CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS

This paper is an attempt to assess the impact of climate change on households’ food security in Burkina Faso using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model in which we incorporate a random parameter that captures the effect of climate fluctuations on crop yields and on international food pric...

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Main Author: Patrice R. Zidouemba
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics 2017-01-01
Series:International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
Subjects:
Online Access:http://foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol5.no5.pp79.pdf
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author Patrice R. Zidouemba
author_facet Patrice R. Zidouemba
author_sort Patrice R. Zidouemba
collection DOAJ
description This paper is an attempt to assess the impact of climate change on households’ food security in Burkina Faso using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model in which we incorporate a random parameter that captures the effect of climate fluctuations on crop yields and on international food prices. The CGE model has been calibrated to reproduce past trends of Burkina Faso’s economy. The results of our simulations show that the impact of increased climatic shocks, due to climate change is felt more by rural poor who highly depend on agriculture. However, given the strong relationship between agriculture and the rest of the economy, low income households in urban areas are also affected. Conversely, the impact of climatic shocks is not as significant for urban non-poor given the level and source of revenue as well as the diversification of their consumption. The results also illustrate the complexity of the mechanisms at work in the explanation of a food crisis occurrence.
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spelling doaj.art-e5b7f02efaa34cf9b2e693d75607d3152023-02-15T16:15:06ZengInternational Journal of Food and Agricultural EconomicsInternational Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics2147-89882147-89882017-01-01517995CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSISPatrice R. Zidouemba 0Rural Development Institute, Polytechnic University of Bobo-Dioulasso, This paper is an attempt to assess the impact of climate change on households’ food security in Burkina Faso using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model in which we incorporate a random parameter that captures the effect of climate fluctuations on crop yields and on international food prices. The CGE model has been calibrated to reproduce past trends of Burkina Faso’s economy. The results of our simulations show that the impact of increased climatic shocks, due to climate change is felt more by rural poor who highly depend on agriculture. However, given the strong relationship between agriculture and the rest of the economy, low income households in urban areas are also affected. Conversely, the impact of climatic shocks is not as significant for urban non-poor given the level and source of revenue as well as the diversification of their consumption. The results also illustrate the complexity of the mechanisms at work in the explanation of a food crisis occurrence.http://foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol5.no5.pp79.pdfClimate changefood securitycomputable general equilibrium
spellingShingle Patrice R. Zidouemba
CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics
Climate change
food security
computable general equilibrium
title CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
title_full CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
title_fullStr CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
title_full_unstemmed CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
title_short CLIMATE VARIABILITY AND FOOD CRISES IN BURKINA FASO: A COMPUTABLE GENERAL EQUILIBRIUM ANALYSIS
title_sort climate variability and food crises in burkina faso a computable general equilibrium analysis
topic Climate change
food security
computable general equilibrium
url http://foodandagriculturejournal.com/vol5.no5.pp79.pdf
work_keys_str_mv AT patricerzidouemba climatevariabilityandfoodcrisesinburkinafasoacomputablegeneralequilibriumanalysis