Trends in Head and Neck Cancer Mortality from 1999 to 2019 in Japan: An Observational Analysis

Globally, the numbers of head and neck cancer (HNC) cases and related deaths have recently increased. In Japan, few studies have examined crude or age-adjusted HNC mortality rates. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the trends in crude and age-adjusted mortality rates for HNC per million indiv...

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Main Authors: Tsukasa Higashionna, Keisaku Harada, Akinari Maruo, Takahiro Niimura, Elizabeth Tan, Quynh Thi Vu, Takayoshi Kawabata, Soichiro Ushio, Hirofumi Hamano, Makoto Kajizono, Yoshito Zamami, Keisuke Ishizawa, Ko Harada, Shiro Hinotsu, Mitsunobu R. Kano, Hideharu Hagiya, Toshihiro Koyama
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2023-07-01
Series:Cancers
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2072-6694/15/15/3786
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Summary:Globally, the numbers of head and neck cancer (HNC) cases and related deaths have recently increased. In Japan, few studies have examined crude or age-adjusted HNC mortality rates. Therefore, this study aimed to determine the trends in crude and age-adjusted mortality rates for HNC per million individuals in Japan from 1999 to 2019. Data on HNC-associated deaths were extracted from the national death certificate database using the <i>International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision</i> (<i>n</i> = 156,742). HNC mortality trends were analysed using joinpoint regression models to estimate annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC). Among men, no significant change was observed in the age-adjusted death rate trend from 1999 to 2014; however, a marked decrease was observed from 2014 to 2019. No changing point was observed in women. Age-adjusted mortality rates continuously decreased over the 21-year period, with an AAPC of −0.7% in men and −0.6% in women. In conclusion, the overall trend in age-adjusted rates of HNC-associated deaths decreased, particularly among men, in the past 5 years. These results will contribute to the formulation of medical policies to develop targeted screening and prevention programmes for HNC in Japan and determine the direction of treatment strategies.
ISSN:2072-6694