Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Russian Arctic Economy (including the Energy Industry)

Ongoing climate change most pronounces itself in northern latitudes, including in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF). Climate change is a complex multidirectional process that is characterized by both positive and negative effects on the functioning of territorial economic systems. In...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Svetlana Badina, Alexey Pankratov
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2022-04-01
Series:Energies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/8/2849
_version_ 1797434805477965824
author Svetlana Badina
Alexey Pankratov
author_facet Svetlana Badina
Alexey Pankratov
author_sort Svetlana Badina
collection DOAJ
description Ongoing climate change most pronounces itself in northern latitudes, including in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF). Climate change is a complex multidirectional process that is characterized by both positive and negative effects on the functioning of territorial economic systems. In this regard, an analysis of the impacts of climate change on economic development is a particularly urgent scientific and practical task that requires comprehensive study. This research was devoted to assessing the probable impacts of climate transformations on the parameters of the economic development of the AZRF regions. The authors created a methodological approach to the assessment of the costs of the effects of climate change for the economy of the AZRF regions, taking into account the average predicted dynamics of surface air temperature and key regional economic specializations, as well as the degree of susceptibility of various industries to the climate change. The energy industry was considered in particular detail since it is the basis for all of the other industries and is the guarantor of life support for the populations that live in the extreme Arctic climate. Calculations have shown that the accumulated economic effects of climate change as a whole for the AZRF economy during the period 2020–2050 will be negative and have been estimated as having a cost of more than RUB 8 trillion (or nearly USD 111 billion in 2020 prices), which would be about 3% of total Russian Arctic GRP in average annual terms.
first_indexed 2024-03-09T10:39:08Z
format Article
id doaj.art-e51982f37dd04a578244860cab102d28
institution Directory Open Access Journal
issn 1996-1073
language English
last_indexed 2024-03-09T10:39:08Z
publishDate 2022-04-01
publisher MDPI AG
record_format Article
series Energies
spelling doaj.art-e51982f37dd04a578244860cab102d282023-12-01T20:49:06ZengMDPI AGEnergies1996-10732022-04-01158284910.3390/en15082849Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Russian Arctic Economy (including the Energy Industry)Svetlana Badina0Alexey Pankratov1Faculty of Geography, Lomonosov Moscow State University, GSP-1, Leninskie Gory, 1, 119991 Moscow, RussiaFaculty of Economics, Lomonosov Moscow State University, GSP-1, Leninskiye Gory, 1-46, 119991 Moscow, RussiaOngoing climate change most pronounces itself in northern latitudes, including in the Arctic zone of the Russian Federation (AZRF). Climate change is a complex multidirectional process that is characterized by both positive and negative effects on the functioning of territorial economic systems. In this regard, an analysis of the impacts of climate change on economic development is a particularly urgent scientific and practical task that requires comprehensive study. This research was devoted to assessing the probable impacts of climate transformations on the parameters of the economic development of the AZRF regions. The authors created a methodological approach to the assessment of the costs of the effects of climate change for the economy of the AZRF regions, taking into account the average predicted dynamics of surface air temperature and key regional economic specializations, as well as the degree of susceptibility of various industries to the climate change. The energy industry was considered in particular detail since it is the basis for all of the other industries and is the guarantor of life support for the populations that live in the extreme Arctic climate. Calculations have shown that the accumulated economic effects of climate change as a whole for the AZRF economy during the period 2020–2050 will be negative and have been estimated as having a cost of more than RUB 8 trillion (or nearly USD 111 billion in 2020 prices), which would be about 3% of total Russian Arctic GRP in average annual terms.https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/8/2849climate changeRussian Arcticeconomic effectsclimatic costsclimatic dividends
spellingShingle Svetlana Badina
Alexey Pankratov
Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Russian Arctic Economy (including the Energy Industry)
Energies
climate change
Russian Arctic
economic effects
climatic costs
climatic dividends
title Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Russian Arctic Economy (including the Energy Industry)
title_full Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Russian Arctic Economy (including the Energy Industry)
title_fullStr Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Russian Arctic Economy (including the Energy Industry)
title_full_unstemmed Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Russian Arctic Economy (including the Energy Industry)
title_short Assessment of the Impacts of Climate Change on the Russian Arctic Economy (including the Energy Industry)
title_sort assessment of the impacts of climate change on the russian arctic economy including the energy industry
topic climate change
Russian Arctic
economic effects
climatic costs
climatic dividends
url https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/8/2849
work_keys_str_mv AT svetlanabadina assessmentoftheimpactsofclimatechangeontherussianarcticeconomyincludingtheenergyindustry
AT alexeypankratov assessmentoftheimpactsofclimatechangeontherussianarcticeconomyincludingtheenergyindustry