. 309 patients were included in the study. Results CoSAS proved to be a good score to predict Covid-19 mortality with an Area under the Curve (AUC) of 0.78. It also proved better than qSOFA (AUC of 0.70). More studies are needed to externally validate CoSAS. Conclusion CoSAS is an accurate score to predict Covid-19 mortality in the Pakistani population.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07535-8Covid-19Prediction scoreqSOFAEmergency
spellingShingle Faysal Subhani
Abdul Ahad Chhotani
Shahan Waheed
Rana Osama Zahid
Kiran Azizi
Ahmed Raheem Buksh
Development of COVID-19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with COVID-19 to the emergency department
BMC Infectious Diseases
Covid-19
Prediction score
qSOFA
Emergency
title Development of COVID-19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with COVID-19 to the emergency department
title_full Development of COVID-19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with COVID-19 to the emergency department
title_fullStr Development of COVID-19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with COVID-19 to the emergency department
title_full_unstemmed Development of COVID-19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with COVID-19 to the emergency department
title_short Development of COVID-19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with COVID-19 to the emergency department
title_sort development of covid 19 severity assessment score in adults presenting with covid 19 to the emergency department
topic Covid-19
Prediction score
qSOFA
Emergency
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12879-022-07535-8
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