Are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population? Analysis by crimes.

The ability of a wide range of psychological and actuarial measures to characterize crimes in the prison population has not yet been compared in a single study. Our main objective was to determine if the discriminant capacity of psychological measures (PM) and actuarial data (AD) varies according to...

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Main Authors: Carlos Burneo-Garcés, Manuel Fernández-Alcántara, Agar Marín-Morales, Miguel Pérez-García
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2018-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5991378?pdf=render
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author Carlos Burneo-Garcés
Manuel Fernández-Alcántara
Agar Marín-Morales
Miguel Pérez-García
author_facet Carlos Burneo-Garcés
Manuel Fernández-Alcántara
Agar Marín-Morales
Miguel Pérez-García
author_sort Carlos Burneo-Garcés
collection DOAJ
description The ability of a wide range of psychological and actuarial measures to characterize crimes in the prison population has not yet been compared in a single study. Our main objective was to determine if the discriminant capacity of psychological measures (PM) and actuarial data (AD) varies according to the crime. An Ecuadorian sample of 576 men convicted of Robbery, Murder, Rape and Drug Possession crimes was evaluated through an ad hoc questionnaire, prison files and the Spanish adaptation of the Personality Assessment Inventory. Discriminant analysis was used to establish, for each crime, the discriminant capacity and the classification accuracy of a model composed of AD (socio-demographic and judicial measures) and a second model incorporating PM. The AD showed a superior discriminant capacity, whilst the contribution of both types of measures varied according to the crime. The PM generated some increase in the correct classification percentages for Murder, Rape and Drug Possession, but their contribution was zero for the crime of Robbery. Specific profiles of each crime were obtained from the strongest significant correlations between the value of each explanatory variable and the probability of belonging to the crime. The AD model is more robust when these four crimes are characterized. The contribution of AD and PM depends on the crime, and the inclusion of PM in actuarial models moderately optimizes the classification accuracy of Murder, Rape, and Drug Possession crimes.
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spelling doaj.art-e5c332a3a091490aae3bf312ea0cf04f2022-12-21T23:53:04ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032018-01-01136e019825110.1371/journal.pone.0198251Are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population? Analysis by crimes.Carlos Burneo-GarcésManuel Fernández-AlcántaraAgar Marín-MoralesMiguel Pérez-GarcíaThe ability of a wide range of psychological and actuarial measures to characterize crimes in the prison population has not yet been compared in a single study. Our main objective was to determine if the discriminant capacity of psychological measures (PM) and actuarial data (AD) varies according to the crime. An Ecuadorian sample of 576 men convicted of Robbery, Murder, Rape and Drug Possession crimes was evaluated through an ad hoc questionnaire, prison files and the Spanish adaptation of the Personality Assessment Inventory. Discriminant analysis was used to establish, for each crime, the discriminant capacity and the classification accuracy of a model composed of AD (socio-demographic and judicial measures) and a second model incorporating PM. The AD showed a superior discriminant capacity, whilst the contribution of both types of measures varied according to the crime. The PM generated some increase in the correct classification percentages for Murder, Rape and Drug Possession, but their contribution was zero for the crime of Robbery. Specific profiles of each crime were obtained from the strongest significant correlations between the value of each explanatory variable and the probability of belonging to the crime. The AD model is more robust when these four crimes are characterized. The contribution of AD and PM depends on the crime, and the inclusion of PM in actuarial models moderately optimizes the classification accuracy of Murder, Rape, and Drug Possession crimes.http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5991378?pdf=render
spellingShingle Carlos Burneo-Garcés
Manuel Fernández-Alcántara
Agar Marín-Morales
Miguel Pérez-García
Are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population? Analysis by crimes.
PLoS ONE
title Are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population? Analysis by crimes.
title_full Are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population? Analysis by crimes.
title_fullStr Are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population? Analysis by crimes.
title_full_unstemmed Are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population? Analysis by crimes.
title_short Are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population? Analysis by crimes.
title_sort are psychological measures and actuarial data equally effective in discriminating among the prison population analysis by crimes
url http://europepmc.org/articles/PMC5991378?pdf=render
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