Do Two Different Approaches to the Season in Modeling Affect the Predicted Distribution of Fish? A Case Study for <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> in the Offshore Waters of Southern Zhejiang, China

The relationships between environmental factors and fish density are closely related, and species distribution models (SDMs) have been widely used in exploring these relationships and predicting the spatial distribution of fishery resources. When exploring the prediction of the spatial distribution...

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Main Authors: Wen Ma, Chunxia Gao, Song Qin, Jin Ma, Jing Zhao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-06-01
Series:Fishes
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2410-3888/7/4/153
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author Wen Ma
Chunxia Gao
Song Qin
Jin Ma
Jing Zhao
author_facet Wen Ma
Chunxia Gao
Song Qin
Jin Ma
Jing Zhao
author_sort Wen Ma
collection DOAJ
description The relationships between environmental factors and fish density are closely related, and species distribution models (SDMs) have been widely used in exploring these relationships and predicting the spatial distribution of fishery resources. When exploring the prediction of the spatial distribution of species in different seasons, the method of choosing the appropriate approach to the season will help to improve the predictive performance of the model. Based on data collected from 2015 to 2020 during a survey off southern Zhejiang, the Tweedie-GAM was used to establish the relationship between the density of <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> and environmental factors at different modeling approaches. The results showed that water temperature, salinity and depth were the main factors influencing <i>D. maruadsi</i>, and they operated through different mechanisms and even resulted in opposite trends of density in different seasons. Spatially, the two modeling approaches also differed in predicting the spatial distribution of <i>D. maruadsi</i>, with the seasonal model showing a higher density trend in inshore waters than in offshore waters in spring but showing the opposite trend in summer and autumn, which was more consistent with the actual spatial distribution of the resource. By analyzing the effects of two different approaches on the prediction of fishery resources, this study aims to provide research ideas and references for improving the predictive performance of SDMs.
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spelling doaj.art-e4d2cf21427546c1b479ba712949927f2023-12-03T13:38:33ZengMDPI AGFishes2410-38882022-06-017415310.3390/fishes7040153Do Two Different Approaches to the Season in Modeling Affect the Predicted Distribution of Fish? A Case Study for <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> in the Offshore Waters of Southern Zhejiang, ChinaWen Ma0Chunxia Gao1Song Qin2Jin Ma3Jing Zhao4College of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaCollege of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaFishery Resources Research Office, Zhejiang Mariculture Research Institute, Wenzhou 325005, ChinaCollege of Marine Sciences, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaInstitute of Marine Science, Shanghai Ocean University, Shanghai 201306, ChinaThe relationships between environmental factors and fish density are closely related, and species distribution models (SDMs) have been widely used in exploring these relationships and predicting the spatial distribution of fishery resources. When exploring the prediction of the spatial distribution of species in different seasons, the method of choosing the appropriate approach to the season will help to improve the predictive performance of the model. Based on data collected from 2015 to 2020 during a survey off southern Zhejiang, the Tweedie-GAM was used to establish the relationship between the density of <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> and environmental factors at different modeling approaches. The results showed that water temperature, salinity and depth were the main factors influencing <i>D. maruadsi</i>, and they operated through different mechanisms and even resulted in opposite trends of density in different seasons. Spatially, the two modeling approaches also differed in predicting the spatial distribution of <i>D. maruadsi</i>, with the seasonal model showing a higher density trend in inshore waters than in offshore waters in spring but showing the opposite trend in summer and autumn, which was more consistent with the actual spatial distribution of the resource. By analyzing the effects of two different approaches on the prediction of fishery resources, this study aims to provide research ideas and references for improving the predictive performance of SDMs.https://www.mdpi.com/2410-3888/7/4/153generalized additive model<i>Decapterus maruadsi</i>habitatpredictive performanceoffshore waters of southern Zhejiang
spellingShingle Wen Ma
Chunxia Gao
Song Qin
Jin Ma
Jing Zhao
Do Two Different Approaches to the Season in Modeling Affect the Predicted Distribution of Fish? A Case Study for <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> in the Offshore Waters of Southern Zhejiang, China
Fishes
generalized additive model
<i>Decapterus maruadsi</i>
habitat
predictive performance
offshore waters of southern Zhejiang
title Do Two Different Approaches to the Season in Modeling Affect the Predicted Distribution of Fish? A Case Study for <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> in the Offshore Waters of Southern Zhejiang, China
title_full Do Two Different Approaches to the Season in Modeling Affect the Predicted Distribution of Fish? A Case Study for <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> in the Offshore Waters of Southern Zhejiang, China
title_fullStr Do Two Different Approaches to the Season in Modeling Affect the Predicted Distribution of Fish? A Case Study for <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> in the Offshore Waters of Southern Zhejiang, China
title_full_unstemmed Do Two Different Approaches to the Season in Modeling Affect the Predicted Distribution of Fish? A Case Study for <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> in the Offshore Waters of Southern Zhejiang, China
title_short Do Two Different Approaches to the Season in Modeling Affect the Predicted Distribution of Fish? A Case Study for <i>Decapterus maruadsi</i> in the Offshore Waters of Southern Zhejiang, China
title_sort do two different approaches to the season in modeling affect the predicted distribution of fish a case study for i decapterus maruadsi i in the offshore waters of southern zhejiang china
topic generalized additive model
<i>Decapterus maruadsi</i>
habitat
predictive performance
offshore waters of southern Zhejiang
url https://www.mdpi.com/2410-3888/7/4/153
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