A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data Sets
Abstract A comparison of moderate to extreme daily precipitation from the ERA‐5 reanalysis by the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts against two observational gridded data sets, EOBS and CMORPH, is presented. We assess the co‐occurrence of precipitation days and compare the full prec...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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American Geophysical Union (AGU)
2021-04-01
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| Series: | Earth and Space Science |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EA001633 |
| _version_ | 1819086203065991168 |
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| author | Pauline Rivoire Olivia Martius Philippe Naveau |
| author_facet | Pauline Rivoire Olivia Martius Philippe Naveau |
| author_sort | Pauline Rivoire |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Abstract A comparison of moderate to extreme daily precipitation from the ERA‐5 reanalysis by the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts against two observational gridded data sets, EOBS and CMORPH, is presented. We assess the co‐occurrence of precipitation days and compare the full precipitation distributions. The co‐occurrence is quantified by the hit rate. An extended generalized Pareto distribution (EGPD) is fitted to the positive precipitation distribution at every grid point and confidence intervals of quantiles compared. The Kullback–Leibler divergence is used to quantify the distance between the entire EGPDs obtained from ERA‐5 and the observations. For days exceeding the local 90th percentile, the mean hit rate is 65% between ERA‐5 and EOBS (over Europe) and 60% between ERA‐5 and CMORPH (globally). Generally, we find a decrease of the co‐occurrence with increasing precipitation intensity. The agreement between ERA‐5 and EOBS is weaker over the southern Mediterranean region and Iceland compared to the rest of Europe. Differences between ERA‐5 and CMORPH are smallest over the oceans. Differences are largest over NW America, Central Asia, and land areas between 15°S and 15°N. The confidence intervals on quantiles are overlapping between ERA‐5 and the observational data sets for more than 80% of the grid points on average. The intensity comparisons indicate an excellent agreement between ERA‐5 and EOBS over Germany, Ireland, Sweden, and Finland, and a disagreement over areas where EOBS uses sparse input stations. ERA‐5 and CMORPH precipitation intensity agree well over the midlatitudes and disagree over the tropics. |
| first_indexed | 2024-12-21T21:16:31Z |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj.art-e4794ca56beb4abbbaf6ed9c93655a03 |
| institution | Directory Open Access Journal |
| issn | 2333-5084 |
| language | English |
| last_indexed | 2024-12-21T21:16:31Z |
| publishDate | 2021-04-01 |
| publisher | American Geophysical Union (AGU) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Earth and Space Science |
| spelling | doaj.art-e4794ca56beb4abbbaf6ed9c93655a032022-12-21T18:50:00ZengAmerican Geophysical Union (AGU)Earth and Space Science2333-50842021-04-0184n/an/a10.1029/2020EA001633A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data SetsPauline Rivoire0Olivia Martius1Philippe Naveau2Oeschger Centre for Climate Change Research and Institute of Geography University of Bern Bern SwitzerlandOeschger Centre for Climate Change Research and Institute of Geography University of Bern Bern SwitzerlandLaboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement CNRS‐CEA‐UVSQ Gif‐sur‐Yvette FranceAbstract A comparison of moderate to extreme daily precipitation from the ERA‐5 reanalysis by the European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts against two observational gridded data sets, EOBS and CMORPH, is presented. We assess the co‐occurrence of precipitation days and compare the full precipitation distributions. The co‐occurrence is quantified by the hit rate. An extended generalized Pareto distribution (EGPD) is fitted to the positive precipitation distribution at every grid point and confidence intervals of quantiles compared. The Kullback–Leibler divergence is used to quantify the distance between the entire EGPDs obtained from ERA‐5 and the observations. For days exceeding the local 90th percentile, the mean hit rate is 65% between ERA‐5 and EOBS (over Europe) and 60% between ERA‐5 and CMORPH (globally). Generally, we find a decrease of the co‐occurrence with increasing precipitation intensity. The agreement between ERA‐5 and EOBS is weaker over the southern Mediterranean region and Iceland compared to the rest of Europe. Differences between ERA‐5 and CMORPH are smallest over the oceans. Differences are largest over NW America, Central Asia, and land areas between 15°S and 15°N. The confidence intervals on quantiles are overlapping between ERA‐5 and the observational data sets for more than 80% of the grid points on average. The intensity comparisons indicate an excellent agreement between ERA‐5 and EOBS over Germany, Ireland, Sweden, and Finland, and a disagreement over areas where EOBS uses sparse input stations. ERA‐5 and CMORPH precipitation intensity agree well over the midlatitudes and disagree over the tropics.https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EA001633ERA‐5precipitationreanalysisextended generalized Pareto distributionEOBSCMORPH |
| spellingShingle | Pauline Rivoire Olivia Martius Philippe Naveau A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data Sets Earth and Space Science ERA‐5 precipitation reanalysis extended generalized Pareto distribution EOBS CMORPH |
| title | A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data Sets |
| title_full | A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data Sets |
| title_fullStr | A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data Sets |
| title_full_unstemmed | A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data Sets |
| title_short | A Comparison of Moderate and Extreme ERA‐5 Daily Precipitation With Two Observational Data Sets |
| title_sort | comparison of moderate and extreme era 5 daily precipitation with two observational data sets |
| topic | ERA‐5 precipitation reanalysis extended generalized Pareto distribution EOBS CMORPH |
| url | https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EA001633 |
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