Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan Riil

The financial crisis is a condition where a country's finances experience a disruption which is characterized by a drastic increase in the inflation rate, a weakening currency exchange rate, and a decrease in other economic activities. Indonesia experienced financial crises in 1997 and 1998 whi...

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Main Authors: Rina Safitri, Sugiyanto Sugiyanto, Sri Sulistijowati Handajani
Format: Article
Language:Indonesian
Published: Institut Ilmu Sosial dan Manajemen STIAMI 2019-09-01
Series:Majalah Ilmiah Bijak
Subjects:
Online Access:https://ojs.stiami.ac.id/index.php/bijak/article/view/510
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author Rina Safitri
Sugiyanto Sugiyanto
Sri Sulistijowati Handajani
author_facet Rina Safitri
Sugiyanto Sugiyanto
Sri Sulistijowati Handajani
author_sort Rina Safitri
collection DOAJ
description The financial crisis is a condition where a country's finances experience a disruption which is characterized by a drastic increase in the inflation rate, a weakening currency exchange rate, and a decrease in other economic activities. Indonesia experienced financial crises in 1997 and 1998 which resulted in a collapse of financial conditions and national stability. Therefore, it is necessary to have a model to find out the crisis, so that efforts to recover the impact of the crisis can be done as early as possible from the model. This study aims to apply the Markov Switching Error Correction Model to detect a crisis. Based on the indicator of real deposit interest rates it can be concluded that the MS-ECM can explain the crisis that occurred in mid-1997 and late 2005
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spelling doaj.art-e5bc3a910d124340b118b37e0a5963fe2024-03-19T06:03:29ZindInstitut Ilmu Sosial dan Manajemen STIAMIMajalah Ilmiah Bijak1411-08302621-749X2019-09-01162939710.31334/bijak.v16i2.510342Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan RiilRina Safitri0Sugiyanto Sugiyanto1Sri Sulistijowati Handajani2Program Studi Statistika, Universitas Sebelas MaretProgram Studi Statistika, Universitas Sebelas MaretProgram Studi Statistika, Universitas Sebelas MaretThe financial crisis is a condition where a country's finances experience a disruption which is characterized by a drastic increase in the inflation rate, a weakening currency exchange rate, and a decrease in other economic activities. Indonesia experienced financial crises in 1997 and 1998 which resulted in a collapse of financial conditions and national stability. Therefore, it is necessary to have a model to find out the crisis, so that efforts to recover the impact of the crisis can be done as early as possible from the model. This study aims to apply the Markov Switching Error Correction Model to detect a crisis. Based on the indicator of real deposit interest rates it can be concluded that the MS-ECM can explain the crisis that occurred in mid-1997 and late 2005https://ojs.stiami.ac.id/index.php/bijak/article/view/510crisisms-ecminterest rate
spellingShingle Rina Safitri
Sugiyanto Sugiyanto
Sri Sulistijowati Handajani
Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan Riil
Majalah Ilmiah Bijak
crisis
ms-ecm
interest rate
title Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan Riil
title_full Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan Riil
title_fullStr Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan Riil
title_full_unstemmed Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan Riil
title_short Model Deteksi Krisis Indonesia dengan Indikator Suku Bunga Simpanan Riil
title_sort model deteksi krisis indonesia dengan indikator suku bunga simpanan riil
topic crisis
ms-ecm
interest rate
url https://ojs.stiami.ac.id/index.php/bijak/article/view/510
work_keys_str_mv AT rinasafitri modeldeteksikrisisindonesiadenganindikatorsukubungasimpananriil
AT sugiyantosugiyanto modeldeteksikrisisindonesiadenganindikatorsukubungasimpananriil
AT srisulistijowatihandajani modeldeteksikrisisindonesiadenganindikatorsukubungasimpananriil